July 2009 Archived Dairy News
Friday, July 31, 2009
Ag Prices Report: Corn Drops 70 Cents
NMPF
Applauds Expansion of Dairy Price Support Program to Help Farmers
At Gillibrand's Urging
This Week, USDA To Increase Dairy Pricing
Obey Welcomes USDA Action To
Boost Prices To Dairy Farmers
Federal Order Benchmark Milk Price Remains At $9.97
Dairy Markets Weekly Recap
Feingold Welcomes Relief
For Wisconsin Farmers
Dairy Profit Weekly with Dave Natzke
Dairy Market Report for the
end of July 2009
Vermont's
Sanders Demands Higher Milk Payments
US
Senate taking up import loophole to boost milk prices
College
Grove dairy farm expands
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Udall Supports NM Dairy
Farmers in Meeting with Ag Secretary
Dairy Does D.C.
N.Y.
senators seek dairy aid
Everyone in America Profits From Agriculture, Except Farmers
Online
Video Feed
Statement of U.S. Sen
Schumer
eyes milk import limits
Market
Advisor: US Cattle Herd Continues To Decline
Dropping
Milk Prices Cause Dairy Farms to Struggle
It's
clean, it's green, it's cow manure power
County
Farm City Day set Aug. 8
Wednesday, July 29, 2009
House
Members Reconstitute Congressional Dairy Farmer Caucus...
Beef Checkoff Benefits Dairy Producers By Defending Veal Industry
New
York lawmakers revive dairy caucus
Idaho
congressmen to the rescue of dairy industry
House
Agriculture Subcommittee on Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Hearing
Dairy
Leader Testifies Government Can Help Dairy Exporters Maintain
Markets
Sanders
spars with Dean Foods CEO over milk prices
Bank
Of America Reaches $100M Settlement With Parmalat
Holsteins
took center stage at the Lebanon Area Fair
Butter
sculptures pay tribute to Ohio's dairy farmers
UK:
New dairy unit open day at Harper Adams University College
Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Beef Checkoff Benefits Dairy Producers By Defending Veal Industry
New York lawmakers revive dairy caucus
Idaho congressmen to the rescue of dairy industry
House Agriculture Subcommittee on Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Hearing
Dairy Leader Testifies Government Can Help Dairy Exporters Maintain Markets
Sanders spars with Dean Foods CEO over milk prices
Bank Of America Reaches $100M Settlement With Parmalat
Butter sculptures pay tribute to Ohio's dairy farmers
UK: New dairy unit open day at Harper Adams University College
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Market Analysis with Robert Cropp
Dairy
coops sign marketing agreement
Dean
Foods Company Announces Webcast of Second Quarter Earnings ...
Why
some dairy farmers aren't waiting Till the cows come home
Robo-dairy
Dairy
sees transition over 70 years
Tenn.
dairies struggle with falling prices
Lotterman:
Low prices mean tough times for dairy farmers
Jonker
Promoted to NMPF Vice President of Scientific & Regulatory
Affairs
Monitor Individual Somatic Cell
Counts to Improve Herd Health
Monday, July 27, 2009
Milk
Producers Council Weekly Update
Western
United Dairymen Update
Market
Advisor: What's Up Or Down With Cow Prices?
Milk
fees proposed
Got Milk? Restaurants Do
National Ice Cream Month
Event a Ringing Success
Research Shows Still Time
to Increase Hay Yields
India:
Ludhiana cow creates national record in milk production
Cabinet Members
Publish Energy Op-Eds in Regional Papers
Economy
Hits Local Dairy
Recalling
a happier time for Sonoma County's dairymen
Heifer Import Update
Iowa
family: Robotic milker lets them leave farm
Tillamook:
the town that cheese built
Ag Secretary Names
Additional USDA Staff
Livingston
Co. brothers raise 2 behemoth bovines
Penn
State Ice-Cream Grad Is 'King of Cones' in Ky.
Friday, July 24, 2009
Dairy Markets Week in Review
AFACT Summit: Working Together To Create Solutions
Cropp:
Dairy Prices Won't Rise Until Production Falls More
Vermont
panel hears from dairy farmers
Lawmakers
seek relief for dairy farms
France's
Groupe Danone says H1 profit rises 44 percent as dairy ...
Thursday, July 23, 2009
Mid-Week Milk Production Update
What To Do To Relieve Financially Struggling Dairy Producers
NMPF
Strategic Planning Task Force Meets...
Statement
of Paul Rozwadowski On Behalf of the National Family Farm Coalition
Vermont
presses milk price supports in Washington
Man
trampled to death on Glenmore dairy farm
Dairy
Judging teams head to state event
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Checking the Cupboard: June Cold Storage Report
ABC
News Video - Dairy Farms Disappear
U.S.
cheesemakers take the world stage
Campaign Responds To Beef Safety Issues in the Media
Statement
of Paul Rozwadowski on
behalf of the National Family Farm Coalition
Report Confirms Feingold,
Gillibrand Concerns About Impact of Down Economy....
Legislation
includes 'cattle gas tax' exemptions
Dairy
Farmers of America pays members $9.5M to counter tough economy
Hearings
Continue On Dairy EconomyDairy
producer dumps milk to send a message
Missouri
dairy farmers ask Congress for help
Georgia Milk Producers Testifies To Congressional Panel
Sanders:
Dairy processor profits as farmers suffer
Our
view: State dairy farms disappearing sinking
in debt
Dairy Deja vu
Despite
obstacles, optimism remains for 'cow power'
Family
members create success on Melrose dairy operation
Fort
Dodge: Single-Dose, Combination Dairy Cattle Vaccine With ...
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Market Analysis with Bill Brooks
ID: Dairymen
are losing between 100 to 150 dollars per cow per month
Thriving
organic farm shuns grain
Ag Funding Bill Addresses
Vital Wisconsin Needs, Obey says
Pre-,
probiotics combo may reduce food allergy: Danone study
Dairy
Industry Milked By Recession, Heat
Dairy
Situation & Outlook: Milk Production Drops Below 2008 Levels
New
Zealand: Average dairy farm made $58500 cash loss in 2008/09: MAF
Prairie
Farms’ school milk bid reflects challenges
Cow
project `awesome'
Miss
America visits Elkhart County Fair
It's
The Pitts: Fair Game
Monday, July 20, 2009
Projected MILC payouts are down with lower feed prices
Weekly Updates MPC
WUD
AWMP
GIPSA
reviewing 'unfair practices'
Getting
creamed Vermont
Milk Co. closes
Plunging
prices hurt dairy farms Dairy
in Distress
USDA
slow to act on milk price crisis
North
Coast dairy cows sold to slaughter as milk prices fall
NY
dairy is feeling the squeeze
Dairy
farmers continue to struggle, ask Congress for help
Pa.
senators co-sponsor dairy industry bill
Request
Aid For Dairy Farmers
Vilsack
meets with farmers in Virginia
McCafe Contains Up To 80 Percent Milk
Pfizer Animal Health Program
Continues to Support AABP and FFA
Hot
Weather Affecting Dairy Farmers
Misleading
growth hormone label on Ohio dairy products must be changed
Cattle
Outlook: Beef Exports Down, Slaughter Decreases
National
Guernsey Convention
Lomira
FFA's Buske claims dairy judging grand championship
A
taste of Sassy Cow Creamery
Sen.
wants antitrust probe of Dean Foods
New
Zealand plans to help develop RP's dairy industry
Friday, July 17, 2009
June Milk Production Down 0.1 percent
Dairy Markets Weekly Recap
August Federal Order Class I Base Price Slips
Feed Prices To Moderate But Not Enough to return Profitability
Exports Lagging, More Time Needed For Global Markets to Recover
Klobuchar:
'Additional help for Minnesota's dairy farmers needed'
Experts:
Cutting herd size only road to recovery
Vilsack Goes to
Wisconsin
Sen. Feingold on Obama Administration's Rural Tour Through Wisconsin
WisBusiness:
USDA's Vilsack hears complaints from small organic...
Vilsack Announces
$760 Million in Direct Loans to Farmers and Producers
AL:
Grocery prices fall 2 percent
2009
Hawaii State Farm Fair: Naked Cow Dairy
FLDS
fiduciary defends cow sale decision
Thursday, July 16, 2009
NMPF Asks USDA To Temporarily Raise Price Support Program Purchase Prices
The July Dairy Outlook from Penn State is at http://dairyoutlook.aers.psu.edu/
Official:
USDA response on track
Dairy
chief says subsidies hinder industry's growth
Iowa
dairy farmers losing ground to low prices, demand
Ohio's
top dairy counties look for answers to falling prices
Sanders
seeks antitrust investigation of dairy foods company
Dairy
farmers' milk profits dry up
Sampling
seven milks and one dairy farm
Cows
get spa treatment
At
the fair: Thomas takes top market steer honors at FFA District Fair
Dairy
Crest Q1 as expected, Chairman leaves
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
Reducing Milk Supply Raises Concerns
Guest Editorial by Arden Tewksbury,
Manager, Pro Ag
Family
Farmers and Consumer Group Expose House Ag Hearing...
Psychological
attachments make hard times even harder for dairy...
Global
Recession Impacts Dairy Prices, Farmers
Dairy
Specialist: Producers Facing Low Prices Have Options
Young's
churning out new cheeses Related
Welch
seeks more subsidies for milk producers
USDA
Accepts DEIP Bid for NFDM to Asia and Eurasia
National
Dairy Acquires Promised Land Dairy
Ordering
From The Menu Of Dairy Breeding Programs
Lewis
County Fair's life-size faux cow needs a name
Ken Bailey Joins FCStone
As Full Time Broker and Consultant
Oelwein
dairy woman takes pride in her work
Tuesday, July 14, 2009
Emergency Meeting Update
NMPF
Tells Congressional Panel That Dairy Farmers Are Facing Economic
Crisis...
Market Talk with Al Levitt
Twenty-two
farms kick off New York's statewide Dairy Profit Team ...
NFFC
Denounces House Ag Committee For Exclusion From Dairy Crisis Hearing
WMMB
Board of Directors Elects Leadership
RABDF
Welcomes European Food Safety Authority Report
Fonterra
skirts auction critisism, looks to future
Monday, July 13, 2009
California Class 1 Prices Announced
Crisis
in the Dairy Industry: Emergency Meeting on July 17
MILC Payments Projected Through Next June
Alliance
of Western Milk Producers
Western
United Dairymen Update
Milk Producers Council Weekly Update
Cattle
Outlook: Fed Cattle & Beef Demand Down, Cash Fed Cattle...
New
Dairy Farm To Debut
Agriculture
critical to the economic health of our state
Vilsack
Offers a Little Solace to Struggling Dairy Farmers
Promoting Pizza's Place in School Lunch Programs
National
DHIA Announces Scholarship Program Information
Local
dairy operators in crisis, at crossroad
State
dairy farmers need a helping hand
When
farmers feel despair
Organic
Dairy Farmers Set for Symbolic Dumping of Milk
Dairy
Farmers Voice Concerns Over Low Milk Prices
Catering
to Cows: Cushy conditions lead to increased production...
Milking
skills tested at Rockville Rock-Fest
Forage Superbowl Announces
Cash Prize Awards For 2009 Contest
Ohio
County Farm Celebrates Centennial
Experienced
hands, new talent and princesses compete at Rock-Fest
Friday, July 10, 2009
Dairy Market Weekly Recap
CWT
Announces Second Herd Retirement Of 2009
CWT's
Jim Tillison Discusses Today's Herd Removal Announcement
World Ag Supply and Demand Estimates
Consumers are benefiting at the checkout stand
Recession
milking area dairy farmers dry
Calling
All Milkmen
EFSA
Advises On Welfare Of Dairy Cows
Organic
vs. natural a source of confusion in food labeling
Organic
milk boom slows down
Briefs:
Milk mustache tour coming to Sycamore
Tail
docking bill clears committee
Federal
support sought for ailing SA dairy farmers
Bovine
TB cow found in region officially free of the disease
Thursday, July 9, 2009
Serious Concerns Over Climate Change Legislation
News for
Dairy Co Ops
Dairy Organizations Praise
Prompt Action By USDA On Dairy Export Incentive Program
Dairy
farmers question MILC program
$20.5
million ante for Humboldt Creamery
Farmers
reducing greenhouse gases
Start
With Essential Nutrients, Energy When Rebuilding Rations
Help
on the farm
Dairy
management highlighted at Kentuckiana Dairy Exchange
A
Dairy Farm Can't Lay Off the Cows
NC
legislators compete in milk-chugging contest
Dairy
Princess traveling the milky way
Wednesday, July 8, 2009
Beef is the End Product of All Dairy Animals
Holstein Association USA, Inc.
Board Meets in Sacramento
Forage production workshop
hosted by NMSU
Herdsman's
open (barn) door policy
Dairy
Farmers Losing Money
Tuesday, July 7, 2009
California Class 1 Prices Delayed
Market Analysis with Brian Gould
Ranchers,
Regulators Weary from Cattle Fever Tick War
Vilsack
says help coming for dairy farmers
Dairy
Farmers in Dire Straits
Westport
dairy farmers hope grant takes business to next level
Video: Tour
of Fair Oaks Dairy Farm
Monday, July 6, 2009
USDA Announces Initial
2009-2010 Allocations For Dairy Export Incentive Program
Farmers
Must Think Outside The Milk Carton To Survive
Help
Offered For NH Dairy Farmers
Vilsack:
loan help coming for dairy farmers
Refugee
Workers Find Jobs in Oregon Dairy
Consumers Tastes Change
In
Good Times And Bad, Dairy Farmers Must Keep To Their Daily Routine
Enterprise
Working To Keep Local Dairy Farms Viable
Minnesota
dairy farmers talk about tumbling milk prices
Milk
prices concern dairy farmers
Fresno
dairy can't escape 'milk pool'
Area
dairy farmers feeling spring's rain
Hollis
dairy closes after months of downsizing, leaving 32 without ...
Friday, July 3, 2009
2009: A Difficult First Half For Dairy Producers
MILC Payment Rates and Projections
Dairy Markets Weekly Review
Western
United Dairymen Weekly Update
Regular, rbST Free and Organic Milk Prices Compared
CWT to blame for lower cull cow prices?
Sen.
Dean Florez's tail-docking bill approved
Fresno
dairy can't escape 'milk pool'
International Jersey Tour to
Visit New England Dairy Herds
Cattle
Outlook: USDA Corn Estimate Up $2 Million, Feeder Cattle...
Beef
& Cattle Trade Update
Market
for organic milk goes sour
Holstein
Field Night Draws Big, Hopeful Crowd
A
happy cow is a healthy cow
Michael
Jackson to be made into butter statue
Local
ice cream maker marks 25th year
Australia:
Dairy farmers face another price battle
Thursday, July 2, 2009
May Dairy Products Report
June Federal Order Class III Price Up 13 Cents
CWT Finishes
Herd Retirement
One More Thing USDA Can Do To Help Cash Strapped Dairy Producers
Dairy
farmers find themselves in danger
Dairy-Cow
Kill to Double Milk Price After Slump
Rell
signs bill protecting dairy farmers
AI24
Heat Detection System Provides Profitable Results
Still
Falling Dairy Prices May Pressure NZ Dollar
Third
generation dairy farming
Salmonella
concerns prompt dairy shakes warning
Recession
touches organic dairy farming
Wednesday, July 1, 2009
California Class 4 Prices Released
Farm Milk Prices and Retail Prices Tend to Move Together Over Time
Graph
What's
Up (Down) With The Cull Cow Market?
Dairy Checkoff Update -
June 2009
International
Jersey tour pays visit to Western NY
Dairy
Farmers Rally for Prices
Milk
is a bargain, and dairy farmers getting squeezed
Milk
Prices Could Be On The Rise
Greener
Pastures For Dairies
Dairyman
finds new business outlet
Pfizer Animal Genetics
now running Osteopetrosis test
Third
generation dairy farming
Lehman's
Holstein cow takes Supreme Champion
Agriculture
Secretary Vilsack to Lead Obama Administration's Rural Tour
June
Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook are now available in *.xls
format
Australia:
'Cruel' dairy loses milk contract
Ag
Prices Report: Corn Drops 70 Cents
(July 31, 2009) The July Milk-Feed Price Ratio is 1.65, up
from June's revised estimate of 1.45, according to USDA’s “Ag Prices” report issued this
afternoon, and compares to 1.90 in July of 2008.
The All Milk Price was estimated at $11.30 per hundredweight,
unchanged from last month's estimate,
but $8.00 below a year ago.
Corn averaged $3.33 per bushel, down 70 cents from
June, and $1.92 below a year ago. The soybean price, at
$10.30 per bushel, was down $1.10 from June, and $3.00 below a year ago. Alfalfa baled hay was
$120.00 per ton, down $8.00 from June, and $57.00 below a year ago.
(July
31, 2009) Market reaction to USDA’s increased purchase prices
was instant Friday morning with block cheese jumping 6 cents and
barrels up 7 cents. The block price closed at $1.2850 per pound,
up 8 1/2-cents on the week but 2 1/2-cents below the new
temporary support price, and 55 cents below a year ago when the
blocks tumbled 23 1/4-cents to $1.8350.
Barrel
closed out July at $1.26, up 9 cents on the week, 2 cents below
the new support price, and 54 cents below a year ago. Only eight
cars of block traded hands on the week and seven of barrel. The
lagging NASS-surveyed U.S. average price on block cheese inched
up 0.3 cent, to $1.12. Barrel averaged $1.1254, up 1.4 cents.
Cash
butter closed out the week and the month at $1.2450, down a
penny and a half on the week and 33 cents below a year ago.
Forty two cars were sold on the week. The price support on
butter was not changed. NASS butter averaged $1.2290, up 4.1
cents.
Cash
Grade A nonfat dry milk jumped 2 cents Friday, to 91 cents per
pound, and Extra Grade gained 2 1/-cents, closing at 90 cents,
on two unfilled bids of each. NASS nonfat dry milk averaged
84.99 cents, up 1.3 cents, and dry whey averaged 29.53 cents,
down 0.1 cent.
Uncle Sam’s price support program purchased 868,904 pounds of nonfat dry milk on the week but exported 11.9 million via the Dairy Export Incentive Program.
Federal
Order Benchmark Milk Price Remains At $9.97
(July
31, 2009) The nation’s July benchmark milk price was unchanged
from June. The Agriculture Department announced the July Class
III price at $9.97 per hundredweight but that’s $8.27 below
July 2008. Class III futures, as late Friday morning portends a
rebound in August to $11.06, then $12.31 in September, $12.78 in
October, $13.40 in November, and $13.70 in December. The 2009
average now stands at $10.16, down from $18.25 a year ago and
$16.86 in 2007. The July Class IV price is $10.15, down 7 cents
from June and $6.45 below a year ago.
|
CLASS & COMPONENT PRICES: |
|
COMMODITY |
July 2009 | June 2009 | May 2009 |
|
Class II Milk Price |
$10.87 cwt. | $10.79 cwt. | $10.71 cwt. |
|
Class II Butterfat Price |
$1.2508 lb. | $1.2614 lb. | $1.2718 lb. |
|
Class III Milk Price |
$9.97 cwt. | $9.97 cwt. | $9.84 cwt. |
|
Class III Skim Price |
$5.82 cwt. | $5.78 cwt. | $5.61 cwt. |
|
Class IV Milk Price |
$10.15 cwt. | $10.22 cwt. | $10.14 cwt. |
|
Class IV Skim Milk Price |
$6.01 cwt. | $6.04 cwt. | $5.92 cwt. |
|
Butterfat Price |
$1.2438 lb. | $1.2544 lb. | $1.2648 lb. |
|
Nonfat Solids Price |
$0.6677 lb. | $0.6715 lb. | $0.6574 lb. |
|
Protein Price |
$1.6970 lb. | $1.7283 lb. | $1.7454 lb. |
|
Other Solids Price |
$0.0949 lb. | $0.0723 lb. | $0.0336 lb. |
|
Somatic Cell Adjustment Rate |
$0.00057 per 1,000 cells | $0.00057 per 1,000 cells | $0.00058 per 1,000 cells |
| PRODUCT PRICE AVERAGES | July 2009 | June 2009 | May 2009 |
| Butter | $1.1986 lb. | $1.2073 lb. | $1.2159 lb. |
| Nonfat Dry Milk | $0.8422 lb. | $0.8461 lb. | $0.8318 lb. |
| Cheese | $1.1334 lb | $1.1466 lb. | $1.1553 lb. |
| Dry Whey | $0.2912 lb. | $0.2693 lb. | $0.2317 lb. |
(July
31, 2009) U.S. Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack met with dairy
state lawmakers late this week and is apparently willing to
temporarily raise prices the government pays for dairy products
under the Price Support program in an effort to support farmer
milk prices.
Dairy
Profit Weekly
editor Dave Natzke reported Friday that details are sketchy but
USDA is negotiating a final purchase price increase with the
Office of Management
and Budget and hopes to have a decision before an August
Congressional recess begins.
In
other dairy news, Natzke also reported that a U.S. Court of
Appeals ruled against some dairy producers seeking to block
higher Class III and Class IV manufacturing or “make”
allowances in federal milk pricing formulas.
Make
allowances are the amount of money dairy processors can deduct
from the milk price they pay to farmers to help cover
manufacturing costs. USDA raised make allowances for cheese,
butter, whey and nonfat dry milk last fall, but a lawsuit filed
on behalf of nine dairy producer groups charged USDA failed to
consider 2008 Farm Bill requirements when raising the
deductions.
The District of Columbia Appeals Court affirmed a previous court decision, apparently closing the book on a debate that has been going on for more than two years. And, as far as the ruling and the impact on dairy farmers, it probably won’t, Natzke concluded, because USDA implemented the changes last October.
Everyone in America Profits From Agriculture, Except Farmers
(July
30, 2009) “Congress
gets it,” said National Milk’s Chris Galen in his Thursday
report. Galen reacted to Wednesday’s Congressional Dairy
Caucus press conference were Rep. Tom Perriello (D-VA) made a
telling statement; “Everyone in America profits from
agriculture, except farmers.” Another representative pointed
out that every dairy farmer in America is losing money, not just
a few.
Galen
said Congress understands there is a crisis on farms and
that’s the reason for this “very broad bipartisan group of
representatives coming together to look for policy solutions
that the House and Senate can engage in to help farmers.”
National
Milk was happy to be a part of this, Galen said, and provided
input to the caucus members and is recruiting others. There are
at least 50 House members on board, according to Galen, from
Vermont to California, even members who may not represent rural
areas because “They realize a lot of people have a stake in
dairy farming, not just farmers but ultimately consumers who
want to have affordable and locally-produced foods. They have a
stake in dairy policy as well.”
The
$64,000 question is what can be done. Lawmakers can weigh in
with USDA to boost the price support program levels, which NMPF
has called for Galen said, and make full use of the Dairy Export
Incentive Program, which NMPF has also asked for, but Galen
pointed out that this is not just about pricing.
There are other issues that Congress has control over that affects dairy production, Galen said, such as immigration reform, food safety, the environment, climate change. “Those are all big picture issues that have an impact or will have an impact on farming that need to have members of Congress be aware of, of the stake for dairy farmers.”
Beef
Checkoff Benefits Dairy Producers By Defending Veal Industry
(July 29, 2009) The beef check off benefits dairy producers by defending the
veal industry, according to Michigan dairy and veal producer Dan Javor. Javor
began Wednesday’s “Beef Board Update” by pointing out that the check off
does many things so it’s hard to just list a couple but, “For the small
investment made, when issues arise, there’s a ready source of people to
correct any misinformation that’s put out, whether beef’s nutrition value is
questioned or production practices are.”
The
check off also funds research to improve the safety of the beef and veal that
consumers purchase, according to Javor, and promotes beef in print and radio
advertising to increase beef demand so farmers end up with better prices.
The
veal industry has been hit by criticism by animal rightists and those with a
vegetarian agenda but the check off works to defend veal despite having a very
small budget. Veal issues are monitored and farmers are kept informed, Javor
said. The check off also promotes the positive story of the veal quality
assurance program and the producer education and certification programs to
“defend veal in the minds of consumers as being safe and nutritious and good
tasting.”
If
there was no check off program, there would be no one to defend the industry, he
said, and “all we would hear would be from the activists groups.” “This is
dairy producers getting the word out about the safety of veal.”
He
adds that, pooling money together gives us the chance to partner with other
organizations such as with packers to promote veal in retail stores, which is
done primarily in the East Coast where veal is commonly served. The check off
also partners with restaurants and individual products like olive oil or wine to
“get veal served with them” and “stretch our dollars out.”
Market Analysis
with Robert Cropp
(July
28, 2009) The final week of July started as a sleeper in the
cash cheese market. Prices held at Friday’s levels and only
one carload of barrel was sold. Butter was also unchanged,
holding at $1.26, but 11 cars traded hands and three bids went
unfilled.
Dr.
Robert Cropp, Emeritus Professor at the University of Wisconsin
at Madison, said in Tuesday’s DairyLine
that prices are not great but are improved and above support.
Cow numbers are going down, he said, and milk production is
inching lower so things may be a little tighter but there’s a
lot of cheese in storage, according to the last week’s Cold
Storage report.
Cheese
stocks are up 7 percent from a year ago, he said, and there’s
a lot to move yet. Buyers are looking at these prices and may be
buying ahead a little, according to Cropp, particularly on
butter which can be stored a little longer.
Cream
supplies are slipping as more goes into the cone instead of the
churn. You need to have butter for fall sales, he said, so some
advance purchases are likely being made as “It’s a safe bet
that butter will be higher than $1.26 by fall.”
July
Federal order milk prices are announced Friday morning by USDA
and Cropp looks for a Class III price of $9.95-$9.96 per
hundredweight, considering that cheese prices were at or below
support. That would be a 1 to 2 cent drop from June but would be
$8.29 below a year ago.
He
expects the Class IV price to come in around $10.15, as nonfat
dry milk prices had strengthened some but that’s 7 cents below
the June price and $6.45 below a year ago.
When
asked what he would advise Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack to
do to turn things around for dairy farmers, Cropp said, we have
to get milk production down below year ago levels by 2 or 3
percent from a year ago “But, what the Secretary can do, I’m
not sure.”
Short
term Cropp suggests the government buy more product through the
price support program, buying ahead for school lunch and feeding
programs and using the Dairy Export Incentive program helps a
little, he concluded, “We have to get production down.”
Got Milk? Restaurants Do
(July
27, 2009) Got
Milk? Restaurants do, according to Dairy Management
Incorporated’s, Stan Erwine, in Monday’s “DMI Update”
and the number of fast food outlets that offer the single-serve,
plastic milk containers now tops 65,000
Pizza
Hut is the latest addition, according to Erwine, and is rolling
out Nestle’s Chocolate Milk in its 4,000 outlets nationwide.
Add that to the 11,000 schools that offer this improved package
and collectively it means kids get the milk they want in the way
they want it 1.2 billion times per year and recaptures milk as
the beverage of choice for kids which mean incremental sales
this year and every year for dairy producers.
Dairy
producers have invested some $6 million with foodservice
partners on the single-serve container and they have invested
over $135 million each to promote and advertise and sustain this
kid’s milk franchise. That, he said, has resulted in over 250
million incremental pounds of milk sold annually.
Barrel
closed Friday at $1.17, up three cents on the week, but 80 cents
below a year ago. Fifteen cars of block traded hands on the week
and eight of barrel. The NASS-surveyed U.S. average block price
lost 1.3 cents, slipping to $1.1172. Barrel averaged $1.1101, up
0.1 cent.
Butter closed at $1.26, up a penny on the week, but 28 cents below a year ago. Forty three cars were sold on the week. NASS butter averaged $1.1879, up 1.4 cents. NASS nonfat dry milk averaged 83.69 cents, down 0.8 cent, and dry whey averaged 29.41 cents, up 0.2 cent.
Price
support purchases for the week totaled 742,958 pounds of nonfat
dry milk, putting the cumulative total at 276 million pounds.
Dairy Export Incentive Program bid acceptances amounted to 1.6
million pounds of nonfat dry milk to Africa and the Middle East.
AFACT
Summit: Working Together To Create Solutions
(July
24, 2009) Dairy
Profit Weekly
editor, Dave Natzke, reported Friday on this week’s second
annual summit of the American Farmers for the Advancement and
Conservation of Technology (AFACT) in Minneapolis. AFACT
was born two years ago by dairy farmers concerned over the
potential loss of rbST as a tool for improved milk production
efficiency, Natzke reported, but since then, other related
issues have surfaced such as California’s Proposition 2 and
similar initiatives in other states that restrict farm animal
management practices, as well as a general media and marketing
blitz surrounding such things as "green,"
"sustainable" and "local," that generally
portray modern agriculture in a negative light and frequently
confuse consumers.
The
theme for this year's Summit was Working Together to Create
Solutions, Natzke said, as AFACT seeks to reach beyond dairy
into other aspects of agriculture. For example, California egg
producer Ryan Armstrong and dairy farmer Ray Prock Jr.
shared their experiences with California’s Proposition 2;
Gary Thome, a Minnesota swine farmer, shared his farm's
experience with PETA; and Len Corzine, Illinois crop farmer,
discussed restrictions on technologies used in crop production.
Alex
Avery, Director of Research and Education at the Hudson
Institute, discussed movements that restrict new technologies in
food production, and the implications for future global
population growth and food needs; and Washington State
University scientist Jude Capper shared her research showing
that U.S. dairy cow numbers have dropped from 25 million in 1944
to about 9 million today, indicating dairy's "carbon
footprint" has declined sharply in the past six decades.
The
main action items coming out of the conference, according to
Natzke, were that farmers must address the emotion of
food-buying purchases by directly reaching out to consumers;
that farmers must put a "face" back on their product,
reminding consumers where food comes from; and farmers must
become more active using social networks, such as Facebook and
Twitter, to reach consumers.
What
To Do To Relieve Financially Struggling Dairy Producers
(July
23, 2009) Discussions continue on what to do to relieve
financially struggling dairy farmers. National Milk met with
several dairy groups this week, according to Chris Galen in
Thursday’s broadcast. Galen said the immediate focus was to
review a supply management plan endorsed by the Holstein
Association and California’s Milk Producer’s Council and
Dairy Farmers Working Together.
The
discussion centered on how the plan would work, how it would be
implemented legislatively, and how it would help reduce
volatility and improve milk prices, according to Galen.
National
Milk’s Task Force will conduct a more detail examination of
the plan, he said, and meet again in August to review it and
other ideas to reform the U.S. milk pricing system.
The
meet this week also heard from the National Farmers Union, the
American Farm Bureau, the National Farmers Organization, and
Western United Dairymen.
Information
is being gathered, Galen said, to deal with the longer term
structural challenges facing dairy farmers.
Friday is the deadline for CWT members to submit bids on the current herd removal program. This is a short term immediate focus, Galen said, and National Milk continues to call on USDA to improve the dairy price support program by raising some of its purchase prices and maximize usage of the Dairy Export Incentive Program. “These things can and should be done immediately, in tandem with our long term efforts,” Galen concluded. “That’s the best one, two punch for dealing with the dairy economic crisis.”
Checking the Cupboard: June Cold Storage Report
The American cheese inventory, at 623.1 million pounds, was up 13.2 million or 2 percent from May and 41.3 million pounds or 7 percent above a year ago. May American Cheese inventory was revised up 1.6 million pounds.
Total cheese stocks amounted to 971.4 million pounds, up 13.2 million or 1 percent from May, and 68.9 million or 8 percent above those a year ago. May stocks were revised up 1.2 million pounds.
Campaign
Responds To Beef Safety Issues in the Media
(July
23, 2009) Colorado dairy producer and Beef Board member, Andy
Wick, discussed public relations in Wednesday’s DairyLine
broadcast. Wick serves on the board’s public
relations Committee which, he said, “works behind the scenes
doing very important and necessary PR for our industry.”
One
example is the “Safety Reputation Management” team which
Wick said, reaches out to consumers about the “Safe and Savory
at 160” campaign and responds to beef safety issues in the
media.
Another
example of PR is in the Nutrition Public Relations area. “They
tell our story of beef protein’s benefits,” Wick said.
“They have nutrition spokespeople who work with the Nutrient
Rich Foods Coalition.”
One
more example would be with the Media Relations team which faces
challenges with consumer media outlets trying to dispel some of
the myths about modern beef production.
Wick;s
final example was the “Food Communication” team which
re-launched the “Beef, It’s What’s for Dinner” website,
THE place for consumers to go for beef and recipe information,
according to Wick.
The PR teams also use social media outlets like Twitter and Facebook to reach consumers, Wick said, “The ones buying our product and telling their friends to buy our product.” “Public Relations is a hard program to explain,” Wick concluded, “But beef producers, take my word on it, our check-off investment is helping us to get our message out in places where it needs to be heard, but where WE can’t always be.”
National Milk met yesterday with several other dairy groups to discuss what other action can be taken to reverse the dairy depression farmers are enduring right now. Chris Galen reports details on tomorrow's DairyLine broadcast and Select Sires' Ray Nebel tells us about his trip to Argentina in this week's Reproductive Moment segment.
Georgia
Milk Producers Testifies To Congressional Panel
GMP Testifies To Congressional Panel, Calls For Immediate
Changes To Current Milk Price System
A representative for Georgia Milk
Producers testified today at a hearing in the House of
Representatives asking for possible solutions to the current
economic crisis for dairy.
Everett Williams, a dairy farmer from Madison, Georgia, and President of Georgia Milk Producers Inc., requested that the House Subcommittee on Livestock and Dairy improve the current dairy price system. Click Here
Market Analysis with Bill BrooksHe
credits the time of the year for the gains, even though it
hasn’t been overly hot in much of the country. Production is
slacking off, he said, producers are sending large numbers of
animals to slaughter, and demand is up. Prices haven’t moved
as high as Brooks thought they would, but they are starting to
climb.
He
looks for cheese to hit the $1.40s. That’s better than where
it is now, he said, but “It’s not go to make producers jump
up and down with joy because profitability levels will still
very tight.
As
we work our way toward the end of the year things are looking
better, according to Brooks, based on last week’s ending
futures markets, with grains and oilseeds down a little bit and
milk prices on the CME futures up a little bit. “We’re
working our way back to profitability but we still have a few
months to go.”
Brooks expects Wednesday’s June Cold Storage report to show seasonal increases in supplies and ending stocks, likely stronger on cheese than butter, but “We’re still going to have plenty of supply to meet market demands.”
|
MILC
Payment Rates and Projections |
||||||
|
Year |
Boston
Class I |
Payment |
||||
|
Actual |
Target |
Rate |
||||
|
FY
2009 |
|
|||||
|
October
'08 |
18.78
|
18.48
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
November |
20.58
|
18.10
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
December |
18.68
|
17.76
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
January
'09 |
18.99
|
17.98
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
February |
13.97
|
17.33
|
1.5135 |
|||
|
March |
12.68
|
17.14
|
2.0056 |
|||
|
April |
13.61
|
17.14
|
1.5863 |
|||
|
May |
14.22
|
17.48
|
1.4673 |
|||
|
June |
13.33
|
17.35
|
1.8111 |
|||
|
July |
13.51
|
17.45
|
1.7742 |
|||
|
August |
13.29
|
16.94
|
1.6425 |
|||
|
September |
14.51
|
16.94
|
1.0926 |
|||
|
FY
2010 |
|
|
|
|||
|
October
'09 |
14.79
|
16.94
|
0.9675 |
|||
|
November |
15.48
|
16.94
|
0.6574 |
|||
|
December |
16.45
|
16.94
|
0.2227 |
|||
|
January
'10 |
17.07
|
16.94
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
February |
17.52
|
16.94
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
March |
17.82
|
16.94
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
April |
18.34
|
16.94
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
May |
18.71
|
16.94
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
June |
18.82
|
16.94
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
July |
19.18
|
16.94
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
August |
19.57
|
16.94
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
September |
20.09
|
16.94
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
Projections
based on futures as of 7/17/2009 |
||||||
McCafe Contains Up To 80 Percent Milk
(July
20, 2009) There’s nothing to equal that “starter fluid of the morning,”
coffee, and the dairy check off has aggressively worked itself into the cup,
literally. We learned an example of that in Monday’s “DMI Update,” where
Stan Erwine outlined the most recent check off partnership with McDonalds.
“McCafe”
is a line of specialty coffees that was launched last year, Erwine reported, and
this year will be available in all 14,000 McDonald’s franchises. The important
fact for dairy producers, according to Erwine, is that those drinks contain up
to 80 percent milk.
The
check off has entered a new agreement with McDonalds, Erwine said, and has
invested $5 million in the project while McDonalds has budgeted $1.5 billion for
baristas, the machines that make those coffee drinks, and training their
employees. Another $100 million will go to advertising and promotion.
Erwine estimates that about 320 million pounds of milk were used in these specialty coffees this past year and he expects that to continue to grow as the roll out grows and down the road, a new agreement extends items at McDonalds to include a third of a pound angus cheeseburger which combines beef and dairy. This is already available in many markets, he concluded, and McDonald’s menus over time will be expanded even more with additional “dairy friendly” items.
Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,746 pounds for June, 10 pounds above June 2008. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.44 million head, 56,000 head less than June 2008, and 29,000 head less than May 2009.
Milk production in the U.S. during the April - June quarter totaled 48.8 billion pounds, up 0.1 percent from the April - June quarter last year. The average number of milk cows in the U.S. during the quarter was 9.26 million head, 53,000 head less than the same period last year.
|
State by State |
Milk Cows
|
Output Per Cow
|
Milk Production
|
|
Arizona |
-10,000 |
-10 lbs. |
-6.1% |
|
California |
-37,000 |
-40 lbs. |
-4.1% |
|
Colorado |
-2,000 |
+40 lbs. |
+0.4% |
|
Florida |
-4,000 |
+90 lbs. |
+2.3% |
|
Idaho |
+1,000 |
-20 lbs. |
-0.9% |
|
Illinois |
Unchanged |
+5 lbs. |
Unchanged |
|
Indiana |
+2,000 |
+5 lbs. |
+1.5% |
|
Iowa |
-1,000 |
+50 lbs. |
+2.5% |
|
Kansas |
+2,000 |
+55 lbs. |
+5.1% |
|
Michigan |
+7,000 |
+30 lbs. |
+3.7% |
|
Minnesota |
+6,000 |
+35 lbs. |
+3.5% |
|
Missouri |
-1,000 |
-45 lbs. |
-4.4% |
|
New Mexico |
-13,000 |
+80 lbs. |
Unchanged |
|
New York |
-3,000 |
+40 lbs. |
+1.9% |
|
Ohio |
-6,000 |
+10 lbs. |
-1.6% |
|
Oregon |
Unchanged |
-35 lbs. |
-2.1% |
|
Pennsylvania |
-1,000 |
Unchanged |
-0.2% |
|
Texas |
+11,000 |
+20 lbs. |
+3.8% |
|
Utah |
-2,000 |
+5 lbs. |
-2.0% |
|
Vermont |
-5,000 |
-15 lbs. |
-4.6% |
|
Virginia |
-2,000 |
+110 lbs. |
+5.8% |
|
Washington |
-3,000 |
Unchanged |
-1.2% |
|
Wisconsin |
+5,000 |
+40 lbs. |
+2.8% |
|
23 State Total |
-56,000 |
+10 lbs. |
-0.1% |
August Federal Order Class I Base Price Slips
(July 17, 2009) The August Federal order Class I base milk price gave back all of last month’s gain and then some and slipped to $10.04 per hundredweight, down 22 cents from July, and $8.43 below August 2008, according to the Agriculture Department's price announcement this morning.
The
2009 Class I average now stands at $10.95, down from $18.75 at
this time a year ago, and compares to $14.88 in 2007. The Class
IV advanced pricing factor remained the “higher of” in
driving the Class I value.
The
NASS-surveyed butter price averaged $1.1747 per pound, down 4.4
cents from July. Nonfat dry milk averaged 84.16 cents, down
fractionally, cheese averaged $1.1339, down 1.2 cents, and dry
whey averaged 28.73 cents, up 2.2 cents.
Look
for an August MILC payment of about $1.64 per hundredweight,
plus a feed cost adjustor of about 15 cents, according to market
analyst Alan Levitt.
|
|
Aug 2009 | July 2009 | June 2009 |
| Class I Base | $10.04/cwt. | $10.26/cwt. | $10.08 /cwt. |
|
*The Base Skim Milk Class I: |
$6.00/cwt. | $6.03/cwt. | $5.91/cwt. |
|
Class III skim: |
$5.90/cwt. | $5.71/cwt. | $5.66 /cwt. |
|
Class IV skim: |
$6.00/cwt. | $6.03/cwt. | $5.91 /cwt. |
|
**Butterfat |
$1.2149/lb. | $1.2682/lb. | $1.2517/lb. |
|
Class II Skim price: |
$6.70/cwt. | $6.73/cwt. | $6.61/cwt. |
|
Class II NFS price: |
$0.7444/lb. | $0.7478/lb. | $0.7344 /lb. |
2-week Product Price Averages:
|
|
Aug 2009 | July 2009 | June 2009 |
|
Butter |
$1.1747/lb. | $1.2187/lb. | $1.2051/lb. |
|
NFDM |
$1.8416/lb. | $0.8443/lb. | $0.8314 /lb. |
|
Cheese |
$1.1339/lb. | $1.1459/lb. | $1.1562/lb. |
|
Dry Whey |
$0.2873/lb | $0.2649/lb. | $0.2323/lb. |
Feed Prices To Moderate But Not Enough to
return Profitability
(July 17, 2009) The
USDA’s latest Livestock
Dairy and Poultry Outlook issued this morning says feed
prices are expected to moderate slightly both this year and
next. But milk supplies still lead demand, and exports are
expected to be well behind the last two years consequently,
prices will remain weak this year. A modest improvement in
prices is expected in 2010 as the dairy herd decline helps to
move supplies into line with demand.
Exports Lagging, More Time Needed For Global Markets to Recover
(July
17, 2009) Dairy
Profit Weekly
editor, Dave Natzke, reported the latest monthly U.S. dairy
trade data in Friday’s broadcast and said that it reflects
what others have been reporting on DairyLine.
Exports are lagging and it will take more time for global
markets to recover.
The
values of U.S. dairy exports and imports were both up slightly
in May, according to Natzke, but the U.S. still turned in a
small monthly dairy trade deficit. May 2009 exports were valued
at $182 million, up 4 percent from April, but less than half the
May 2008 total of $380 million.
May
imports were valued at $190 million, up 14 percent from April,
but down about 23 percent from May a year ago.
The
first eight months of fiscal year (FY) 2009 saw exports valued
at about $1.6 billion, down 43 percent from the same period in
FY 2008; imports were valued at about $2 billion, down 7 percent
from a year earlier. The trade deficit for FY ’09 is estimated
at $408 million, Natzke reported.
May
2009 cheese imports were valued at $78 million, up 22 percent
from May 2009. FY ’09 year-to-date cheese imports stand at
$708 million, down 11 percent from the same period a year ago.
|
Measured
on a total-solids basis, exports represented 8.1 percent
of U.S. milk production in the first five months of
2009, Natzke said, down from 10.8 percent of production
in 2008, and the lowest percentage since 2004. |
The
U.S. Dairy Export Council concludes that a slow recovery in the
global economy could keep a lid on U.S. dairy export demand into
2010. And, with milk and dairy product production increasing not
only in the U.S. but also worldwide, the growing inventory of
dairy products will keep a lid on global dairy prices.
USDA also issued its "Top 10" list of leading dairy exporting states last year. Wisconsin and California again top the list, accounting for about 44 percent of the U.S. total. Rounding out the top 10 were New York, Idaho, Minnesota, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Ohio and Iowa, Natzke reported.
Sen. Feingold on Obama Administration's Rural Tour Through Wisconsin
“I appreciate the Secretaries’ visit to
In a letter today,
Feingold joined with Senator Kohl and other senators in asking
Secretary Vilsack to take emergency actions to provide a
meaningful floor for milk prices and address the growing crisis
facing
NMPF
Asks USDA To Temporarily Raise Price Support Program Purchase
Prices
(July 16, 2009) The
National Milk Producers Federation again asked that USDA
temporarily raise Price Support program purchase prices on
cheese and nonfat dry milk in an effort to yield higher milk
prices to dairy farmers. NMPF called on Agriculture Secretary
Tom Vilsack two weeks ago to do this, Galen said, by raising the
cheese price by about 6 cents per pound and powder by 4 cents.
This would provide short term relief, he said, and NMPF has
called for maximum use of the DEIP program.
The dairy industry itself is taking steps, Galen said, pointing to the CWT’s herd retirement programs and NMPF’s Strategic Planning Task Force will meet later this month to consider long term ideas to impact producer profitability.
Reducing
Milk Supply Raises Concerns
(July
15, 2009) Too much emphasis may be focused on reducing the milk
supply and that may lead to milk shortages ahead,
according to Jerry Dryer, editor of the Dairy
and Food Market Analyst and chief market analyst for Rice
Dairy in Chicago.
Speaking
in Wednesday’s DairyLine
broadcast, Dryer said a drop in demand is “what got us into
this pickle, in terms of the economic crisis that consumed
markets around the world and put a dinger in demand.”
But,
domestic demand is very good, according to Dryer, based on the
latest retail sales data covering March, April, and May.
Natural
cheese sales were up 7-8 percent from a year ago, he said,
there’s been a lot of promotion at retail, and people are
eating at home more so that’s helped retail cheese sales. And,
sales over the past year were up 3 percent, according
to
Dryer, “so sales have been strengthening the last few
months.”
Food
service cheese sales are also good, according to Dryer, as
“the value menu is still important and it’s very cheese
friendly at the McDonalds and Burger Kings of the world,”
although high end restaurant sales may not be as good.
Dryer
also says the dairy export side of the business is stronger than
many expected, though it’s running about two thirds below a
year ago but it didn’t absolutely fall apart and he’s
optimistic that exports will improve as we progress through the
year.
“Then
why are dairy prices so low?” I asked. “Because we’re
making more than the markets will absorb right now,” answered
Dryer. Inventories were built late last year and were added to
early this year, he said, “when demand wasn’t as robust as
the numbers I’m showing you right now and it’s going to take
us a while to chew through those inventories and it’s going to
take a while to get demand back internationally at the level it
was a year and even two years ago.”
So,
yes it does come back to supply and Dryer said some production
capacity needs to be “wrung out” but he’s concerned that
too much will be lost because “We’ve been in this situation
for so long that we may lose a big chunk of productive capacity
and that would be tragic because, just about the time we lose a
large chunk of it, we’re going to need it because demand will
have recovered.”
Market
Talk with Al Levitt
(July
14, 2009) There’s still no spark in the cash dairy markets
from Friday’s announcement of another CWT herd removal, though
cheese prices were unchanged in Monday’s trading and butter
inched a quarter-cent higher.
“People
just need to see the milk supply contract,” said Alan Levitt,
editor of the CME’s Daily
Dairy Report in Tuesday’s DairyLine
broadcast. “We’re not there yet,” he said, “We’re a
few months away.” The last CWT removal took out a little over
100,000 cows or about 1.1 percent of the milk supply but we
still need to take out more, according to Levitt.
Considering
the below support cheese prices, whey has become an increasingly
important factor in the Class III milk price and Levitt pointed
out that whey always has been an important factor.
He
reflected on the big run up a couple years ago when whey doubled
and tripled in price and tacked a few dollars onto the Class III
price but he warned that we won’t be doing that this time.
Whey
has gained about 13 cents since early February, according to
Levitt, and every penny on whey equates to about 6 cents on the
Federal order Class III price. That’s not the case in
California any more but whey has added close to 80 cents to the
Class III price, he said, and “hopefully it will hold up
here,” but he cautioned that whey has leveled off as it
approaches 30 cents per pound.
Levitt predicts the Federal order Class I base milk price, which is announced Friday morning by USDA, will drop to $10.03 per hundredweight. That would be a loss of 23 cents from July and would be $8.44 below August 2008. It would also generate an MILC payment to producers of $1.65 plus a feed adjustor of about 10-15 cents, though feed prices have come down.
California Class 1 Prices Announced
Promoting
Pizza's Place in School Lunch Programs
(July 13, 2009) Dairy Management Incorporated’s Stan Erwine discussed the
pizza cheese in schools campaign in Monday’s “DMI Update,” and stated that
DMI’s strategy is to protect and promote pizza’s place in school lunch
programs as a “healthy satisfying item.”
He
pointed out that pizza is the number one entrée in schools and 25 percent of
all school meals include pizza so DMI and state and regional check off
organizations are working on a “comprehensive program to build the perfect
pizza cheese” and are working with the same sense of urgency as they did with
the school milk program.
“Kids
represent a significant share of current dairy consumption,” Erwine said,
“And they’re 100 percent of our future customers so keeping pizza in schools
and keeping kids interested in real cheese are paramount to sustaining long term
sales.”
When
asked if that meant low-fat cheese, Erwine replied, “Yes, a lower-fat perfect
ingredient cheese that will again satisfy those changing nutritional
requirements.” And, when asked if we have developed a good-tasting, low-fat
cheese, Erwine answered, “We’re working on that and yes would be the answer
to that but that’s in the process.”
MILC Payments
Projected Through Next June
Continued low milk prices and high feed prices project MILC payments through
next June:
|
MILC
Payment Rates and Projections |
||||||
|
Year |
Boston
Class I |
Payment |
||||
|
Actual |
Target |
Rate |
||||
|
FY
2009 |
|
|||||
|
October
'08 |
18.78
|
18.48
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
November |
20.58
|
18.10
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
December |
18.68
|
17.76
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
January
'09 |
18.99
|
17.98
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
February |
13.97
|
17.33
|
1.5135 |
|||
|
March |
12.68
|
17.14
|
2.0056 |
|||
|
April |
13.61
|
17.14
|
1.5863 |
|||
|
May |
14.22
|
17.48
|
1.4673 |
|||
|
June |
13.33
|
17.35
|
1.8111 |
|||
|
July |
13.51
|
17.45
|
1.7742 |
|||
|
August |
13.26
|
17.55
|
1.9301 |
|||
|
September |
14.51
|
17.51
|
1.3498 |
|||
|
FY
2010 |
|
|
|
|||
|
October
'09 |
14.79
|
17.69
|
1.3046 |
|||
|
November |
15.15
|
17.69
|
1.1425 |
|||
|
December |
16.10
|
17.69
|
0.7171 |
|||
|
January
'10 |
16.59
|
17.88
|
0.5809 |
|||
|
February |
16.97
|
17.88
|
0.4068 |
|||
|
March |
17.25
|
17.88
|
0.2818 |
|||
|
April |
17.72
|
18.00
|
0.1253 |
|||
|
May |
17.96
|
18.00
|
0.0173 |
|||
|
June |
18.09
|
18.11
|
0.0102 |
|||
|
July |
18.52
|
18.11
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
August |
19.57
|
17.93
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
September |
20.09
|
17.92
|
0.0000 |
|||
|
Projections
based on futures as of 7/9/2009 |
||||||
Dairy
Market Weekly Recap
(July
10, 2009) Cheese prices remain below the government support
level. The block price dropped 2 cents Friday despite the CWT
announcement of a second herd removal, and closed at $1.09 per
pound, down 2 1/2-cents on the week, 84 1/4-cents below a year
ago, and 4 cents below support. Barrel also closed at $1.09,
down a penny on the week, 83 cents below a year ago, and a penny
below support. Thirty four cars of block traded hands on the
week and 14 of barrel. The NASS-surveyed U.S. average block
price slipped to $1.1373, down 1.2 cents. Barrel averaged
$1.0986, down 1.4 cents.
Cash butter closed Friday at $1.2225, up 3 cents on the week, but 32 3/4-cents below a year ago. Eighteen cars were sold. NASS butter averaged $1.1770, up 0.2 cent. NASS nonfat dry milk averaged 83.91 cents, down a penny, and dry whey averaged 28.11 cents, up 0.9 cent.
World
Ag Supply and Demand Estimates
(July 10, 2009) The
Agriculture Department has raised its 2009 milk production
forecast, to 187.6 billion pounds in this month’s World
Agricultural Supply & Demand Estimates report issued
this morning, up 100 million pounds from last month’s
estimate. The report states that the reduction in cow numbers is
slightly slower than expected. Milk production for 2010, at
186.4 billion pounds, was unchanged.
Imports for 2009 on a skim-solids basis are forecast lower; the commercial export forecast is unchanged from last month. Net removals are adjusted for both higher nonfat dry milk (NDM) sales to the CCC and product exports under the Dairy Export Incentive Program (DEIP). Cheese, butter, and NDM price forecasts are lowered as supplies are large but whey prices are forecast higher.
For 2009 and 2010, Class III milk prices were reduced as lower cheese price forecasts more than offset higher whey prices. The 2009 average is now expected to range $10.45-$10.75 per hundredweight, down from the $10.60-$11.00 predicted a month ago. Look for the 2010 average to range $13.90-$14.90, down from $14.30-$15.30 predicted last month.
The Class IV price forecast is
reduced in line with lower butter and NDM prices in both 2009
and 2010. The 2009 average is now projected at $9.95-$10.35,
down from the $10.10-10.60 predicted last month. The 2010
average is now projected at $12.45-$13.55, down from
12.55-$13.65 a month ago. The all milk price is forecast at
$11.85 to $12.15 for 2009 and $14.85 to $15.85 for 2010.
Consumers
are benefiting at the checkout stand
(July
10, 2009) Dairy farmers are suffering from low milk prices and
are losing their farms and livelihoods. A vivid example is
wholesale cheese prices which have been hovering at $1.10 to
$1.15 per pound. Compare that to retail prices which range
anywhere from $2.75 to $5.00 per pound. Someone is making money.
Consumers
are benefiting at the checkout stand, admits Dairy
Profit Weekly editor, Dave Natzke, but he looked
specifically at milk prices in his Friday broadcast and reported
that not all retail prices are coming down equally.
Farm
milk prices are at a six-year low, Natzke reported, and the
Bureau of Labor Statistics’ monthly Consumer Price Index says
consumers are seeing some of the price decline at the grocery
store.
May
2009 retail dairy prices were down one-half of one percent
compared to April 2009, and down 5.6 percent compared to a year
earlier. Dairy prices have fallen more than the overall bill for
food eaten at home, which was down three-tenths of one percent
in May, but up 1.5 percent compared to May 2008. May prices for
milk and cheese were lower than the previous month and year,
with butter and ice cream up slightly, according to Natzke.
A
second dairy aisle survey, however, shows that while retail milk
prices have been coming down, there's a big disparity between
prices for regular, "rbST-free" and organic milk,
Natzke said.
The
American Farm Bureau Federation, which conducts quarterly
surveys of retail food prices in 33 states, noted the average
price for a half-gallon of regular whole milk was $1.92 in the
second quarter of 2009, down 24cents from the first quarter, and
down about 20 percent from a year earlier.
The
average price for one gallon of regular whole milk was $3.01,
down 14 cents from the previous quarter and 22 percent less than
the previous year.
Meanwhile,
the average price for a half-gallon of “rBST-free” milk was
$3.18, down a penny from the last quarter and about 5 percent
less than a year earlier. A price of a half-gallon of "rbST-free"
milk is about 65 percent higher than the half-gallon of regular
milk, Natzke reported.
And, the average price for a half-gallon of organic milk was $3.63, down 8 cents compared to the first quarter, but up 1 percent from a year earlier. The retail price of a half-gallon of organic milk is approximately 90 percent higher than the regular milk.
Serious
Concerns Over Climate Change Legislation
(July
9, 2009) National Milk has “serious concerns” over the
potential impact on dairy farmers of the proposed climate change
legislation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Speaking in his
weekly Thursday report, National Milk’s Chris Galen called it
“the most sweeping environmental law that’s ever passed the
House of Representatives.”
He
admitted that it’s “very early in the ballgame,” and that
it’s not known what will happen to “the cap and trade
approach to regulating greenhouse gases” but “We do know
that Congress and the Obama administration are very interested
in limiting greenhouse gases coming from the U.S and they have
developed this cap and trade system to do so.”
The
bill barely passed the House, Galen reported, and now the focus
shifts to the Senate where its prospects are “very
uncertain.” National Milk has not taken a position yet in
favor of or in opposition to it, according to Galen, though it
has concerns.
“The
good news,” Galen said, “Is that agriculture is very well
positioned in this whole debate, at least it was as the House
was considering this.” National Milk worked very closely with
the Chairmen of the House Agriculture Committee, Rep. Collin
Peterson (D-MN), to make certain that dairies and other sectors
of livestock in agriculture are well positioned so that they can
take advantage of opportunities under a cap and trade system and
hopefully see minimized costs that may be the result of it (the
legislation).
One
of the positive elements involves manure digesters, not just for
new installations, according to Galen, but allowing existing
digesters to qualify for the offset market. There are other
practices that farmers can also engage in, he said, including
low or no till planting, as well as things to reduce enteric
fermentation or “reducing methane from ruminate digestive
systems on the front end of the cow and not just the back
end.”
He anticipates that the Senate will take a slower approach to this legislation but the important thing right now, according to Galen, is that dairy and agriculture in general are “very well positioned, based on where we are and where we think we need to go and we’re going to try to maximize the opportunities for dairy farmers at this moves forward.”
Beef
is the end product of all dairy animals, Flora said, and dairy
producers need to understand how their check off helps drive
consumer demand. The beef check off’s message addresses the
power of protein and its great taste, she said, but she admits
that most producers will not likely even see the advertising
that their check off dollars are paying for.
The
ads appear in publications such as Men’s
Health, Fitness, Better
Homes and Garden, and People
magazine for example, and “Most of us have ag trade magazines
on our coffee tables,” Flora said, “But by tapping in to
that passion for beef, the message about beef’s protein value
and how that equates to strong bodies, we’re helping drive
demand for our product on the shelves of grocery stores and in
restaurants.”
Dairy producers play an important role in the beef check off, she said, with more than 20 percent of the entire beef supply coming from dairy breed animals. Flora said she’s happy to know that her beef check off can “reach moms, teens, and all other ages through programs like consumer advertising.” “If we can keep beef, center of the plate, it only means more green back in our pocket.”
California Class 1 Prices Delayed
(July 7, 2009) The California Department of Food and Agriculture was scheduled
to announce the state’s August Class 1 milk prices Friday but the
governor has announced that all state offices will be closed Friday so those
prices will not be announced until Monday. We will post complete details here on
Monday as soon as possible.
(July
7, 2009) Cheese prices remain at or below support and the
University of Wisconsin’s, Dr. Brian Gould, said in
Tuesday’s DairyLine
that it’s a continuation of a trend and he said the market had
already taken into account the final numbers of the latest CWT
herd removal.
Gould
reported that 101,000 cows representing almost 2 billion pounds
of milk were removed. About 40 percent of that milk is from the
West and about 7 1/2 percent from the Midwest, though 34 percent
of the farms are from the Midwest.
Looking
at the size distribution, Gould said the average farm size whose
bid was accepted this time was 65 cows in the Midwest, compared
to the Southwest average of 684 cows. That, he said, may reflect
some of the objectives of the CWT program to assist those who
want to get out of the dairy business.
Reacting
to National Milk saying that additional removals will be
conducted, Gould said the thinking is that another 100,000 cows
needs to be culled in order to make any dent in milk output but
the 200,000 cow estimates were made months ago and things have
since worsened.
The
futures markets for the rest of 2009 and 2010 have lost more
ground, according to Gould, and he’s not sure that even
200,000 less cows will be enough turn things around.
(July
6, 2009) Dairy Management Incorporated’s, Stan Erwine,
discussed dairy ingredient marketing in Monday’s “DMI
Update.” He pointed out that, as
consumers change so do their tastes and desire for nutrition and
dairy products. As a result food and beverage manufacturers are
looking for new and innovative ways to deliver improved
nutrition in products that respond to healthier lifestyles and
increased convenience.
Over
1 billion pounds of milk is being used as ingredients, according
to Erwine, and the check off is working with food and beverage
manufacturers like Starbucks Coffee to introduce new products
like Vivanno Smoothies which contain whey protein, fiber, and at
least one serving of fruit. Starbucks came to the check off for
its assistance in expanding their menu offerings, he said.
Another
example is new Yoplait Smoothies which use frozen yogurt chip
technology which goes into a package and is then combined with
eight ounces of fluid milk to create “a great tasting
smoothie.”
Erwine
said DMI’s role in these efforts is focused on product
development and research, concept and positioning, and sampling
assistance. He said that producer funded research helped develop
these new products and uses of ingredients.
(July 3, 2009) The first half of 2009 is behind us and it's been a difficult six months for farmers. Dairy Profit Weekly editor, Dave Natzke, said in Friday’s DairyLine that things have to get better in the second half, and one area could be dairy feed prices.
USDA’s latest “Crop Acreage and Grain Stocks” reports released early this week, indicate there’s more corn acreage for this year’s crop and more corn in storage from last year’s crop than previously anticipated and Natzke reported that corn futures prices declined sharply a day after the reports, an indication dairy feed prices could also come down.
USDA also estimated acreage for dry alfalfa hay is virtually unchanged from a year ago. U.S. average alfalfa hay prices have been running about $45 per ton less than last year, and in California, June 2009 alfalfa prices were about $100 per ton less than a year earlier.
The other factors affecting milk prices are that production is starting to flatten out and cow numbers are shrinking. Cooperatives Working Together announced the final tally for the recent herd retirement program, completed at the end of June.
CWT reported a total of 101,000 cows producing an estimated 1.96 billion pounds of milk, were removed. CWT’s Jim Tillison said additional herd reduction activities are likely in 2009, given the depressed state of milk prices.
A
national dairy conference call was conducted Tuesday by the
advocacy group, Dairy Farmers Working Together (DFWT). DFWT’s
Amanda St Pierre told DairyLine
that the call went very well and such calls would play a role in
communicating with dairy farmers in the future.
She
said the number of participants was uncertain but was in the
hundreds although she admitted there were a few challenges that
need to be worked out before any future calls and more publicity
would be needed to attract more participation. When asked when
another such program would be conducted, St Pierre said it
depended on the finances of the organization. For
more information, log on to www.dfwt.org.
|
MILC Payment Rates and Projections |
|||
|
Year |
Boston Class I |
Payment |
|
|
Actual |
Target |
Rate |
|
|
FY 2009 |
|
|
|
|
October '08 |
18.78 |
18.48 |
0.0000 |
|
November |
20.58 |
18.10 |
0.0000 |
|
December |
18.68 |
17.76 |
0.0000 |
|
January '09 |
18.99 |
17.98 |
0.0000 |
|
February |
13.97 |
17.33 |
1.5135 |
|
March |
12.68 |
17.14 |
2.0056 |
|
April |
13.61 |
17.14 |
1.5863 |
|
May |
14.22 |
17.48 |
1.4673 |
|
June |
13.33 |
17.35 |
1.8111 |
|
July |
13.51 |
16.94 |
1.5435 |
|
August |
13.67 |
16.94 |
1.4733 |
|
September |
13.87 |
16.94 |
1.3828 |
|
FY 2010 |
|
|
|
|
October '09 |
14.49 |
16.94 |
1.1020 |
|
November |
15.38 |
16.94 |
0.7013 |
|
December |
16.40 |
16.94 |
0.2451 |
|
January '10 |
16.96 |
16.94 |
0.0000 |
|
February |
17.22 |
16.94 |
0.0000 |
|
March |
17.32 |
16.94 |
0.0000 |
|
April |
17.74 |
17.07 |
0.0000 |
|
May |
18.01 |
17.07 |
0.0000 |
|
June |
18.10 |
17.22 |
0.0000 |
|
July |
18.51 |
17.22 |
0.0000 |
|
August |
18.75 |
17.28 |
0.0000 |
|
September |
19.10 |
17.27 |
0.0000 |
|
Projections
based on futures as of 7/1/2009 |
|||
(July
3, 2009) Cash cheese prices were mixed in the shortened 4th
of July week. The blocks closed Thursday at $1.1150 per pound,
down a half-cent on the week, 80 3/4-cents below a year ago, and
1 1/2-cents below support. Barrel closed at $1.10, up a penny on
the week, 77 1/2-cents below a year ago, and right at support.
Twenty nine cars of block traded hands on the week and 11 of
barrel. The NASS-surveyed U.S. average block price hit $1.1490,
down slightly. Barrel averaged $1.1123, down a half-cent.
Cash butter slipped this week, closing at $1.1925, down 1 1/4-cents on the week, and 36 cents below a year ago. Ten cars were sold on the week. NASS butter averaged $1.1703, down 3.9 cents. NASS nonfat dry milk averaged 84.93 cents, up 0.3 cent, and dry whey averaged 27.2 cents, down 0.3 cent on the week.
Regular,
rbST Free and Organic Milk Prices Compared
(July
3, 2009) The
American Farm Bureau Federation’s Marketbasket Survey took
a quarterly look at retail prices for regular, “rbST-free”
and organic milk. The survey involves consumers in 33 states.
For the second quarter of 2009, U.S. shoppers reported the average price for a half-gallon of regular whole milk was $1.92, down 24¢ from the prior quarter. The average price for one gallon of regular whole milk was $3.01, down 14¢. Comparing per-quart prices, the retail price for whole milk sold in gallon containers was about 25% lower compared to half-gallon containers, a typical volume discount long employed by retailers.
The average price for a half-gallon of rBST-free milk was $3.18, down 1¢ from the last quarter and about 65% higher than the reported retail price for a half-gallon of regular milk ($1.92).
The average price for a half-gallon of organic milk was $3.63, down 8¢ compared to the first quarter andapproximately 90% higher than the reported retail price for a half-gallon of regular milk ($1.92).
Compared to a year ago (second quarter of 2008), the retail price for regular milk in gallon containers decreased by 22%, while regular milk in half-gallon containers decreased 20%. The average retail price forrBST-free milk dropped about 5% in a year’s time. The average retail price for organic milk in half-gallon containers went up and down slightly throughout the year, rising 1% in the second quarter of 2009 compared to a year ago.
—
• one half-gallon of milk = approximately 4.3 lbs. = 23.25 half-gallons per hundredweight (cwt.) of milk.
• “rbst-free” premium markup: $1.26/half-gallon X 23.25 = $29.30/cwt.
• $3.18/half-gallon (price per half-gallon “rbST-free” milk = $73.94/cwt. gross income from sale of “rbST-free” milk
• May U.S. average fluid milk price paid to farmers: $11.60/cwt.* (Source: USDA)
* Some dairy farmers received a small premium for producing “rbST-free” milk.
CWT
to blame for lower cull cow prices?
(July
3, 2009) Are
all those Cooperatives Working Together (CWT) cows headed to
slaughter to blame for a decline in
the cull cow price in June?
Dairy cow slaughter is up, from about 44,000 per week last year, to 50,000 per week this year. However, weekly beef cow slaughter has decreased from 71,000 head last year, to about 62,000 head this year.
To see the latest analysis and comment from Feuz, visit http://cattlemarketanalysis.org.
May Dairy
Products Report
(July 2, 2009)
The Agriculture Department’s
May Dairy
Products report puts butter production at 139.4 million pounds, down
3.1 million pounds or 2.2 percent
from April and 0.4 million pounds or 0.3 percent below
May 2008.
Nonfat dry milk output amounted to
149.1 million
pounds, up 10.6 million or 7.7 percent from April, and 17.6 million or
13.3 percent above a year ago.
Mozzarella cheese output totaled 273.5 million pounds, up
1.1 million pounds or 0.4 percent from April, and 0.4 million or
0.1 percent above a year ago.
Total Italian type cheese, at
350 million
pounds, was down 0.1 million pounds or 0.1 percent from
April, but up 1 million or 0.3 percent above a year ago.
American
type cheese amounted to 366.3 million pounds, up 15.1 million pounds or
4.3 percent from April, and up 13.7 or 3.9 percent
from a year ago.
Total cheese output came to 860.7 million pounds, up 15.4 million pounds or
1.8 percent from April, and up 22.1 million
or 2.6 percent from a year ago.
June
Federal Order Class III Price Up 13 Cents
(July
2, 2009) Dairy farm profitability remains elusive. The
Agriculture Department announced the June Federal order Class
III milk price today at $9.97 per hundredweight (cwt.), up
13 cents from May but a whopping $10.28 below June 2008. That
puts the 2009 average at $10.19, down from $18.26 a year ago,
and compares to $16.11 in 2007.
Class
III futures point to further increases ahead but still well
below year ago levels and below the cost of production for most
farms. The July contract was trading late morning Thursday at
$10.06, August at $10.55, September at $11.25, October at
$12.17, November at $13.15, and December at $13.57.
The
June Class IV price is $10.22, up 8 cents from May, but $5.70
below a year ago.
The
four week NASS-surveyed cheese price average was $1.1466 per
pound, down almost a penny from May. Butter averaged $1.2073,
also down almost a penny. Dry whey averaged 26.93 cents, up 3.76
cents, and nonfat dry milk averaged 84.61 cents, up 1.43 cents
from May.
|
CLASS & COMPONENT PRICES: |
|
COMMODITY |
June 2009 | May 2009 | April 2009 |
|
Class II Milk Price |
$10.79 cwt. | $10.71 cwt. | $10.49 cwt. |
|
Class II Butterfat Price |
$1.2614 lb. | $1.2718 lb. | $1.2119 lb. |
|
Class III Milk Price |
$9.97 cwt. | $9.84 cwt. | $10.78 cwt. |
|
Class III Skim Price |
$5.78 cwt. | $5.61 cwt. | $6.80 cwt. |
|
Class IV Milk Price |
$10.22 cwt. | $10.14 cwt. | $9.82 cwt. |
|
Class IV Skim Milk Price |
$6.04 cwt. | $5.92 cwt. | $5.81 cwt. |
|
Butterfat Price |
$1.2544 lb. | $1.2648 lb. | $1.2049 lb. |
|
Nonfat Solids Price |
$0.6715 lb. | $0.6574 lb. | $0.6452 lb. |
|
Protein Price |
$1.7283 lb. | $1.7454 lb. | $2.2009 lb. |
|
Other Solids Price |
$0.0723 lb. | $0.0336 lb. | $-0.0043 lb. |
|
Somatic Cell Adjustment Rate |
$0.00057 per 1,000 cells | $0.00058 per 1,000 cells | $0.00064 per 1,000 cells |
| PRODUCT PRICE AVERAGES | June 2009 | May 2009 | April 2009 |
| Butter | $1.2073 lb. | $1.2159 lb. | $1.1665 lb. |
| Nonfat Dry Milk | $0.8461 lb. | $0.8318 lb. | $0.8195 lb. |
| Cheese | $1.1466 lb. | $1.1553 lb. | $1.2771 lb |
| Dry Whey | $0.2693 lb. | $0.2317 lb. | $0.1949 lb. |
One
More Thing USDA Can Do To Help Cash Strapped Dairy Producers
(July
2, 2009) National Milk Producers Federation has called on the
USDA to raise the purchase prices for cheese and nonfat dry milk
under the Dairy Price Support program for about 90 days. Chris
Galen said in Thursday’s broadcast that doing so would enhance
the safety net program in last year’s farm bill by boosting
the purchase price of cheese by 6 cents and nonfat dry milk by 4
cents per pound and would allow more product to clear to the
government, thereby boosting producer milk prices by about $235
million, according to Federation calculations.
USDA
has not yet responded, Galen reported, but there are a lot of
ideas being considered to help dairy farmers and some have
already been taken, including the use of the Dairy Export
Incentive program (DEIP) and efforts to clear the 200 million
pounds of powder USDA currently has in storage.
The
good thing about National Milk’s proposal, he said, is that it
does not involve passing legislation through Congress but simply
relies on a USDA decision, a decision that NMPF believes USDA
has the authority to make.
The
Farm Bill specifies minimum support prices, according to Galen,
but there’s nothing in the bill that prohibits USDA from
temporarily raising those prices and “that would provide a
short term boost for farm level milk prices, which is what’s
desperately needed right now.”
The
Federation has no cost estimate to the government of doing this.
Galen admitted there would be some extra cost but, “We don’t
think this would result in any huge flood of cheese going to the
government.” Nonfat dry milk already is moving weekly to
government storage but it would be paying 84 cents per pound,
instead of the current 80 cents, he said.
National
Milk also called on USDA to reauthorize the DEIP. The DEIP
fiscal year ended June 30 and a renewal would allow an
additional 1.7 billion pounds (milk equivalent) of product to be
exported.
(July
1, 2009) California’s June 4b cheese milk price was
announced this afternoon by the California Department of
Food and Agriculture at $9.52 per hundredweight, down 2
cents from May, and $9.60 below June 2008. The 4a butter
powder price was $10.06, up 3 cents from May, but $5.55 below
a year ago.
(July 1, 2009) During periods of low farm milk prices, we often hear complaints that retail milk prices have not fallen at the same rate. The International Dairy Foods Association’s chief economist, Bob Yonkers, said in Wednesday’s broadcast that “There are a number of reasons why retail milk prices may not change in lock step with changes in farm milk prices however available data show that retail milk price changes do follow farm milk price changes over time.”
One reason for confusion about this price relationship, according to Yonkers, is that dairy producers receive a blend price that reflects the value of farm milk sold for all uses. However, the cost of farm milk to processors of fluid milk products regulated by Federal Orders is the Class I minimum price. For any given month, the farm blend price and the Class I price do not change by the same amount, he explained, and in some months actually move in opposite directions.
Another reason for the confusion is that retail prices are in dollars per gallon, while farm milk prices are reported in dollars per hundredweight. Yonkers gave an example that, between May 2008 and 2009 the average Class I price declined from $19.50 to $13.85 per hundredweight, a drop of 29 percent. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S average retail price for a gallon of whole milk fell from $3.760 to $3.068 per gallon for that same period, a drop of only 18 percent.
However,
when you convert the farm milk price per hundredweight to a
price per gallon, the
Class I price per gallon fell between May 2008 and 2009 from
$1.677 to $1.191, a decline of 48.6 cents. Compare this to the
decline in the retail price per gallon of 69.2 cents during that
same period, he said. “The reality is that the retail price of
milk fell by over 20 cents per gallon more than the price dairy
producers received for the farm milk used to process fluid milk
products at the Federal order regulated minimum price.”
“While the relationship between the two prices is not exact,” Yonkers concluded, “They do tend to move together over time despite the many other factors that influence the difference between them.” View Graph Here