March 2008 Archived Dairy News

Latest Dairy News

Monday, March 31, 2008
Heifer Import Update – Dairy Market News

DMI Update

Dairy meetings discuss solutions for extreme heat stress situations

Friday, March 28, 2008

Milk Feed Price Ratio Drops For Sixth Consecutive Month

Dairy Markets Weekly Review

Milk Labeling in Ohio

IN: Dairy owner banned from operating farm

MD: Breeders, juniors honored at annual Holstein convention

MN: Three seek West Otter Tail County dairy princess crown

WI: State Holstein Breeders Elect Officers

WI: New Holstein leads area teams in Oshkosh Invite

NZ innovation in dairy gender research leads

Australia: Fonterra yet to give Dairy Farmers a bid

UK: Western Holstein Club spring show

Thursday, March 27, 2008

Ag Will Likely Be Exempt From New EPA Emission Regulations

Mid-Week Milk Production Update

Dairy Checkoff Update - March 2008

CA: Dairy cows' hot-weather health topic of April 6 meeting

GA: Tornado damage forces dairy plant to stop production early

IA: Dairy disaster assistance program resumes

IN: State bars dairy with history of manure spills from operating

Aurora Organic Dairy Named Best Fluid Plant at the 2008 All Star...

OR: Gaston woman reigns as dairy princess

Italy seals off 83 farms over mozzarella scare

How Green Is Organic Milk?

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

A Lot Of Eyes On Rising Feed Prices

CA: Dairy analysts look at what's in store for this year

Importance of Controlling Leptospira
 
Training Opportunity : Feed Management Planners Workshops 

"Dairy Advantage" Seeks to Save NC Dairy Industry

WI: Manitowoc-based dairy cooperative turns 75 this year

WI: Sassy Cow Creamery Introduces Bottled Milk Straight From the Farm

Dairy Promoter Reaches out to Sports World

Kraft Foods Focuses on Sustainability at FPSA Conference

Put Your Beef Ideas on Video and Win Big

Canada: Marketing funded for dairy test kits
   
The Government of Canada Supports Innovation in the Dairy Sector

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

First Sale in Cash Market Since Last Month

AR: Organic Dairy Farming Tough But Profitable

NE
: Locally Produced Natural Cheese Feeds Appetites
N.M.: Dairy hit hard by storm

TN: Purity milkman will be no more

Australia: Milk figures climbing high

Monday, March 24, 2008

MI: Dairy farmers defend hormone use in wake of grocer's prohibition
World Dairy Expo Elects Leaders

Dairy Checkoff Continues Work With Fast Food Chains

Friday, March 21, 2008

Dairy Markets Weekly Review

April Federal Order Class I Price Up $1.91

DFA Meeting Recap

Dairy Farmers of America posts loss on higher revenue

PA Farm Bureau Praises PMMB’s Decision to Increase Dairy Price

CA: Organic Pastures Dairy May Be the Center of A Federal Investigation

CA: Sonomans vie for Dairy Princess

MO: Dairy Leaders Born Here

Government of Canada Invests $925,000 to Further Innovation in the...

Campina to step up focus on low fat dairy

China tightens entry rules for new dairy processing plants

UK: £2180 heifer tops Beeston Castle dairy
Thursday, March 20, 2008

Latest Cold Storage Figures Released

Latest Livestock Slaughter Report

Consumer Scrutiny Over Meat Recall

PA Farm Bureau Praises PMMB’s Decision to Increase Dairy Price

Number of Missouri Dairy Farms Declines

Milking it

Naturally Iowa, Inc. Announces That Purchase Orders From Ball's...

From Holland for milk

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Dairy Outlook

Government Needs To Work With The Right Tools

Pfizer Animal Health to Acquire Catapult Genetics and Bovigen
 

10 Country: Dairy Cows' Best Friend

CA: Organic Milk Producer Subject to Mandated Price Structure

Worldwide Market for Dairy Products to Exceed US$305 Billion by...

New Zealand: Feed puts pressure on dairy to dry off

New Zealand: Kiwi consumers await Government response on milk prices

W. Australia dairy farmers urged to help meet export milk demand

East coast milk bolsters W. Australia export supplies

Milk quota rise will have little impact in Scotland

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Cash Cheese Market Loses Ground

Dairy Situation & Outlook: Milk Prices Higher, Cheese Prices Hold Up

Alltech Symposium Attracts Former USDA Secretary 

Young Dairy Leaders Institute Class Six Completes Phase I

CA: Dairymen discuss milk output, plant capacity and impact on prices

CA: Court sides with state against raw milk producer

CO: Weld dairy sector growing

IL: Neighbors help dairy farmers recover after tornado destroys barn...

Iowa DNR Says "No" To Proposed Dairy Permit

NC: Dairy farm's odor bugs neighbors

SD: Carrington Dairy Voted Down

Arm & Hammer Forage Testing ProgramSM Promotes the Importance of DCAD Balancing

Study shows Europe to be largest global market for dairy

Worldwide Market for Dairy Products to Exceed US$305 Billion by ...

Gain Insight into China's Rapidly Growing Dairy Market With New Report

China dairy hunger pushing up heifer prices

Dairy farmers' confidence 'down in NZ'

New Zealand: Dairy farm price ease back slightly

Tassie dairy farms get more expensive

Cuba lifts ban on farmers buying supplies

Russia: Wimm-Bill-Dunn Opens a Dairy Plant in the Ural

Monday, March 17, 2008

Dairy Situation and Outlook
- Bob Cropp
February Milk Production Tops A Year Ago by 6 Percent

U.S. Dairy Exports Enjoyed Unprecedented Sales in 2007

ID: State livestock lab and research center to land near Twin Falls

IA: Disaster assistance available for dairy farmers

MI: SwissLane's Annie Link is face of agri-tourism

TN: Learn About Bristol's Famous Cow

Attend the 4th Annual Wisconsin State Jersey Show

Virginia Tech’s Cassell receives National DHIA Outstanding Service Award
 

Dale Hoover receives National DHIA Distinguished Leadership Award

Waterbeds keep cows udderly content in Geauga County

Milk Producers Council Weekly Update
California Dairy Leaders Wanted

Dairy a bright spot in ag sector, economist says

Pennsylvania Producers Attend National Dairy Manager's Academy

Pollina Resigns From Vermont Milk Company

Agency keeps disclaimers on milk labels

Farmers hope to staunch decline of Mo. dairy farms

EU, US heading for conflict over dairy taxes

Morinaga, Snow Brand Raise Butter Prices on Higher Milk Costs

'Cow & History' art contest Moooove over, Matisse

New Zealand: Land of milk and money

Venezuela buys meatpacking chain, plans dairy company purchase...

Friday, March 14, 2008
Dairy Markets Weekly Review

U.S. Dairy Exports Can Remain Strong

Statement on Dairy Import Assessment Expansion and the Farm Bill ...
Russia increases imports of meat, milk powder
USDEC Receives Health Initiative Award

CA: Auction planned for former dairy

IL: Some dairy farms fight to keep use of growth hormones in cows

Dairy co-op fills daily with Michigan's flavor

Dairy nutrition specialist sinks teeth into bovine overeating

DRAXXIN Receives New Label Claim for Treatment of Pink Eye

Conklin Company Welcomes Former NAFB President As New Spokesperson

John Oncken: Annual tour proves no two farms work alike

Application Deadline Approaching for Holstein Association USA Awards

UK: Rotary parlour saves time and cost

NZDL to match Fonterra payout

Spain: Dairy farmers attack milk factory

Thursday, March 13, 2008

Mid
-Week Milk Production and Heifer Import Update
Progress On New Farm Bill Is Being Bogged Down

Wells' Dairy workers reject deal to cut pay by $5 million

Congress, White House seen $4 billion apart on farm law

Hormone-free milk labeling subject of 4-hour Ohio debate

Dairy waste spills into SW Idaho creek; fine still unknown

Dairy Farmers Speak Out | KXNet.com North Dakota News

Grant Sends Beef Ambassadors to N ation’s Capital 

Milk prices slowing EU dairy herd decline

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

The U.S. Dairy Calf and Heifer Conference is April 1-3

Recent USDA Decision Would Raise Milk Prices in Miami, Atlanta and other...

Expert warns dairy producers not to over schedule cows

MD: Dairy farming bill moves on without funding

Minnesota Milk is voice of state's dairy industry

Olmsted ADA will offer dairy products at Agri News Farm Show

Dairy Producers Can Milk Information

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Latest World Ag Supply and Demand Estimates Released

Market Analysis

CA: Valley Dairy First In The State To Produce Bio-Gas

CO: Weld dairy sector growing

OH: Mega dairy controversy continues

OH: Dairy product labeling topic of meeting

WI: Parlor Tour to Focus on Compost Bedded Barns

Cattle rustler gets jail time for stealing from Oakdale dairy

Wells' Dairy workers to vote on deal

WI: Vanderstappen Earns Walworth County Dairy Scholarship

WI: Former dairy’s freezer now filled with animals

Dairy co-op fills daily with Michigan's flavor

Aucklanders swapping traffic jams for dairy sheds

International Dairy Federation meets in India

Monday, March 10, 2008

California April Class 1 Prices Announced

Dairy Farmers Request Equity

U.S. Dairy Industry Needs To Maintain Export Demand

Pfizer Animal Health Kicks Off Excede Expectations Sweepstakes

Milk Producers Council Weekly Update

CA: Dairymen discuss milk output, plant capacity and impact on prices

CO: Weld dairy sector growing

GA: Sewage-Based Fertilizer Safety Doubted

IN: Cows hate ‘mooving’ clock up

MA: state mulls milk boost

WI: From Cow Pies to Clear Skies: Wisconsin Family Dairy Farm Lets...

Penn State and Cornell are offering HR management training for ag advisers, educators

Dairy Students Compete in Western Regional Dairy Challenge for the 3rd Year
 
New Feed Supplement Helps Newborn Calves Cope with Scours

UK: Jobs to go at dairy firm plants

Friday, March 7, 2008

Weekly Market Recap

Dairy Producers Are Facing Tough Times

Latest Slaughter Count

MA: Dairy farmers’ study seeks long-term aid

Australia: Trade buyers line up for Dairy Farmers

Bioactive dairy protein focus for Manitoba-Australia team-up

UK: 'Need fair price to stabilise the dairy industry’

UK: Campaigners urge public to choose udder milk options

Canada: Quebec backs Gatineau dairy project

Canada: Maintain Dairy Profitability with Precision

Jamaica: $1 billion dairy rescue plan - Milk production at 20-year low

Thursday, March 6, 2008

There's great news in U.S. dairy exports

Now "may" or "may not" be the right time to exit 

Farmers use technology to breed better cattle

Proper hoof trimming reduces lameness in cows

CA: Raw-milk law enforced for 1st time
  State clamps down
UK: Dairy prices are up 33%

Wednesday, March 5, 2008

IDFA's Processor Perspective

NY: Dairy, livestock day and trade show taking place today in Slate Hill

USCA: TDA Issues Order Stopping Canadian Cattle Not Consistent ...

Wells' Dairy and worker group reach deal
  Related
California cows start passing gas to the grid

WI: Milk prices take dip for state farmers

Behnke Promoted as Semex USA Central Region Manager

MA
: Something to say cheese about
Eastern European dairy outgrowing Western rivals

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

U.S. Dairy Farmers Host TeleConference Outlining Crisis in Dairy Industry

Dairy Farmers Across Country Praise Introduction Of Landmark Specter-Casey Bill

Dairy farmers from 5 states speak out

CA: PG&E to tap into cow power

Keeping cows cool in the summer big challenge for milk producers

Australia: Dairy industry set for recovery

Australia: Farmers to earn more from milk

Ireland: It's essential we claw back milk supplies

UK: Dairy farmers say they must be paid more for milk

UK: 'Milk could soon be in short supply'

Dairy farmer who decided to escape to the wild, frozen lands of Canada

Monday, March 3, 2008

January Dairy Products Report

California Class 4 Prices Announced

DMI Update

Dairy CheckOff Update: Feb. 2008

Rising Costs Had Farmers Talking In Abingdon, Va., On Saturday

WI: Farm column: Minor league provides future dairy farm stars

Badger Dairy Camp Applications

Looking at manure management in a new light

Milk Producers Council Weekly Update

Western United Dairymen Update

Barberton's Rosie the cow moves to new pasture

Import Watch: 4th Quarter 2007

N.D.: Officials hear views on proposed 1500-cow dairy farm
  Dairy Dispute


DMI Update
(March 31, 2008) Visalia , California dairy producer and DMI board member, Ron Koetsier, was back on Monday’s “DMI Update” to talk about the dairy check off involvement with the National Football League. He talked about it with DairyLine’s Bill Baker at the recent World Ag Expo in Tulare.  

He said that the check off continues to work with the NFL even though the season is over and the Super Bowl is behind us. He said it’s a partnership where “everybody has to do their part.” He reported that “We (the check off) don’t just give money to them (the NFL) and they don’t give money to us, we just bring the nutritional message and they bring the fitness message to the children, to the kids, to the fans, everybody who likes football.”

 

The message of the campaign is that you have to be active, Koetsier said. “You have to have good physical activity but you have to have a healthy diet and dairy is a big part of that. It just keeps you in good physical condition and gives you the energy to get out there and make the big plays.”

 

Whey beverages are also part of the promotion along with milk, according to Koetsier, plus whey nutrients and whey supplements “because athletic participants are looking for ways to build their body and they have to do it with something that is good, favorable, and healthy.”

 

HEIFER IMPORT UPDATE – Dairy Market News
Canadian Dairy Breeding Female Imports

Week ending:    Weekly Total     2008 Cumulative Total

March 1         1252              12,586

March 8         1200              13,786

March 15        1344              15,130

March 22        1540             16,670


Milk Feed Price Ratio Drops For Sixth Consecutive Month
(March 28, 2008) The March Milk-Feed Price Ratio is 2.05, down from February's revised estimate of 2.24, according to USDA’s “Ag Prices” report issued this afternoon. That's six consecutive months the ratio has decreased.  That compares to 2.39 in March of 2007. 
 
The All Milk Price was estimated at $18.30 per hundredweight, down 80 cents from last month's estimate, and compares to $15.60 a year ago. Corn averaged $4.83 per bushel, up 30 cents from February, and $1.40 above March 2007. The soybean price, at $11.90 per bushel, was up 20 cents from February, and $4.95 above a year ago. Text | PDF

Dairy Markets Weekly Review
(March 28, 2008) Cash butter sales returned to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange on March 24. It was the first sale since February 29, even though the price had crept up to $1.3975 per pound on unfilled bids. The next day the price dropped almost 4 cents, the first decline since February 21. It closed Friday at $1.36, down 2 3/4-cents on the week but 3 cents above that week a year ago. Eight cars traded hands on the week. NASS-surveyed butter averaged $1.2882, up a penny.
 
Block cheese closed Friday at $1.81, up a penny on the week and 39 cents above a year ago. Barrel closed at $1.75, down 2 1/2-cents on the week but 33 cents above a year ago. The NASS block average plunged 8.2 cents, to $1.9158. Barrel averaged $1.8915, down 8.3 cents. NASS nonfat dry milk averaged $1.2697, up 3.2 cents, and dry whey averaged 24.47 cents, up 0.2 cent. Eleven cars of block were sold on the week and 14 of barrel.


Milk Labeling in Ohio
(March 28, 208) Ohio will be a battleground state in the upcoming presidential election and it's turning into a battleground state regarding milk labels. Dairy Profit Weekly editor, Dave Natzke, reported Friday that the Ohio Department of Agriculture refilled a proposed dairy labeling rule following a public hearing earlier in March. The rule seeks to address so-called "absence labels” on milk, with the center of the debate being recombinant bovine somatotropin, or rbST-free milk.

 

Natzke said the rule seeks to balance the consumers’ “right to know” while preventing misleading or confusing claims. The revised Ohio rule, which will be subject to a public hearing on April 18, prohibits compositional claims such as hormone-free, since all milk contains natural hormones.

 

The rule does, however, allow "production claims" on labels, noting that the milk was produced from cows not treated with rbST. Companies using those labels must also include language noting that the Food and Drug Administration has determined that there is no significant difference between milk derived from rbST-supplemented and non-supplemented cows.

 

Processors and retailers, including the International Dairy Foods Association, support labels, according to Natzke, because they help consumers identify the milk they are demanding. However, processors oppose state-by-state labeling requirements due to the added costs when milk is marketed across state lines.

 

Label opponents, including the American Farmers for the Advancement and Conservation of Technology charge that the labels are meant to imply that those dairy products are safer than non-labeled products and are being used to raise retail prices to confused consumers, Natzke reported.

 

American Farm Bureau data shows average retail prices of labeled milk are about 70 cents per half-gallon more than non-labeled milk, according to Natzke, and that translates into a $17 per hundredweight markup on retail prices, while in many cases dairy farmers are getting no more than 25-50 cents per hundredweight of that premium.

Ag Will Likely Be Exempt From New EPA Emission Regulations
(March 27, 2008) Livestock and dairy farms should be exempt from the Environmental Protection Agency’s so-called Super Fund air emission regulations, according to National Milk’s Rob Byrne. The Federation, along with the National Council of Farmer Cooperatives, submitted comments to that effect to the EPA and Byrne talked about it in Thursday’s Capitol Hill Update on DairyLine.  

The EPA, in late 2007, published a proposed rule relating to the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act and the Emergency Planning and Community Right-to-Know Act (CERCLA/EPCRA) which are intended to address industrial waste sites and their emissions.

 

Byrne said there was some confusion as to whether they should be applied to agricultural operations and in the proposal, the EPA indicates that farms and waste from farms be exempt from reporting under these regulations.

 

The rule does not allow agricultural operations to do whatever they please as they are still governed by EPA’s Clean Air Act and the Clean Water Act which Byrnes said was the appropriate place to regulate farms and waste from farms.

 

“Farmers are doing a great job now of complying with existing regulations and those are the appropriate places for that, Byrne said. “CERCLA and EPCRA are intended to address super fund sites, waste sites from industrial accidents and those types of things and not farm operations.”

 

When asked if there was a concern that EPA would not exempt agriculture, Bryne answered that, EPA’s proposal contains the exemption and he hopes that they finalize it. He admitted that there are groups who object to the exemption of agriculture and have submitted comments to that effect but he believes that, after reading through the EPA’s proposal, the exemption will remain.

 

Dairy Profit Weekly editor, Dave Natzke updates us on the latest in the BST/milk labeling controversy on tomorrow's DairyLine broadcast and Dr. Paul Chandler has his weekly "Nutrition Update" in our second half.


A Lot Of Eyes On Rising Feed Prices
(March 26, 2008) A lot of eyes are on rising feed prices, especially dairy producers and, while the recent plunge in grain prices appeared to be a reprieve, it was short lived as prices have rebounded, according to Downes-O’Neill dairy broker, Dave Kurzawski.

 

Kurzawski reported that 20 percent of the value of the bean price and just over 10 percent of the corn price was lost in about one week’s time. He blamed what he referred to as “A speculative sell off” which happened on the heels of the Bear Sterns blowup two Fridays ago.

 

“You have a lot of fund money in those agricultural markets,” Kurzawski explained, “Not so much in the milk but in the grain markets and they all kinda ran for the door at the same time but they are rebounding this week and they still remain at very elevated levels.”

 

Kurzawski recommend that dairy producers lock up grain prices when they can because he doesn’t believe prices will get any better in the short term. The Prospective Plantings report is out March 31, he said, and after that it’s going to be a weather concern if “we can even get the crop in the ground in an orderly fashion.” The Midwest is pretty wet right now, according to Kurzawski, “So there’s going to be some concerns going forward.”

 

As to milk, Kurzawski advises that producers buy $15 put options and sell the $19 call options for 2009. He said they are going further out than ever in their hedging strategy for milk right now.

 

Kurzawski doesn’t see cheese prices falling much from present levels. He expects a range of $1.70 to $1.90 over the next month or so. For more information, call Dave at 1-800-231-3089.


First Sale in Cash Market Since Last Month
(March 25, 2008) Cheese prices were unchanged yesterday but butter gained a penny and the first sale occurred in the cash market since late February. Downes-O’Neill dairy economist, Bill Brooks, said the lack of sales is very odd considering we just came through Easter, one of the two heaviest demand times for butter.

 

Once the price started to move up, Brooks said it appeared that sellers held back to see how high it would go, and held inventories in confidence, anticipating that demand will be good all year long which follows the pattern of a year ago.

 

“Prices took off at a time that you weren’t really expecting it to, given the market fundamentals, and as a result,” he said “We didn’t see butter prices go as high as other dairy commodities so we could be setting ourselves up for a repeat of that again this year.”

 

When asked if ice cream demand or exports were contributing to the strength, Brooks said that ice cream production is starting to come into play and “sopping up a little of the cream that’s currently available,” as is buttermilk production, “but not to the extent that we’re starting to short churns by any means.”

 

There have been some exports, according to Brooks, but the U.S. is in an “iffy position on butter” because it doesn’t make the kind of butter demanded in the world market. We make a salted, 80 percent butterfat, butter while the world market typically wants an 82 percent butterfat, unsalted product. He added that it takes a “leap of faith” on the part of U.S. butter manufacturers to shift its production and “it takes a long time to consummate those types of sales.”

 

When asked how soon the cheese price would weaken again, Brooks admitted that it rebounded quicker than he had expected but, as we go on into April, “We’ll definitely see things turn around as the spring flush comes on and there’ll be a shift in plant margins becoming a lot stronger than what they’re looking like now.”


Dairy Checkoff Continues Work With Fast Food Chains
(March 24, 2008) The dairy check off continues to work with fast food chains across the country, according to Visalia, California dairy producer and DMI board member, Ron Koetsier. Koetsier talked about it with DairyLine’s Bill Baker at the recent World Ag Expo in Tulare

 

He reported that research by the National Dairy Board provided the ammunition they needed to convince fast food chains to begin offering milk in round, single-serve re-sealable, plastic containers and such outlets now exceed 60,000. Some of the better known chains include McDonalds, Wendy’s, Burger King, Sonic, Carl’s Junior, and Subway, according to Koetsier.

 

He added that, while the recent run up in retail milk prices has hurt sales there, it has helped drive milk sales at fast food restaurants and, as more restaurants offer it, it will help to offset some of the losses at retail.

 

Koetsier also pointed out that Dairy Board research shows that the “3-A-Day of Dairy” campaign has resonated with consumers and “by keeping that message in front, people realize that they need to have a serving of dairy.” He adds that the fast food chains now believe that, instead of “super sizing everybody,” they need to offer a more healthy menu, “So dairy is a part of that.”


Dairy Markets Weekly Review

(March 21, 2008) The cash cheese market started the Easter holiday shortened week on a continued decline from the previous week but reversed gears Tuesday. The block price closed Thursday at $1.80 per pound, down just a penny on the week but 40 cents above a year ago. Barrel closed at $1.7750, up 3 1/2-cents on the week, and 36 1/2-cents above a year ago. Twenty one cars of block traded hands on the week and 22 of barrel. The NASS U.S. average block price averaged $1.9975, down 4.8 cents. Barrel averaged $1.9745, down 2.7 cents.

 

Butter closed Thursday at $1.3875, up 3 1/2-cents on the week, and 5 3/4-cents above a year ago. Nothing has sold in the cash butter market since February 29; the gains have all come on unfilled bids. NASS butter averaged $1.2785, up 7.9 cents. NASS nonfat dry milk averaged $1.2385, down 3 cents, and dry whey averaged 24.38 cents, down 0.3 cent.


April Federal Order Class I Price Up $1.91

(March 21, 2008) The April Federal order Class I base milk price was announced this morning by the Agriculture Department at $18.61 per hundredweight, up $1.91 from March, and $3.61 above April 2007. The Class III advanced pricing factor was “the higher of” in determining the Class I value.

 

The NASS-surveyed butter price averaged $1.2438 per pound, up 2.9 cents from March. Nonfat dry milk averaged $1.2537, down 8.6 cents, cheese averaged $2.0190, up 21 cents, and dry whey averaged 24.54 cents, down 2.2 cents from March.

 

Advanced Pricing Factors

Apr 2008 Mar 2008 Feb 2008
Class I Base  $18.61/cwt. $16.70/cwt. $19.68/cwt.

*The Base Skim Milk Class I: 

$14.39/cwt. $12.54/cwt. $15.44/cwt.

Class III skim:

$14.39/cwt. $12.54/cwt. $15.44/cwt.

Class IV skim:

$9.77/cwt. $10.54/cwt. $13.69/cwt.

**Butterfat

$1.3483/lb. $1.3138/lb. $1.3660/lb.

Class II Skim price:

$10.47/cwt. $11.24/cwt. $14.39/cwt.

Class II NFS price:

$1.1633/lb. $1.2489/lb. $1.5989/lb.

2-week Product Price Averages:

 

Apr 2008 Mar 2008 Feb 2008

Butter

$1.2438/lb. $1.2150/lb. $1.2585/lb.

NFDM

$1.2537/lb. $1.3398/lb. $1.6931/lb.

Cheese

$2.0190/lb. $1.8092/lb. $2.0126/lb.

Dry Whey

$0.2454/lb. $0.2673/lb. $0.4380/lb.

 


DFA Meeting Recap
(March 21, 2008) Dairy Farmers of America, the nation’s largest dairy cooperative, held its 10th annual meeting in Kansas City this week. Dairy Profit Weekly editor, Dave Natzke, was there and reported in Friday’s broadcast that it was a bittersweet year for DFA and its 10,600 dairy farmer members and that was reflected in the financial and business reports presented by the co-op’s leaders.

 

On the positive side, the amount of milk marketed through DFA was up slightly, to a record 61.9 billion pounds, according to Natzke, and that’s about one-third of the nation’s total production.

 

The high 2007 milk and dairy product prices pushed net sales topping $11.1 billion, up $3.5 billion from 2006, he said, and prices paid to DFA members averaged $19.38 per hundredweight in 2007, $6.30 more than the year before.

 

However, the record prices and market volatility had a downside on the processing and marketing side of the business and DFA leadership used an unprecedented closed delegate meeting a day before the annual meeting to discuss those issues, Natzke reported.

 

Rick Smith, DFA president and CEO, noted the Class I, or fluid market, was especially troublesome, with milk price increases and an inability to pass along margins in the marketing chain. Dean Foods, which buys 80 percent of its milk from DFA, reported a difficult year, and Smith characterized National Dairy Holdings, DFA’s largest investment, as a “financial performance casualty.”  

 

DFA terminated 14 joint ventures and closed three plants, including cheese plants in Lovington , New Mexico , and Corona , California , and devalued some assets in 2007. These actions resulted in total non-cash charges of nearly $145 million. The co-op’s bottom line saw a net loss of $109 million, the largest in the co-op’s 10-year history.

 

Despite those losses, Smith said the business decisions made this year will improve DFA’s marketing efficiency and put it in a better position for the future.  

Latest Cold Storage Figures Released
(March 20, 2008) February butter stocks totaled 201.1 million pounds, according to the USDA’s latest Cold Storage report issued this afternoon, up 13 million pounds or 7 percent from January, and 15.7 million or 8 percent above those in February 2007. January butter stocks were revised up slightly.

American type cheese totaled 518.4 million pounds, up 24 million pounds or 5 percent from January, but 46.7 million pounds or 8 percent below a year ago.  January stocks were revised up 700,000 pounds.

The total cheese inventory for February is 805.5 million pounds, up 24.1million pounds or 3 percent from January, but 70.2 million pounds or 8 percent below a year ago. January stocks were revised up 1.7 million pounds. Full Report: Text | PDF

Latest Livestock Slaughter Report
(March 20, 2008) Thursday’s Livestock Slaughter report from the Agriculture Department shows 214,000 dairy cows were sent to slaughter in February, down 22,000 from January but 12,000 head more than a year ago.  450,000 head have been sent to slaughter this year, up 20,000 head from the first two months of 2007. Full Report: Text | PDF

Consumer Scrutiny Over Meat Recall
(March 20, 2008) Consumer scrutiny over animal care has heightened again due to the Hallmark meat recall. National Milk is taking steps to help educate dairy producers in that regard, according to Chris Galen in Thursdays broadcast. Galen said that the Federation’s National Health Committee met this week to discuss what additional educational materials might be warranted in response to what people have been viewing on Youtube and the Humane Society’s website.  

“We need to reassure both customers and ultimately consumers, that decisions about cow care, including culling, are sound and responsible,” Galen said. Congress, the USDA, and private sector companies are going to be asking more questions about beef industry practices, including the treatment of all cattle, he said, and “We will have to deal with that.”

 

We talked about the National Dairy Animal Well being Initiative which was developed last year by several dairy entities to set on farm standards the industry could rally around and point to as practices that dairy farmers uniformly endorse.

Galen looks for more discussion on this in the coming year as a resource that producers can use because “In the future we can expect more food industry customers to care about what happens on dairy farms and beef ranches and that may include looking at what sort of standard individual producers have.”

 

Dairy farmers are invited to comment on the guidelines to National Milk and a website is available for more information at www.dairywellbeing.org.


Dairy Outlook

(March 19, 2008) Milk yield will grow more slowly in 2008 as a near-term response to high feed prices, according to the Agriculture Department’s Livestock Dairy and Poultry Outlook issued this morning. Milk production will continue upward through most of 2008, according to the report, lowering milk prices. Exports will continue to figure prominently in dairy product price formation. Prices will be lower than in 2007, it said, but not as low as they would be without exports.

 

Production is forecast to rise 2.7 percent in 2008 over 2007, reaching 190.7 billion pounds. The increase comes as cow numbers are forecast to rise above I percent in 2008. Feed prices continue to rise about year-earlier levels, and are expected to do so for the remainder of 2008. However, those producers who have expansion plans underway will continue to implement them.


Dairy Outlook 
Milk yield will grow more slowly in 2008 as a near-term response to high feed prices, according to the Agriculture Department’s Livestock Dairy and Poultry Outlook issued this morning. Milk production will continue upward through most of 2008, according to the report, lowering milk prices. Exports will continue to figure prominently in dairy product price formation. Prices will be lower than in 2007, it said, but not as low as they would be without exports.

 

Production is forecast to rise 2.7 percent in 2008 over 2007, reaching 190.7 billion pounds. The increase comes as cow numbers are forecast to rise above I percent in 2008. Feed prices continue to rise about year-earlier levels, and are expected to do so for the remainder of 2008. However, those producers who have expansion plans underway will continue to implement them.


Government Needs To Work With The Right Tools
(March 19, 2008) Government intervention in producer milk prices was our topic Wednesday in the “Processor’s Perspective.” The International Dairy Foods Association’s, John Rutherford, liked it to comedy routines in the late seventies and early '80's that parodied kitchen appliance infomercials. One such product, he said was on “Saturday Night Live,” when Dan Akroyd put a fish in the "Bass-o-matic", ground it up, drank the concoction, and proclaimed, "Ummm, that's good bass!"

 

Another invention came from a comedian named Gallager. One of his trademark stunts was to demonstrate his simple food processor called the Sledge-o-Matic, where he placed food items on a stool and used his tool to smash the food, often splashing pieces into the audience.

 

Rutherford admitted that these examples were a bit of a stretch but illustrates a point. He said “There are tools which are correct for certain jobs, and tools that are not. If you want a drink with fish protein in it, the "Bass-o-matic" is not the correct way to get it.  And if you need mashed potatoes for dinner, you aren't going to reach for the sledge hammer.”

He pointed out that discussions in and around the US dairy industry often turn to schemes to raise producer returns and, too often a common thread in those talks involves arbitrarily increasing to the cost of fluid use milk, also known as Class I. 

 

“The Federal Order system is for the efficient allocation and movement of milk to supply Class I uses,” Rutherford argued. “It’s about combining pool receipts and equally paying all farms supplying a market. If all these conditions are met, then why should USDA create or inflate price factors solely to raise prices?”

 

He quoted USDA’s, Lloyd Day, Administrator of the Agricultural Marketing Service, who told the House Agriculture's Subcommittee on Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry last spring that "The marketing order program is not a price or income support program." "USDA operates the Milk Price Support Program and the Milk Income Loss Contract (MILC) for price and income support purposes."

 

“I am willing to bet the next time you change a flat tire, you don't reach for a pitchfork,” Rutherford concluded. “Let's ask our national policymakers to employ the correct tools as well.”


Cash Cheese Market Loses Ground
(March 18, 2008) The cash cheese market continued to lose ground the week of March 17. University of Wisconsin Emeritus Professor, Dr. Robert Cropp, said in Tuesday’s DairyLine that $1.70 by April first was his expectation, even though cheese has been tight. He blamed rising milk production and seasonality for the weakness.

 

Demand has been pretty good, according to Cropp, but it’s been a tight situation because of the concern over plunging inventory values when cheese prices dropped. Buyers and manufacturers have been cautious, he said. January Cheddar production was down about 4 1/2 percent from a year ago and he cited the big decline in California due to a closed plant. Demand may be okay, he said, but supply and demand has been kept pretty tight.

 

When asked if the export market had contributed to the strength of the cheese market, Cropp replied, “Yes it is.” January cheese exports were up about 20 percent from a year ago, he said, and exports ended last year pretty strong.

 

That’s only about 2.4 percent of total U.S. cheese output and a little over 1 percent of the Cheddar supply but it is a factor, he said.

 

Look for the butter bubble to burst after Easter, according to Cropp. Specials are on right now, he said, and that has boosted demand but Class II product demands have been filled so more cream will be available. Butter prices are above a year ago, he concluded, but it’s about at the peak and will see a little decline as we move into summer and then rebound next fall.

Dairy Situation and Outlook, March 17, 2008
By Bob Cropp, Professor Emeritus
University of Wisconsin Cooperative Extension
University of Wisconsin-Madison

Milk prices fell in February but may average a little higher for March. The Class III price was $19.32 for January but fell to $17.03 for February. The March Class III price may average a little higher than the February Class III price. The word "may" is used here because of the time lag between CME cheese prices and NASS survey of and reporting of cheese prices used in the Class III product price formula.  The NASS prices for the first week that will be used for the March Class III were $2.0452 per pound for 40-pound cheddar blocks and $2.1055 for cheddar barrels. CME cheese prices have fallen since then beginning with the February 28th trading session. As of March 17th, 40-pound blocks had fallen 36 cents to $1.73 per pound and barrels 33.75 cents to $1.69 per pound. NASS survey prices used for the March Class III will be driven by  what happened to CME cheese prices the weeks beginning February 18 and 25 and March 3, 10 and 17. So if CME cheese prices fall much further this week, the March Class III price may not end up higher than February's.

Up until this time cheddar cheese price have held up surprisingly well considering increases in milk production. But, due to cheddar cheese plant closings, previous unfavorable cheese operating margins and reluctance on the part of buyers and cheese plants to carry un-necessary inventories when cheese prices are relatively high, cheddar production has been below year-ago levels. As of January, cheddar production was still 4.5% below a year ago. Less production kept stocks tight. As of January 31st, American cheese stocks were down 9.7% from a year ago.

An earlier Easter Holiday and store specials have resulted in a strengthening of butter prices despite higher butter production and stocks. As of March 17th CME butter was $1.355 per pound compared to $1.3175 a year ago January 31st butter stocks were 26.4% higher than a year ago. Nonfat dry milk prices remain low compared to a year ago as production and stocks build. West nonfat dry milk prices are $1.20 to $1.30 per pound. Dry whey prices also remain lower at 22 to 26 cents per pound. January 31st stocks of dry whey were 91.7% higher than a year ago.

USDA's report on milk production for the month of February showed total production for the 23 reporting states up 2.4% from a year ago, adjusted to 28 days. This is a little less than the 2.7% increase for the month of January. Milk cow numbers, which began to build month to month beginning with May of last year stood at 1.6% higher than a year ago. But, just 0.8% more milk per cow held down the increase in total milk production. High feed prices and a deterioration of the milk-feed-price ratio may partially explain the lower performance in milk per cow. Milk per cow was substantially lower than a year ago in several states: California - 0.7%, Arizona - 2.0%, Indiana -2.2%, Iowa - 4.6%, Kentucky -2.6%, Michigan - 2.9%, Minnesota - 0.9%, Missouri - 4.3%, Oregon - 10.4%, Pennsylvania -1.5%.

Compared to February a year ago and adjusted for 28 days, total milk production for the leading five dairy states that produce over 50% of the milk was: California +1.9%, Wisconsin +0.8%, New York +3.4%, Idaho +7.2% and Pennsylvania - 1.0%. February milk production for some of the other key dairy states was: Florida -2.9%, New Mexico +8.1%, Texas +12.0%, Michigan +1.8%, Ohio +2.1%, Iowa -2.3% and Indiana - 1.2%. We can expect milk cow numbers to continue to build at least for the first half of the year. Lower milk prices and high feed prices may encourage heavier slaughter of dairy cows as the year progresses. But, dairy replacements are about 3% higher than a year ago that will allow for continued expansion in cow numbers. There may also be another round of CWT in 2008. But, as of now milk production could grow well over 2% for the year.

Commercial disappearance is likely to grow slower in 2008, the result of a slow growth in the economy and relatively high dairy product prices and high gas prices. But, some of this slow down in domestic milk and dairy product sales will be offset by an expected further growth in dairy exports. In 2007, dairy exports on a total milk solids basis, was equivalent to 9.3% of U.S. milk production. Exports of nonfat dry milk and dry whey have slowed in recent months but are expected to improve as summer approaches. World demand for milk proteins, cheese and butter remain strong. The continuation of the effects of the Australian drought, and now drought in New Zealand will be factors contributing to increased U.S. dairy product exports. EU is allowing member countries to expand their milk quotas by 2% beginning April 1st and reports are that milk production is already favorable in some countries. But, much of this increases in milk production is targeted for domestic consumption. 

Increased exports may raise nonfat dry milk prices by summer and fall to $1.40 per pound or even higher and dry whey prices back in the $0.40s per pound, but both staying below the record highs of 2007.

We can expect some further decrease in cheddar cheese prices and dropping below $1.70 per pound in April and May but staying relatively favorable. Class III prices from April to July of $16.00 plus now seem reasonable. With some strengthening or cheese prices and dry whey prices by late summer and fall, a $17.00 Class III is quite possible by September and October. At this time Class III futures is showing such a pattern. But, any major changes in milk production, growth domestic sales or dairy exports can change the milk price outcome.

February Milk Production Tops A Year Ago by 6 Percent

(March 17, 2008) U.S. milk production continues to run well ahead of year ago levels and hasn’t shown a decrease since February 2005. The Agriculture Department issued preliminary data for February 2008 this afternoon and totaled a whopping 13.9 billion pounds, up 6 percent from February 2007, but keep in mind the data includes the extra day in February this year.

Revisions added another 40 million pounds to the January estimate which now stands at 14.7 billion pounds, up 2.7 percent from January 2007.

The CME’s Daily Dairy Report lends some perspective. It points out that, when adjusted for the extra day in February this year, the 23-state total is up just 2.4 percent and the extrapolated 50-state total is only up 1.9 percent.

February cow numbers totaled 8.42 million head, up 9,000 from January, and 136,000 head more than a year ago. Output per cow averaged 1,653 pounds, up 69 pounds from a year ago.

California ’s February output was up 5.5 percent from a year ago, thanks to 46,000 more cows and 50 pounds more per cow. Wisconsin was up 4.4 percent, on a 60 pound gain per cow and 3,000 more cows. New York produced 7.1 percent more milk than a year ago, thanks to a 110 pound gain per cow outweighing a 2,000 cow decline.

Idaho was up 11 percent, thanks to 30,000 more cows an 80 pound gain per cow. Pennsylvania was up 2.6 percent on a 30 pound gain per cow and 3,000 more cows, and Minnesota output saw a 4.4 percent increase on a 40 pound gain per cow and 8,000 more cows in the milking herd.

The biggest percentage gain was scored in Colorado , up 18.2 percent, followed by Texas , up 16 percent, New Mexico , up 12 percent, and then Idaho . The biggest loses occurred in Oregon , down 8.2 percent, Missouri , off 5.1 percent, and Kentucky with a 1 percent decline.

State by State

Milk Cows 
Change from Feb 2007

Output Per Cow 
Change from
Feb 2007

Milk Production
Change from
Feb 2007

Arizona

+10,000

+30 lbs.

+7.4%

California

+46,000

+50 lbs.

+5.5%

Colorado

+10,000

+145 lbs. 

+18.2%

Florida

-6,000

+75 lbs.

+0.5%

Idaho

+30,000

+80 lbs. 

+11.0%

Illinois

-1,000 

+55 lbs.

+3.3%

Indiana

+2,000 

+20 lbs.

+2.3%

Iowa

+5,000

-20 lbs.    

+1.2%

Kansas

-1,000   

+155 lbs.

+9.0%  

Kentucky

-2,000

+10 lbs.

-1.0%

Michigan

+16,000

+10 lbs.

+5.4%

Minnesota

+8,000

+40 lbs.

+4.4%

Missouri

-5,000

-10 lbs.

-5.1%

New Mexico

-14,000

+255 lbs.

+12.0%

New York

-2,000 

+110 lbs.

+7.1%

Ohio

+4,000

+60 lbs.

+5.8%

Oregon

-1,000 

-115 lbs.

-8.2%

Pennsylvania

+3,000 

+30 lbs.

+2.6% 

Texas

+23,000

+145 lbs.

+16.0%

Vermont

Unchanged 

+115 lbs.    

+8.2%

Virginia

-2,000

+70 lbs.

+2.9%

Washington

+9,000

+70 lbs.

+7.9%

Wisconsin

+4,000

+60 lbs.

+4.4%

23 State Total

+136,000

+69 lbs.

+6.0%


U.S. Dairy Exports Enjoyed Unprecedented Sales in 2007

(March 17, 2008) Colorado dairy producer and U.S. Dairy Export Council (USDEC) board member, Les Hardesty, was our guest in Monday’s “DMI Update” to complete our discussion of the hot 2007 dairy export market. U.S. dairy exports enjoyed unprecedented sales in 2007, driven by U.S. dairy producer’s willingness and ability to capitalize on tight world markets and strong dairy demand.

 

Hardesty pointed out that dairying today in the United States “truly is a global business,” and he said “The health of our U.S. dairy industry truly depends on the strength of world markets and that’s a change from the last few years.”

 

2007 U.S. dairy exports totaled $3.06 billion, up 62 percent from 2006 according to Hardesty, who called it “great news for dairy farmers in the U.S,” and, because of that strength, the U.S. enjoyed a trade surplus in 2007.

 

The continued success in the world market is dependant on DMI, the national dairy check off, and the USDEC, Hardesty said, and “Because U.S. dairy products are of such great quality, the world wants our dairy products,” and he said that he was proud to be a dairy farmer and a member of the USDEC.

 

He also reported that 39 percent of the nonfat milk dry milk produced in the U.S. in 2007 was exported and 59 percent of whey proteins were exported and he quickly added, “Those are huge numbers and truly do help drive our domestic prices and help to keep our domestic prices firm for U.S. producers.” He said that “Exports are no longer just an opportunity but truly are a critical factor in driving our market.”

 

Export gains occurred in 2007 in nearly all categories of dairy, according to Hardesty. On a value basis the four top categories being dried milk, either skim milk powder or nonfat dry milk, whey protein, cheese, and lactose. Those four categories alone equated to three quarters of U.S. dairy exports, he concluded.

Dairy Markets Weekly Review
(March 14, 2008) Weakness continued in the cash cheese market the second week of March. Block cheese ended the week at $1.81 per pound, down 5 1/2-cents, but 45 3/4-cents above that week a year ago. Barrel closed Friday at $1.74, down 12 3/4-cents on the week, but 38 1/4-cents above a year ago. Seventeen cars of block traded hands on the week and 15 of barrel. 

The NASS-surveyed U.S. average block price hit $2.0452, up 5.6 cents. Barrel averaged $2.0014, up 3.5 cents.

Cash butter continued to move higher on bids and closed Friday at $1.3525, up 3 cents on the week, and 5 1/4 above a year ago. Nothing was sold on the week. Grade A and Extra Grade nonfat dry milk dropped a dime, to $1.30 per pound.

NASS-surveyed butter averaged $1.2065, up 3.8 cents. Nonfat dry milk averaged $1.2679, up 2.4 cents, and dry whey averaged 24.72, up 1.1 cents on the week.


U.S. Dairy Exports Can Remain Strong
(March 14, 2008) Early indications are that U.S. dairy exports can remain strong, according to Dairy Profit Weekly editor, Dave Natzke, in Friday’s broadcast, although prices for major powder products will be weaker, cutting into export income.

 

The USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service’s latest estimates put U.S. dairy exports at a value of $323 million in January, up 4 percent from December and more than double that of January 2007. January imports were estimated at $258 million, down 12 percent from December, but $30 million more than January 2007. 

 

U.S. dairy exports for the first quarter of fiscal year 2008 (October 2007-January 2008) totaled $1.3 billion, 111 percent more than the same period a year earlier.

At the same time, first-quarter imports were valued at $1.1 billion, 19 percent more than a year earlier. So, through the first four months of FY ’08, the U.S. dairy trade surplus totaled $181 million.

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