May 2009 Archived Dairy News
Friday, May 29, 2009
California's May 4b Price Drops 87 Cents
May Milk Feed Price Ratio Is 1.47
May Dairy Market
Report - Roger Cryan, NMPF
This week in Dairy Profit
Weekly
Dairy Market Weekly Recap
Dairy Profit Weekly Update With Dave Natzke
Dairy
farmers plan rally in Iowa
ID
INFO EXPO 2009 Set for Aug. 25-27
Huge
Losses Greet June Dairy Month
Milk
surplus, less demand imperils dairy industry
Dairy
farmers in desperate straits
Low
milk prices could hurt farmers
Organic
Dairies Watch the Good Times Turn Bad
Recession
crippling hundreds of local dairy farmers
Sara
Lee will open Kansas City, Kan., plant, employ 250
Dairy
Health Feed Nutrients: Minerals
'Stockmanship'
Useful Skill for Moving Dairy Cattle
Dean
Foods Company to Present at the Stephens Inc. Spring...
Springfield
senior wins 'citizen of year'
Australia:
Dairy farmers warned to prepare for more milk price cuts
Thursday, May 28, 2009
DEIP Is Back
WTO
members criticize US decision to reintroduce dairy export
...
Dairy
Farmers Press Congress For Emergency Action To Stem Economic
Collapse
Stabilizing
Dairy Prices?
Hugoson
reappoints Dairy Profitability Committee members
Dairy
Center to be showcased during 2010 Farm Tech Days
Animart
hosts June Dairy Month event
Phosphorus
Leaching Differs in Dairy Manures
Int'l
Dairy Foods Assn. spent $165K lobbying in 1Q
Stimulus
plan funds Rhode Island shoe store, Virginia dairy
Fonterra
Cuts Forecast; Says US Supports to Hurt World Market
Wednesday, May 27, 2009
What will it take for a recovery in the milk price?
“Do Not Ship Milk
Days” protest cancelled; Organizers seek to bring coops
together
USDA
expands dairy insurance program
West
to trim herds through program
2
TC dairies face water board complaints
Dairy
Crisis Demands Radical New Thinking
Milk
Prices Plummet, Hurting Local Farmers
Drop
in Milk Prices Has Dairy Farmers Struggling
Beef
should see little impact from CWT
EU
Farmers Protest Falling Milk Prices
Fonterra
Cuts Forecast; Says US Supports to Hurt World Market
Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Progressive Ag
Editorial
Market Analysis with Bob Cropp
Dryden
dairy gets protection grant
Farm
promoting comfy cows at dairy breakfast
Spokane
dairy does things the traditional way
Milk
prices good for consumers, bad for Georgia farmers
EU
may meet dairy farmers' demands
Monday, May 25, 2009
Dairy Rule Suspended
Feingold, Kohl Announce USDA To Help Dairy Farmers
Western United Dairymen Update
Milk Producers Council Weekly Update
Wisconsin
Farm Technology Days hosts make farming
a family affair
DMI Update
New dairy holds open house
Global milk glut squeezes dairy farmers, consumers
Cow power can help feed the system and aid farmers
Cattle
Market Notes: Rising Corn Prices; Dairy Cow Buyout
Return
of US dairy subsidies sours Kiwis
France,
Germany seek EU action to boost milk price
Related
Related
Ukrainian
cabinet to start program on support of dairy market by...
IFA
to raise dairy concerns with EU commissioner
Friday, May 22, 2009
April Cold Storage Report
USDA Announces 2008-2009 Allocations for Dairy Export Incentive Program
Dairy Markets Weekly Recap
NMPF
and USDEC Laud USDA Decision To Re-Open the Dairy Export
Incentive Program
MILC Rate For June
June Federal Order Class I Base Milk Price Suffers Relapse
2009 Dairy Exports Continue To Lag
Farmers
split over dairy pricing act
Letter from upset
dairy producer
NY:
More government aid sought over milk prices
Cross
Country: Decline of the dairy farm -- what happened?
Dairy
farmer gets right to open creamery
U.S.
Dairy Industry Groups Urge Passage of Cuba Trade Bills
Organic
farming takes planning, certification
Calves
happy to hit automated milk bar
Essential
Oils As Dietary Supplements For Dairy Cattle
Chocolate
milk tax proposal is last straw for dairy farmers
Cattle
Health: Use Corn Stalks As Dairy Heifer Feed
Mobile Dairy Classroom
Expands Into California's Central Valley
AABP
Foundation –
Cows
on the Concourse
Indiana
Dairy to again take World Stage at Indy 500
Parmalat
plans to buy milk depots
Caution
on online dairy sales
Dean
Foods Announces Changes to the Board of Directors
Thursday, May 21, 2009
Dairy importers may soon have to pay into the national dairy check off
CWT
Auditors Begin Removing Cows as Farms Are Audited
Auditors
for Dairy Cow 'Retirement' Start Work
Milk
Industry Unites to Pan Proposed Tax on Chocolate Milk
Farmers
Call for Emergency Floor Price, Access to Credit and New
Dairy Pricing System
NY
Farm Bureau seeks relief for dairy farmers
Will
the Last Kent Dairy Farm Become Estate Properties?
Safeway
Names Winners in the Lucerne® "The Art of Dairy"™
Contest
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Dairy Rally Involves Several Organizations
Pro
Ag Editorial:
Support
For S-889 Growing
Management
report takes look at financial situation
Local
5th Generation Dairy Entrepreneur to be featured on
"The CEO ...
USDA to Require
Changes to Dairy Check-off Program to Collect Import Fees
Vreba-Hoff
looks to expand dairies
Dairy
Outlook: Herd Liquidation To Accelerate Later In 2009
Dairy
Situation & Outlook: Milk Production Down, Cow Slaughter
Slows
WA
dairy recalls ice cream products
Beef
Outlook: US Veal Production
Dairy
to reveal carbon footprint
Cow
Slaughter Declining Into Spring
Norfolk
Grange Hall, dairy barn lose in grant competition
Increased
Beef Imports From Australia Drive Outlook For 2009
Foremost
Farms USAâ Awards Ten Scholarships to Children
of Member-Owners
Dairy
Crest profit falls, to cut future dividends
NJ
cops round up about 30 escaped cows
Local
teen named Princess Kay finalist
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Market Analysis with Bill Brooks
Latest Dairy Outlook Report
NMPF Welcomes Long-Overdue Arrival Of Promotion Checkoff On Dairy Imports
Dairy Farmers Working Together Announces Support of the Dairy Price
Stabilization...
Willie Nelson and Farm Aid Warn Low Milk Prices Threaten Economies
Plan: State workers avoid pay cut
Extension Service hires dairy specialist
Aces of Trades: Got milk? He does
New advances increase dairy efficiency and cow comfort
Fonterra plans to double online dairy sales
Carlini Named Information Chief At Dean Foods
Monday, May 18, 2009
April Milk Production Up Slightly
National
Dump Milk Days May 31, June 1
Poster
regarding a Dairy Price Rally in Iowa on May 30
May Penn
State Dairy Outlook
Dairy
committee happy with bill in Congress
New
dairy facility opening in Portales
DMI Update
Got
milk? Davis named Dairy Month chairman
Cattlemen's
Capitol Concerns: Transportation Reform, Dairy Herd ...
Southwest
Dairy Day highlights newest technology
Dairy
Woman Heads Beef Board
Alberta
cow tagged as Canada's 16th BSE case
Related
Milk
Producers Council Update
Western
United Dairymen Update
Dairy
association gives $65000 to food banks
Great
genes
Friday, May 15, 2009
Dairy Market Weekly Recap
Cool and wet conditions are slowing planting progress
Dairy
Farmers of America sells Dallas dairy unit for $435M
Group
drops pollution lawsuit against Valley dairy
Oregon
company to turn dairy waste into biofuel
Dairy
herd, work ethic keep Beaumier busy
WasteSolver
Demonstration at Tulare Dairy Farm Tuesday
Got
raw milk? Some think you should
China: 30,000
dairy cows to give birth to German calves
Australia: Cow
deaths dash students' show plans
UK: Opera
singer serenades cow herd
Thursday, May 14, 2009
Strategic Task Force Looks For Solutions
U
of IL: Genome Mapping Benefits Beef, Dairy Producers
Lameness
Troubleshooting Tool Now Available to Dairy Farmers
Top
10 Considerations for Culling and Transporting Dairy Cattle
UK:
Dairy industry defends itself against RSPCA welfare claims
Wednesday, May 13, 2009
CWT
to remove over 100,000 cows, 2 billion pounds of milk in
largest-ever herd retirement
Cotton Acreage Decreases, Prices Remain Surprisingly Reasonable
Western
Colo. dairy resumes raw milk distribution
Related
Vermont
dairy farms count on illegal immigrants
Rutter's
Dairy Introduces Southern Brew Sweet Tea
Three
dairy producers say they like their low-cost parlors
Dairy
farmers struggle as milk prices drop
Road
trip to Sassy Cow Creamery
Dairy
Australia optimistic about future milk prices
Fonterra
Milk Powder Prices Rise to Six-Month High at Auction
UK:
Dairy firm proposes plant closure
UK:
New Dairy Milk Buttons packaging draws on playful nature of
brand
Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Latest World Ag Supply and Demand Estimates
Market Analysis with Al Levitt
NMPF
To Form Strategic Planning Task Force To Examine Solutions
To Dairy Challenges
DATCP Announces 2009
WMMB Election Results
Midwest
Dairy Association Pledges $65000 to Iowa Food Banks
NJ
bill would allow sale of raw milk
Dairy
resumes distribution in area
French
Find Safety Nets Multiplying in Pastures
Got
Jerseys? Awards to be Presented to Best Dairy Products
Kayakers
trade rapids for art of cheesemaking
Cattle
Feed Byproducts: Improvements In Storage &
Transportation...
Family
farm : Bill and Delia Haak crowned Farm Family of Year.
NAILE
Adds Supreme Champion Awards to Junior and Open Dairy Shows
The
right white stuff
Monday, May 11, 2009
S.889
Gives Farmers a Cost of Production as Farmers Confront 1970s
Prices
Western
United Dairymen Update
Milk
Producers Council Update
4
Tons -- 1ST Crop --- $70.00 per ton
Average
Wisconsin milk price floats up
UW-Madison
partners on 3-state dairy cow study
Wisconsin
Farm Bureau Federation® AG News Wire
Northern
Colorado farmers getting help with loans
DMI Update
Alaska
dairy farmers rebound as demand for products rises
Imposing
a tax for cattle is only an absurd rumor
Young
dairy farmers worry about future
Farming
remains low-margin business for true optimists
Local
farmer responds to animal accusations
A
one-of-a-kind way to milk cows
Colostrum
Feeding For The Future Of The Dairy Herd
'Belties'
Provide Enjoyment for Patterson Family
S&P
lifts outlook on Dean Foods
UK:
Norfolk farmers share drought concerns on Swedish visit
Fact-finding
DAFF Dairy Trip to Northern Ireland
Live
yeast of benefit in dairy heifer feed
Dairy
lessons come to South Australia classrooms
Bovine
genome map already helps producers
Friday, May 8, 2009
California Class 1 Prices Announced
GRUPO LALA Purchases
National Dairy from DFA
Dairy Markets Weekly Review
MILC Payment Rates and Projections
Immigration fact sheet focuses on criminal prosecution for employers
What
Federal Milk Orders Are Up to & Why States Are Concerned
Family Farmers and
Ranchers Criticize Hearing Linking NAIS to Disease Outbreaks
Aspiring
VT dairy farmers fret about future
Cross
Country: Dairy industry faces uphill financial climb
Declining
milk prices take toll on hay
Pa. gov., ag chief challenge milk price ruling
Spring
Dairy Expo is quite an event
Organic
Cow Study Coming
1Q
profits up for Land O'Lakes
Simple
Steps Can Improve Milk Taste and Quality
Businesses
have financial incentives to get energy efficient
OSU
Studies How To Make Cows Happy & Increase Milk Output
Thursday, May 7, 2009
USDA began hearings this week regarding producer-handlers
What
Federal Milk Orders Are Up to & Why States Are Concerned
Dairy
farmer dumps milk to draw attention to low prices
PA
senators want to help dairy farmers
Senators
Specter and Casey come through again for dairy
Conditions
good this spring, but milk price remains low
BI:
An Immunocompetent Udder Starts Early
Senate-Passed
Foreclosure
Prevention Bill Includes Feingold
Measure
Foremost
Farms website redesign caters to cheese and dairy ...
Raw
milk bill moves to Senate
Marney
Rich Keenan Couple deliver raw milk from their farm to
suburbs
Dairy
farmer shares his success with Alexandria group
Smith
Dairy: Helping close the city-country knowledge gap
Groundbreaking
team can't stand still
Got
Milk?
Wednesday, May 6, 2009
Worldwide Food Expo launches sustainability pavilion at this years show
NCIMS
adopts new ‘win-win’ definition for Grade A products![]()
Editorial from
Pro Ag editor
Panel
discusses options for business in a down economy
Dairy
farmers coping as best they can
House
Bill Addresses Dairy Crisis
Tuesday, May 5, 2009
Market Analysis with Mary Ledman
Why are our Milk
markets so volatile today? What is so different from the
past...
CWT
Bid Period Closes as Auditors and Staff Prepare for Bid
Analysis
Feingold &
Gillibrand push legislation to help farmers
restructure their loans
News
for Dairy Co Ops
USDA
Seeks Feedback Regarding National Animal I-D System
Johanns
Cautions USDA on Organic Emphasis
New
Senate Food and Ag Committee not following the herd
Wet
Storage Strategies
Crave
Brothers to host
Tyson
Foods, Inc. F2Q09 (Qtr End 03/28/09) Earnings Call
Transcript
Canadian
hog herd tests positive for H1N1
Monday, May 4, 2009
March Dairy Products Report
Western
United Dairymen Weekly Update
Milk
Producers Council Weekly Update
Letter:
Dairy farmers don't get a fair shake
Dairies
caught in a price squeeze
Agriculture
Awareness Forum shines light on tough times
Cross
County: 'Our life has been like a movie'
NCBA
President: Let's Look Beyond the Ballot Box
USDA
Market News
Senator
expects another stimulus
Organic
Dairy Manure May Offer High Quality Fertilizer Option
Holy
cow! Touring one of the nation's largest dairy farms
DMI Update: What Sustainability Means for Dairy Producers
Pfizer Animal
Genetics Announces Laboratory, Headquarters Move to
Kalamazoo
Calling All Jersey
Cheeses: Entries Sought For North American Cheese Awards
Spanish
inspired, Wisconsin made
Dean
Foods 1Q profit jumps as milk prices ease
Deal
to sell kosher cheese plant in city is reached
Moofest
cow found!
Animal
Activists Capitalize on Swine Flu Hysteria
Friday, May 1, 2009
California Class 4 Prices Announced
Dairy Markets Weekly Recap
The benchmark farm gate milk price inched a little higher
The economy continues to dominate dairy news
Dairy Checkoff Update
La
Mirada student wins $30000 for painting a cow
Bill
would OK owners' use of raw milk
May
Milk Feed Price Ratio Is 1.47
(May 29, 2009) The May Milk-Feed Price Ratio is 1.47, down from
April's revised estimate of 1.58, according to USDA’s “Ag Prices” report issued this
afternoon, and compares to 1.81 in May of 2008.
The All Milk Price was estimated at $11.70 per hundredweight,
down 20 cents from last month's estimate,
and $6.60 below a year ago.
Corn averaged $4.08 per bushel, up 23 cents from
April, but $1.19 below a year ago. The soybean price, at
$10.80 per bushel, was up $1.01 cents from April, but $1.30 below a year ago. Alfalfa baled hay was
$138.00 per ton, up $5.00 from April, but $42.00 below a year ago.
Dairy Market Weekly
Recap
(May 29, 2009) Wholesale dairy product prices remain depressed but are showing a
little strength. While retail dairy product prices are down from a year ago, to
the delight of consumers, dairy farm milk prices remain far below the cost of
production.
The
Memorial Day holiday-shortened week saw block cheese close at $1.1525 per pound,
up a penny and a quarter on the week, but $1.0775 below a year ago. Barrel
closed Friday at $1.10, up 2 cents on the week, but $1.10 below a year ago.
Thirty seven cars of block traded hands on the week and 24 of barrel. The NASS-surveyed
U.S. average block price fell to $1.1485, down 1.7 cents. Barrel averaged
$1.0994, down 0.7 cent.
Butter
closed at $1.2650, unchanged on the week, but 21 1/2-cents below a year ago.
Fourteen cars were sold on the week. NASS-surveyed butter averaged $1.2374, up
2.1 cents.
Cash
Grade A nonfat dry milk closed Friday at 90 cents per pound, up a penny on the
week, and Extra Grade closed at 87.50, up a half-cent.
NASS-surveyed
nonfat dry milk averaged 83.13 cents, down 0.4 cent, and dry whey averaged 23.90
cents, up 0.4 cent.
Price support purchases for the week totaled 1.5 million pounds of nonfat dry milk, raising the cumulative total to 239.8 million, compared to none a year ago.
Dairy
Profit Weekly Update With Dave Natzke
(May 29, 2009) Legislation that would ease restrictions on U.S. agricultural
exports to Cuba has gained the support of the U.S. dairy industry. Dairy
Profit Weekly editor, Dave Natzke, reported Friday that National Milk and
U.S. Dairy Export Council (USDEC) say the legislation introduced in both the
Senate and House this spring would facilitate increased dairy trade to the
island nation.
Both
bills seek to remove administrative barriers that have arisen from a law passed
in 2000, called the Trade Sanctions Reform and Export Enhancement Act,
according to Natzke. Specifically, the new bills clarify a
"cash-in-advance" requirement and authorize direct transfers of money
between Cuban and U.S. banks. The bills would also ease travel restrictions for
trade delegations between the two countries, and establish an ag export
promotion program with Cuba.
National
Milk and the USDEC believe Cuba holds promise as a market for U.S. dairy
exports, Natzke said. The U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. dairy exports to
Cuba peaked at about $30 million in 2004-05, but fell to about half of that in
2006 and 2008. That compares with New Zealand, which the Ministry of Foreign
Affairs said sold about $97 million in dairy products to Cuba in 2008.
Turning
attention to the farm specifically, Natzke reported that USDA has expanded a
program designed to protect dairy farm income margins. The Livestock Gross
Margin insurance program, launched a year ago in 29 states, was expanded to
Kentucky, New Mexico, Tennessee and Washington.
Under
the program, dairy farmers can tailor insurance policies to their specific herd
size, setting ceilings on feed prices and floors on milk prices, to lock in a
gross margin. With the expanded program, producers in 33 states can purchase
policies for 2010, beginning on July 31, according to Natzke.
(May
28, 2009) The Dairy Export Incentive Program (DEIP) is up and
running again following a five year hiatus. National Milk’s,
Chris Galen, said in his Thursday broadcast that “Beating on
USDA’s doors paid off,” because “Now more than ever we
really need the Dairy Export Incentive Program to help remove
some surplus dairy products from this market,” and compete
with products coming from Oceania and Europe.”
He
said this will “Hopefully, be another tailwind for dairy
prices at a time when obviously things aren’t looking too
good.”
NMPF
estimates that if all of the allotted allocation under
international trade law is exported, it would equate to about
1.5 billion pounds of milk. Earlier in the week, USDA issued
invitations for the full permitted amounts of nonfat dry milk
(150.4 million pounds), cheese (6.7 million pounds), but only
about half of the total permitted amount of butterfat (23.2
million pounds).
The
bottom line, according to Galen is, “This will help U.S. dairy
producing companies compete at a time when world prices are very
low.”
The DEIP ends June 30, but NMPF is optimistic that a similar quantity of dairy products will be exported in calendar year 2009.
The
Agriculture Department issues its monthly Ag Prices
report tomorrow afternoon, which will include the latest milk
feed ratio. Please check our Dairyline.com website for complete
details.
Legislation
has been introduced on Capitol Hill that could open the door to
agricultural exports to Cuba. Some U.S. dairy groups are
supporting that, for obvious reasons.
“That’s the $64,000 question,” he said. “No one
knows the answer, but I think even the most bullish of folks out
there think it will be sometime in the fourth quarter or
sometime next year.”
Kurzawski believes the market could rebound sooner. The
price of cheese could rise to the $1.30 mark and Class III
futures could rise to a level of some profitability, depending
on what happens to the price of feed grains the next two months.
He understands it’s a desperate situation for the dairy industry, but export prices have been on the rise for May. “I think it’s going to bode well for U.S. prices,” he said. With the weakness of the U.S. dollar, our goods are going to be very competitive in the world market moving forward.
Market Analysis
with Bob Cropp
(May 26, 2009) Friday’s up tick on the block cheese price will have a lot of
eyes watching to see if the rebound will be sustained this week. The University
of Wisconsin’s, Dr. Robert Cropp, said in Tuesday’s DairyLine
broadcast that he expects strength in the block price as we move into June and,
while it was at $1.29 per pound in March, he pointed to the small decrease in
April milk production. If milk output continues to slip, he believes block could
be trading at $1.30 by the end of June.
“It’s
the softness in the demand side,” explained Cropp, both on the export front
and the domestic front so we have to get milk production trending below a year
ago and, hopefully with the CWT program I think things will tighten as we move
into the summer.
It’s
a little peculiar that the barrel price is so far below the block price in that
this is the grilling season and barrels normally get a little tighter, according
to Cropp, so with the blocks strengthening, maybe the barrels will follow.
He also praised USDA’s announcement that it will reopen the Dairy Export Incentive program. The powder market is tightening, he said, and government price support purchases are slipping, so if the product is not overhanging the market is a positive factor for the industry.
DMI Update
(May 25, 2009) Joe O’Donnell, director of the California Dairy Research
Foundation, was back in Monday’s “DMI Update” and discussed the difficult
position dairy farmers are in with low milk prices and the desire to be
environmental stewards of their farms.
Consumers
are very interested in maintaining good quality air and water, O’Donnell
warned, and “That influences their purchase decisions so dairy producers and
the dairy industry needs to be responsive to that.”
That
said, any management changes made on the dairy has to be based on “reasonable
science,” O’Donnell said. “If we simply spend money without good reason,
then we’re just adding to the cost of the product and the consumer is not
going to like it.”
O’Donnell
praised the University of California at Davis for research it has conducted on
air and water quality measurements resulting from changes in management
procedures so that “at the end of the day, we have proper science backing up
all of the management procedures that we have on the dairy.”
The
next step, according to O’Donnell, is through the California Dairy Quality
Assurance program to educate producers on new technologies that are available,
which help the bottom line as well as the environment.
“We
want to be as efficient as possible,” O’Donnell concluded. “We have
regulations coming down and we can’t control that so much, except to have them
based on science, but then the objective here is to maintain the minimum cost of
production, that is foremost to the dairyman and foremost for the consumer.”
(May
22, 2009) April butter stocks totaled 242.7 million pounds, up
30.2 million pounds or 14 percent from March but were down 8.8
million or 3 percent below April 2008, according to preliminary
data in the Agriculture Department’s latest Cold
Storage report issued Friday afternoon.
The
American cheese inventory, at 586.1 million pounds, was up 24.5
million or 4 percent from March and 43 million pounds or 8
percent above that of a year ago. Total cheese stocks amounted
to 914.1 million pounds, up 19.5 million or 2 percent from
March, and 58.2 million or 7 percent above those a year ago.
USDA
Announces 2008-2009 Allocations for Dairy Export Incentive
Program
|
WASHINGTON, May 22, 2009 – Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack today announced allocations under USDA's Dairy Export Incentive Program for the July 2008 through June 30, 2009 period, as allowed under the rules of the World Trade Organization. The program helps U.S. dairy exporters meet prevailing world prices and encourages the development of international export markets in areas where U.S. dairy products are not competitive due to subsidized dairy products from other countries. "These allocations illustrate our continued support for the U.S. dairy industry, which has seen its international market shares erode, in part, due to the reintroduction of direct export subsidies by the European Union earlier this year," said Vilsack. "The Obama Administration remains strongly committed to the pledge by the Leaders of the Group of Twenty to refrain from protectionist measures. Our measured response is fully consistent with our WTO commitments and we will make every attempt to minimize the impact on non-subsidizing foreign suppliers." The Dairy Export Incentive Program allocations of 68,201 metric tons of nonfat dry milk; 21,097 metric tons of butterfat; 3,030 metric tons of various cheeses and 34 metric tons of other dairy products, as well as individual product and country allocations will be made available through Invitations for Offers. Country and region quantities may be limited by the invitation. Administered by USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service, this program was reauthorized by the Food, Conservation, and Energy Act of 2008. As part of its World Trade Organization commitments resulting from the Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture, the United States has established annual export subsidy ceilings by commodity with respect to maximum permitted quantities and maximum budgetary expenditures. More information about this program, including the announcement of Invitations for Offers, is available at http://www.fas.usda.gov/excredits/deip/deip-new.asp or by calling FAS's Credit Programs Division, Office of Trade Programs, at (202) 720-3224 or (202) 720-6211. FAS news releases are available on the Internet at http://www.fas.usda.gov. |
(May
22, 2009) The cash dairy markets showed little reaction to the
April milk production data although the block cheese price
closed Friday at $1.14 per pound, up three-quarters of a cent on
the week, but almost half of what it was a year ago when it hit
a record $2.2850. Barrel closed Friday at $1.08, unchanged on
the week, but $1.17 below a year ago. Twenty six cars traded
hands on the week and 16 of barrel. The NASS-surveyed U.S.
average block price fell 1.4 cents, to $1.1654. Barrel averaged
$1.1064, down 0.6 cent.
Butter
closed Friday at $1.2650, unchanged on the week, but 22
1/2-cents below a year ago. 23 cars were sold. NASS butter
averaged $1.2153, up 1.7 cents.
Cash
Grade A nonfat dry milk closed at 89 cents per pound, up a penny
on the week. Extra Grade closed at 87 cents, also up a penny on
the wee.
NASS-surveyed
nonfat dry milk averaged 83.49 cents, up 0.7 cent. Dry whey
averaged 23.47 cents, up a half-cent on the week.
Price
support purchases amounted to 2.5 million pounds of powder for
the week. The Agriculture Department announced Friday that it
will re-open the Dairy Export Incentive program. The last DEIP
export was January 2004.
MILC Rate For
June
(May 22, 2009) The MILC rate for June will be $1.6245 plus
the feed cost adjustor, which I project at about 27¢, for a
total of $1.89.
The rate for April will be finalized when the revised April corn, soybean, and alfalfa prices are published on May 29.
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MILC Payment Rates and Projections |
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Year |
Boston Class I |
Payment |
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Actual |
Target |
Rate |
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FY 2009 |
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October '08 |
18.78 |
18.48 |
0.0000 |
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November |
20.58 |
18.10 |
0.0000 |
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December |
18.68 |
17.76 |
0.0000 |
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January '09 |
18.99 |
17.98 |
0.0000 |
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February |
13.97 |
17.33 |
1.5135 |
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March |
12.68 |
17.14 |
2.0056 |
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April |
13.61 |
17.17 |
1.6010 |
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|
May |
14.22 |
17.20 |
1.3391 |
|
|
|
|
June |
13.33 |
17.53 |
1.8910 |
|
|
|
|
July |
14.02 |
17.53 |
1.5797 |
|
|
|
|
August |
14.32 |
17.65 |
1.4978 |
|
|
|
|
September |
15.58 |
17.60 |
0.9118 |
|
|
|
|
FY 2010 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
October '09 |
16.87 |
17.74 |
0.3898 |
|
|
|
|
November |
17.60 |
17.74 |
0.0607 |
|
|
|
|
December |
18.00 |
17.74 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
January '10 |
18.19 |
17.90 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
February |
18.16 |
17.90 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
March |
18.07 |
17.90 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
April |
18.39 |
17.99 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
May |
18.80 |
17.99 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
June |
18.97 |
18.09 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
July |
19.11 |
18.09 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
August |
19.57 |
17.90 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
September |
20.09 |
17.88 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
Projections based on futures as of 5/21/2009 |
|
||||
The
Class IV advanced pricing factor became the “higher of” in
driving the Class I value and the June MILC payment should be
about $1.62 per hundredweight, plus the feed cost adjustor,
according to market analyst, Alan Levitt.
The NASS-surveyed butter price averaged $1.2051 per pound, up 4.1 cents from May. Cheese averaged $1.1562, down 14.7 cents. Nonfat dry milk averaged 83.14 cents, up 1.3 cents, and dry whey averaged 23.23 cents, up 4.7 cents.
|
|
June 2009 | May 2009 | Apr 2009 |
| Class I Base | $10.08 /cwt. | $10.97/cwt. | $10.36/cwt. |
|
*The Base Skim Milk Class I: |
$5.91/cwt. | $7.01/cwt. | $6.56/cwt. |
|
Class III skim: |
$5.66 /cwt. | $7.01/cwt. | $6.56/cwt. |
|
Class IV skim: |
$5.91 /cwt. | $5.79/cwt. | $5.77/cwt. |
|
**Butterfat |
$1.2517/lb. | $1.2019/lb. | $1.1500/lb. |
|
Class II Skim price: |
$6.61/cwt. | $6.49/cwt. | $6.47/cwt. |
|
Class II NFS price: |
$0.7344 /lb. | $0.7211/lb. | $0.7189/lb. |
2-week Product Price Averages:
|
|
June 2009 | May 2009 | Apr 2009 |
|
Butter |
$1.2051/lb. | $1.1640/lb. | $1.1211/lb. |
|
NFDM |
$0.8314 /lb. | $1.8181/lb. | $0.8152/lb. |
|
Cheese |
$1.1562/lb. | $1.3030/lb. | $1.2545/lb. |
|
Dry Whey |
$0.2323/lb. | $0.1852/lb | $0.1632/lb. |
(May
22, 2009) While U.S. milk production is starting to moderate, Dairy
Profit Weekly editor, Dave Natzke, turned our attention to
dairy product demand in Friday’s broadcast. He reported that,
according to the U.S. Dairy Export Council, 2009 dairy exports
continue to lag far behind 2008’s record pace.
Overall
first-quarter exports (January-March 2009) were valued at $502.4
million, down 51 percent from the same period a year earlier. On
a volume basis, exports of nonfat dry milk, cheese, butterfat,
fluid milk and whole milk powder are all down substantially from
a year ago, he said.
Whey
continues to be a bright spot in the export market. Dry whey
exports are up 19 percent for the quarter, with total whey
protein exports up 3 percent for the first quarter of 2009
compared to a year earlier.
March
dairy exports were valued at $173 million, up 8 percent from
February, but less than half the total for March 2008.
March
imports were valued at $238 million, down 8 percent from
February, but it’s the sixth consecutive month dairy imports
have surpassed exports. Through the first five months (October
2008-March 2009) of fiscal year (FY) 2009, the dairy trade
deficit is estimated at $409 million, according to Natzke.
There's
better news on the domestic front, he said. Consumer Price Index
(CPI) data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, shows
April 2009 retail dairy prices were down 1.3 percent compared to
March 2009, and down 5.1 percent compared to April 2008.
Retail whole milk prices are down nearly 17 percent from a year ago, while butter is down 11 percent, and cheese is down just over 1 percent. Those lower prices should help stimulate sales as we head into summer, Natzke concluded.
(May
21, 2009) Dairy importers may soon have to pay into the national
dairy check off. The requirement is almost a decade in coming,
according to National Milk’s Chris Galen in Thursday’s
broadcast, and involved two farm bills. The USDA published a
proposed rule May 19 on how it will calculate and assess it.
National
Milk successfully lobbied for its inclusion in the 2002 farm
bill but it was never implemented because the assessment was not
being paid by all dairy farmers in all 50 states. That was
corrected in the 2008 farm bill, he said.
Processors
and opponents charge that this will invite a challenge at the
World Trade Organization and or mean retaliation from other
countries but Galen countered, “We have 10 other commodities
assessing check offs, including big ones like beef, pork, and
cotton, and we have never seen any kind of reaction from any of
our trading partners.”
He
encouraged farmers to write USDA in support of this because
there is plenty of opposition from dairy importers who don’t
want to have to pay however National Milk sees it as a “matter
of fairness,” Galen said, “That, if dairy farmers pay to
help to expand this market which they have been doing now for 25
years, we should have importers pay at least a portion of what
dairy farmers here in this country are paying so everyone pays
for a market from which everyone benefits.”
The
Federation will soon make public its comments to USDA so farmers
can respond and add their thoughts and direct them to USDA.
“It’s been too long in coming,” he concluded, “and needs
to be implemented as soon as possible.”
(May
20, 2009) Years ago I remember a woman being asked if she was
concerned about dairy farms going out of business and her answer
was, “Not really because I get all my milk at Safeway.”
The
reply would be hilarious if it weren’t so sad that people are
that naive. It’s that kind of mentality that dairy farmers are
trying to overcome by staging a dairy price rally May 30 in
Manchester, Iowa as well as a milk dumping effort throughout the
country.
Joel
Greeno, Kendall, Wisconsin dairy farmer and National President
of the American Raw Milk Producers Pricing Association, said in
Wednesday’s DairyLine
that its purpose is to focus attention on low milk prices and
what needs to be done, such as a cost of production base line
for milk prices.
The
rally involves several organizations such as Farm Aid, Center
for Rural Affairs, Iowa Farmers Union, National Family Farm
Coalition, Progressive Agriculture Association, and others.
Greeno said there will be good representation of farmers from
across the country.
A national milk dumping effort is also coming together, according to Green, and will take place May 31 and June 1. He said the dumping won’t likely affect markets so much as to be a tool to gain attention by the public so they recognize that there is a problem. For more information, Greeno suggests you call the National Family farm Coalition at 1-800-639-3276.
Market Analysis
with Bill Brooks
(May 19, 2009) The cash dairy markets started the new week with no changes as it
awaited USDA’s Monday afternoon preliminary April Milk
Production report. Downes-O’Neill dairy economist, Bill Brooks, said in
Tuesday’s DairyLine that “We
still have a lot of product out there.” He said there was a lot of trading
last week and “We have put in a bottom but it doesn’t like prices are going
to rebound very strongly any time soon.”
He
predicted that milk production will be below a year ago for the second
consecutive month but warned, “We’re still chasing lower demand.” He
admits it’s not consistent lower demand but it is lower demand and “We still
have to match up our supply and that will bring the quickest change (in
prices).”
Milk production is slipping but, if demand doesn’t pick up, Brooks says, we’re “still on the treadmill,” and while the economic signals may have stabilized, “They’re not really getting better and that’s going to cause issues for us with demand as we go through the rest of this year and into next year and that’s not confined to just the U.S. It seems to be a worldwide phenomena right now,” he concluded.
Latest Dairy Outlook
Report
(May 19, 2009) Herd contraction and below-trend increases in output per cow
combine to lower milk production in 2009, according to the Agriculture
Department’s latest Livestock, Dairy
and Poultry Outlook released this morning. For next year, further reductions
in herd size will overcome productivity increases to reduce milk production
further, according to the report.
Lower
exports of all products except whey, both this year and next, along with lower
domestic commercial use compared with last year, will keep prices low. Next
year, reduced supplies should allow for some price recovery.
The calculated milk-feed price ratio stands at 1.55 and is expected to show only modest improvement in 2010. Consequently, the U.S. dairy herd is forecast to contract to an average of 8.95 million cows in 2010 following a retrenchment to an average 9.18 million cows this year.
The
2.5-percent contraction forecast for 2010 exceeds the 1.5-percent contraction
expected in 2009. According to the March Milk Production report, the
total number of milk cows in the United States fell below the number on farms in
2008 by 8,000 head. Thus, the bulk of the herd contraction will likely occur in
the second half of 2009 and into 2010. The Cooperatives Working Together program
will likely remove slightly over 100,000 cows from the nation’s herd, with
actual liquidation occurring over the summer, according to USDA.
|
State by State |
Milk Cows
|
Output Per Cow
|
Milk Production
|
|
Arizona |
+2,000 |
-95 lbs. |
-3.5% |
|
California |
-24,000 |
-20 lbs. |
-2.3% |
|
Colorado |
+1,000 |
+10 lbs. |
+1.2% |
|
Florida |
-3,000 |
+137 lbs. |
+5.9% |
|
Idaho |
+7,000 |
-50 lbs. |
-1.5% |
|
Illinois |
Unchanged |
+10 lbs. |
+0.6% |
|
Indiana |
-1,000 |
+20 lbs. |
+0.7% |
|
Iowa |
-1,000 |
+40 lbs. |
+1.9% |
|
Kansas |
+5,000 |
+10 lbs. |
+5.0% |
|
Michigan |
+9,000 |
+20 lbs. |
+3.8% |
|
Minnesota |
+5,000 |
+30 lbs. |
+2.9% |
|
Missouri |
-1,000 |
-5 lbs. |
-1.4% |
|
New Mexico |
-10,000 |
+80 lbs. |
+0.9% |
|
New York |
-3,000 |
Unchanged |
-0.5% |
|
Ohio |
-4,000 |
+10 lbs. |
-0.9% |
|
Oregon |
-1,000 |
+20 lbs. |
+2.1% |
|
Pennsylvania |
Unchanged |
-30 lbs. |
-1.9% |
|
Texas |
+20,000 |
+40 lbs. |
+7.2% |
|
Utah |
Unchanged |
+5 lbs. |
Unchanged |
|
Vermont |
-4,000 |
-40 lbs. |
-5.0% |
|
Virginia |
-2,000 |
+5 lbs. |
-1.9% |
|
Washington |
-5,000 |
-25 lbs. |
-3.4% |
|
Wisconsin |
+5,000 |
+20 lbs. |
+1.6% |
|
23 State Total |
-3,000 |
+1 lbs. |
|
Dairy
could be next, O’Donnell warned, and “Prop 2 is ALL based on
emotion.” Supporters present a bunch of pictures to stir
people up, he said, and “We want any such regulations, if they
have to come, to be based on science.”
The
goal, according to O’Donnell, is to “generate the science
that results in laws that make some sense and not just impose
some meaningless expense on dairymen.” He said the Foundation
is working with the entire dairy industry to do that, led by the
California Milk Advisory Board and the CARES organization.
The
California Milk Advisory Board California, Dairy Quality
Assurance program, and CARES (Community Alliance
for Responsible Environmental Stewardship) have
also put together educational materials for dairy producers to
better understand what the issues are and how to best respond to
consumer concerns.
Dairy Market Weekly Recap
Cool
and wet conditions are slowing planting progress
(May
15, 2009) Cool and wet conditions are slowing planting progress.
USDA’s latest crop weather summary indicates about one-half of
the nation’s anticipated corn acreage was planted, nearly 25
percent behind the five-year average. Soybean planting, at about
15 percent completed, is about 10 percent behind.
Dairy
Profit Weekly
editor, Dave Natzke, reported Friday that, as the planting
season gets later, crop yields are affected negatively and that
could mean higher corn prices ahead. USDA estimates more of the
2009 corn crop will go o ethanol production and corn exports
will rise. That means corn prices could average more than $4.00
per bushel for the third year in a row.
The
start of the 2009 hay harvest is still weeks away in many parts
of the country, but dairy producers seeking dry hay will find
the largest on-farm inventories in years. All hay stored on U.S.
farms on May 1 totaled 22 million tons, up 2 percent from a year
ago and the largest May 1 inventory since 2005.
There's
a lot of variability however, depending on location, according
to Natzke. About half the nation’s major dairy states will
find larger hay inventories than a year ago, he said, but the
biggest declines are in Colorado, Florida, Texas and Vermont.
Natzke
also detailed the sale of a major U.S. dairy processing company.
Dairy Farmers of America, the nation‘s largest dairy co-op,
announced the sale of one of its subsidiaries, Dallas-based
National Dairy Holdings, to Grupo LaLa, a fluid milk and dairy
product manufacturer
based in Mexico.
National
Dairy Holdings operates 18 dairy processing facilities in 13
states, Natzke reported, and represented an estimated 14 percent
of DFA’s $11.7 billion in consolidated sales for 2008.
(May
14, 2009) National
Milk announced this week the creation of a special strategic
task force to examine the challenges facing financially
struggling dairy producers and suggest possible solutions. The
Federation’s Chris Galen reported Thursday that “It’s one
more way National Milk is trying to help deal with one of the
worst economic situations facing farmers in their lives.”
The
Federation has done some things to improve the price support
program and the MILC program in the last farm bill, he said, and
continues its CWT program. He said they know there are other
ideas out there and they want to vet ideas from members as well
as other organizations that are not members of NMPF.
Legislation
has been floating around Capitol Hill and there’s the Growth
Management Plan from Dr. Chuck Nicholson from Cornell University
and Galen said they will look at these types of proposals but
“it’s beyond just supply management.”
He
said they will look at CWT’s role and how that may change and
consider methods to create incentives to stimulate domestic
production of things like casein, for which there is demand for
that’s not going to go away and yet we don’t make much here.
Expanding
CWT’s export program is another possibility, he said, to
“look at ways to create overseas markets, a lot of which have
dried up in the last six months and that’s why prices are so
low and all those things have to be on the table.”
I asked why the Dairy Export Incentive Program (DEIP) was not being used and Galen answered that they have been told that other federal agencies have to sign off on resurrecting the DEIP and that has not happened yet but NMPF continues to “pound away at the entire administration, asking them to do something on DEIP as soon as they can.”
The CWT
program announced yesterday that it has tentatively
accepted 388 bids representing 102,898 cows and 2 billion pounds
of milk production capacity, the largest single herd retirement
in CWT’s 6 year history.
Farmers in 41 states submitted 538 bids, 72% of which were accepted. field auditors will begin visiting the farms next week with the herds moving to slaughter by late May.
Cotton
Acreage Decreases, Prices Remain Surprisingly Reasonable
(May
13, 2009) 2009 cotton acreage is projected to decrease for the
fourth consecutive year, to the lowest levels since 1983, but
Tom Wedegaertner, director, cottonseed research and marketing,
Cotton Incorporated, said in Wednesday’s DairyLine
that cottonseed prices will remain "surprisingly
reasonable."
“We
did lose a few acres in 2009,” Wedegaertner admitted, “But
last year we had a very high abandonment rate on cotton acres
that were not harvested.” He added that, if we have a normal
abandonment this year, he expects cottonseed production to be
very similar to last year, even with less acres in the ground.
He
said he believes we have hit bottom on cotton acreage and
commodity markets are stabilizing. Last year saw a lot of
gyrations, he said, but he doesn’t expect the cottonseed
market to see wild swings and to be flat in the year ahead.
Another
way of looking at it is that yield per acre will be better but
the main focus is the acres that don’t get harvested for
various reasons. They may get hailed out in Texas or perhaps
there’s a draught, so those acres are abandoned, but “If we
have normal abandonment this year,” Wedegaertner said, “The
yield of the acres that they do harvest, we should have a fairly
normal crop or fairly similar to what we had last year on less
acres.”
When
should farmers book seed needs? Wedegaertner said that’s a
tough question but suggests producers lock in part of their seed
needs fairly early. Lock in new crop today, if it fits in the
ration, he said, and “then average up or average down as we
get into harvest time.” “It’s always better to get some of
it booked a little bit ahead so they know they’ll have that
ingredient to feed,” he concluded.
(May
12, 1009) The Agriculture Department continues to reduce its
milk production estimates. The latest World
Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report issued this
morning puts 2009 output at 187.7 billion pounds, down slightly
from last month’s projection of 187.8 billion, reflecting
weaker expected growth in milk per cow, however it projects 2010
output at 186.8 billion, a downturn from 2009 due to “weak
2009 returns.”
Cow
numbers were forecast to decline from 2009 although the pace of
decline will slacken during the year as returns improve. Growth
in milk per cow is expected to improve slightly in 2010 and
commercial exports are forecast to increase as the global
economy improves.
Domestic
disappearance of fat and skim solids reflect tightening supplies
and improved exports, according to USDA, and product prices were
forecast higher as demand improves and supplies tighten
The
cheese price forecast for 2009 was lowered but butter and whey
forecasts were raised. Nonfat dry milk was unchanged.
The
2009 Class III milk price average was projected at $10.55-$11.05
per hundredweight, down a dime on both ends from last month’s
estimate, and the 2010 range was put at $13.80-$14.80. The 2008
average was $17.44.
Look
for a 2009 Class IV range of $9.55-$10.55, unchanged from last
month’s estimate, and the 2010 average is expected to range
$12.30-$13.40. The 2009 average was $14.65 per hundredweight.
The report shows that price support purchases for 2009 will hit 194 million pounds of nonfat dry milk, down 3 million from last month’s estimate, and no purchases are expected in 2010. Expected butter purchases for 2009 remain at 5 million pounds with none in 2010 and no cheese is expected to move to the government in 2009 or 2010.
Market
Analysis with Al Levitt
(May
12, 2009) Market analyst Alan Levitt, editor of the CME’s Daily
Dairy Report, said in Tuesday’s DairyLine
that we’re in the middle of the spring flush and, while it’s
lighter than years past, plants are still running at seasonally
heavy levels. He adds that schools are starting to recess for
the summer, making more milk available for manufacturing, and
plants are gearing up for Memorial Day weekend which always
means extra milk to deal with.
He
also pointed to the surprising jump in the milk volume that
moved to the cheese vat in March. Total cheese output was up 4.3
percent from a year ago, he said, and Cheddar was up 3.1
percent, so a lot of cheese is still overhanging the market and
he therefore believes prices will linger near support for
awhile.
Some
think cheese will start moving to the government under the price
support program but Levitt doubts prices will be down long
enough for that to happen. Manufacturers can’t just take
cheese they have in storage and sell it to the government, he
said. It has to be made to USDA specifications and he’s not
aware of anyone geared up to do that and they have to be sure
the price is going to stay low enough long enough to make that
worthwhile and he doubts that is the case.
The
bright spot in the market is butter which inched up another
quarter-cent Monday, to $1.2425 per pound. When asked if this is
being driven by ice cream demand, Levitt answered, that
seasonally, there is less cream available to the butter churn
but he believes people are “looking at that price and think
it’s a pretty good deal to buy butter and stock up. There’s
concern that later in the year, as milk supplies start to
contract, butter would be one of the first things to go, he
concluded, “So maybe there’s concern that they need to be
stocking up on butter now as it’s a pretty good value.”
(May
11, 2009) Hilmar,
California dairy producer and Dairy Management Incorporated
board member, Kimberly Clauss, was back in Monday’s “DMI
Update,” and said she has served on the board for six years
and her second term. She said she decided to serve a second term
because she believes in what DMI is doing for the industry and
for dairy producers via their check off dollars.
She
pointed out that DMI programs reach out to children and adults
with dairy’s message. She praised the innovation resulting
from the check off and its work on the issue of sustainability.
She said she sees a long future in the dairy industry and wants
to be a part of that and wants to see a strong industry.
Serving on the dairy board has also benefited her and her dairy operation and encouraged others to get involved by logging on to the dairy check off website or www.dairyfarmingtoday.org or contact the National Dairy Council.
Dairy
Markets Weekly Review
(May
8, 2009) Cash cheese prices continued to weaken the first full
week in May with blocks closing Friday at $1.1375 per pound,
down 1 1/2-cents on the week, 86 cents below a year ago, and
just three quarters of a cent above the government support
price. Barrel closed at $1.0550, down 3 1/4-cents on the week,
92 1/2-cents below a year ago and 4 1/2-cents below support. Ten cars
of block traded hands on the week and 21 of barrel. The NASS-surveyed
U.S. average block price fell 3.6 cents, to $1.2119. Barrel
averaged $1.1291, down 4.9 cents.
Butter
closed at $1.24, up a penny on the week but 23 cents below a
year ago. Twelve cars were sold. NASS butter averaged $1.1920,
up 2.8 cents.
Cash
Grade A nonfat dry milk closed at 88 cents per pound, up a penny
on the week on seven sales. Extra Grade closed at 86 cents, up a
half-cent. The NASS-surveyed nonfat dry milk price averaged
82.33 cents, up 0.1 cent. Dry whey averaged 21.3 cents, up 0.6
cent.
Price support purchases for the week amounted to 3.4 million pounds of nonfat dry milk, raising the year’s cumulative total so far to 234.3 million, compared to none a year ago.
MILC
Payment Rates and Projections
The March MILC rate is finalized at $2.00561 per cwt.
The April MILC rate is projected at $1.601, based on NASS’ preliminary feed costs for the month.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MILC Payment Rates and Projections |
|
||||
|
|
Year |
Boston Class I |
Payment |
|
||
|
|
Actual |
Target |
Rate |
|
||
|
|
FY 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
October '08 |
18.78 |
18.48 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
November |
20.58 |
18.10 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
December |
18.68 |
17.76 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
January '09 |
18.99 |
17.98 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
February |
13.97 |
17.33 |
1.5135 |
|
|
|
|
March |
12.68 |
17.14 |
2.0056 |
|
|
|
|
April |
13.61 |
17.17 |
1.6010 |
|
|
|
|
May |
14.22 |
17.20 |
1.3391 |
|
|
|
|
June |
13.67 |
17.30 |
1.6316 |
|
|
|
|
July |
14.02 |
17.30 |
1.4737 |
|
|
|
|
August |
14.95 |
17.40 |
1.0998 |
|
|
|
|
September |
16.18 |
17.36 |
0.5331 |
|
|
|
|
FY 2010 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
October '09 |
17.02 |
17.49 |
0.2156 |
|
|
|
|
November |
17.71 |
17.49 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
December |
17.94 |
17.50 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
January '10 |
18.01 |
17.67 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
February |
18.13 |
17.67 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
March |
18.15 |
17.67 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
April |
18.32 |
17.79 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
May |
18.64 |
17.79 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
June |
18.81 |
17.90 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
July |
18.99 |
17.90 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
August |
19.57 |
17.79 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
September |
20.09 |
17.77 |
0.0000 |
|
|
|
|
Projections based on futures as of 5/7/2009 |
|
||||
Immigration
fact sheet focuses on criminal prosecution for employers
(May
8. 2009) Many dairy producers hire workers originating from
Mexico and Central America and Dairy
Profit Weekly editor, Dave Natzke, reported in Friday’s
broadcast that it’s more important than ever that farmers
determine whether those workers are here legally.
The
Department of Homeland
Security has released a “Fact Sheet” outlining
updated worksite
enforcement guidance for Immigration
and Customs Enforcement officials. The “Fact Sheet”
reflects a renewed focus on the criminal prosecution of
employers who knowingly hire illegal workers, in order to target
a root cause of illegal immigration. The memo notes that of the
more than 6,000 arrests related to worksite enforcement in 2008,
only 135 were employers.
In
addition to immigrant identification, livestock identification
is also on the minds of government officials, Natzke reported.
The National Animal Identification System has been controversial
since it was first unveiled years ago, Natzke said, and the
debate over the voluntary versus mandatory registration of
livestock premises and individual animals has increased
recently.
U.S.
Ag Secretary Tom Vilsack has scheduled a series of listening
sessions to gather public comment. The sessions begin May 14 in
Pennsylvania and will be held in Texas, Alabama, Kentucky,
Connecticut, Colorado and the state of Washington over the next
three weeks.
Meanwhile,
the end of April and first days of May brought severe weather
and moisture to much of the country, according to Natzke, but
U.S. crop producers are making headway on the 2009 planting
season.
As of May 3, about one-third of the nation’s expected corn acreage was planted, about 9 percent ahead of a year ago, but 17 percent behind the five-year average. Planting progress was highly variable, with Iowa producers ahead of normal, but neighboring Illinois was up to 3 weeks behind schedule. About 6 percent of the nation’s 2009 soybean acreage was planted, about even with a year ago, but 5 percent behind the 5-year average, Natzke concluded.
Hilmar, California dairy producer and Dairy Management Incorporated board member, Kimberly Clauss, is back in Monday’s “DMI Update,” to talk about why she believes in what the dairy check off is doing for the dairy industry and we have our weekly Pfizer "Vet Visit" in our second half.
USDA
began hearings this week regarding producer-handlers
(May 7, 2009) USDA began hearings this week regarding
producer-handlers, farms who bottle their own milk and therefore
compete with other bottlers. National Milk’s Chris Galen on
Thursday said “The issue is whether the very largest producer
handlers should continue to be exempt from a decades-old
regulation that has created a loophole, allowing these very
large operations to not pay into the Class I pool” and “has
to do with how all farmers are paid in Federal milk marketing
orders.”
The highest value milk is Class I, he explained, and that
revenue is shared by bottlers with all dairy farmers in a given
region, with the exception that some of these large bottlers, if
they’re owned by a dairy producer, do not have to pay into the
Class I pool, thus reducing the revenue available to all other
farmers.
The proposal to close this loophole was sought by National
Milk and the International Dairy Foods Association, according to
Galen, but also seeks to maintain and even expand the loophole
for smaller producer-handlers who “don’t really have the
opportunity to disrupt milk marketing because they’re not of a
sufficient size, but we do think that once you reach a certain
size threshold and can fly with the big boys, you ought to be
regulated in the same way.”
Some frame this effort as large corporations trying to
control smaller competitors but Galen argued that a lot of these
bottlers have grown so big that they’re bigger than plants
that are paying into the pool.
“This is about producer revenue,” Galen said. “All that money that the producer-handlers don’t have to pay into the Class I pool means a lower blend price for all other farmers who don’t happen to be their own bottler.”“It’s about making certain that, when you get to a certain threshold a certain size that you are regulated the same as any other large bottler,” he concluded. “It’s not about regulating farms it’s about regulating the bottling aspects of these very large operations.”
Worldwide
Food Expo launches sustainability pavilion at this years show
(May
6, 2009) Sustainability keeps coming up in topics of discussion
in the dairy industry but the
U.S. dairy industry has a long history of environmental
stewardship, according to Peggy Armstrong of the International
Dairy Foods Association (IDFA). Speaking in Wednesday’s DairyLine,
Armstrong said that “Research confirms that a commitment to
sustainability is growing as a factor in consumers' perception
of dairy products and can influence their purchasing decisions.
It has become an important issue to each
segment of the fluid milk supply chain and the dairy industry as
a whole.”
Recognizing
the importance of sustainability to dairy, the Worldwide Food
Expo 2009, North America's largest food and beverage technology
event, will launch a Sustainability Pavilion at this year's
show, Armstrong reported.
The
Pavilion will feature services and products to help dairy food
manufacturers and packagers meet the demand for sustainability
and will highlight research, trends and best practices as well
as feature the latest innovations in sustainable packaging and
technology.
In
addition to the pavilion, Armstrong said there is an
exceptional line-up of sustainability
sessions in Expo's educational program. Sessions include
sustainability as part of a business strategy, case studies of
successful initiatives and quantifying sustainable measures.
“The
guru of green business practices,” Joel Makower, will speak at
the first Super Session, according to Armstrong. She reported
that Makower is a well-respected voice on business, environment
and the bottom-line, and has helped a wide range of companies
align environmental goals with business strategy.
Worldwide Food Expo will be held October 28-31 in Chicago and features the newest technologies in equipment, packaging, ingredients and services. Sponsored by the American Meat Institute and IDFA, Worldwide Food Expo includes more than 900 exhibits and 50 targeted conference sessions and attracts approximately 20,000 attendees from 100 countries, bringing together decision-makers at all levels of the food and beverage industry. For more information, visit the show's website at www.worldwidefood.com.
USDA
has begun a public hearing on National Milk’s proposal to end
the regulatory loophole enjoyed by a handful of the nation's
largest producer-handlers. The hearing may run for several
weeks, depending on the volume of testimony generated by either
those supporting or opposed to the petition.
Market
Analysis with Mary Ledman
(May
5, 2009) Cheese
prices continued to weaken the first Monday in May, with blocks
and barrels both slipping a quarter-cent, to $1.15 and $1.0850
per pound respectively, but Mary Ledman, Principal of Keough,
Ledman, and Associates in Libertyville, Illinois, warned in
Tuesday’s DairyLine
that there’s likely more slippage to come in the blocks due to
the 6 1/2-cent price difference.
“End
users are looking for a reason to be bullish on this market and
it’s very difficult to find one at this time,” Ledman said.
Dairy cow culling has slowed tremendously the last four weeks,
according to Ledman, since the announcement of the CWT herd
removal program and dairy producers likely are “waiting for
someone else to go out and not themselves.” She says it will
be interesting to see what kind of signup CWT has this time.
The
Agriculture Department reports that the spring flush is
occurring or close to occurring around the country. Ledman added
that, while producers are holding on to cows, per cow output is
falling, something we rarely see, but producers are holding to
cows to see if their neighbor is going to go out under the CWT
and believe that will result in the market strengthening in the
second half of the year.
The latest Milk Production report showed output down 0.3 percent but demand is not growing enough for supply and demand to come together and Ledman hastened to add that 0.3 percent is not a big slippage and “We really need to see a 1-2 percent slippage to make up for the loss of exports.”
March
Dairy Products Report
(May 5, 2009)
The Agriculture Department’s
March Dairy
Products report puts butter production at 145.3 million pounds, down
0.3 percent
from February and 6.6 million pounds or 4.4 percent below
March 2008.
Nonfat dry milk output amounted to
135.6 million
pounds, up 12.8 million or 10.4 percent from February, and
0.4 million or 0.2 percent above a year ago.
Mozzarella cheese output totaled 281.3 million pounds, up
33.9 million pounds or 13.7 percent from February, but 4.4 million or
1.5 percent below a year ago.
Total Italian type cheese, at
362.9 million
pounds, was up 43 million pounds or 13.5 percent from
February, and 4.6 million or 1.3 percent above a year ago.
American
type cheese amounted to 359 million pounds, up 38.2 million pounds or
11.9 percent from February, and up 20 million pounds or 5.9
percent
from a year ago.
Total cheese output came to 870.7 million pounds, up 100.9 million pounds or
13.1 percent from February, and 36 million
or 4.3 percent above a year ago.
DMI
Update: What Sustainability Means for Dairy Producers
(May
4, 2009) Hilmar, California dairy producer and DMI board member,
Kimberly Clauss, continued her discussion from last week’s
“DMI Update,” on what sustainability means for dairy
producers. She admitted that the word used to make her “see
red,” because it had a negative connotation to it but now she
sees it as “green,” because “It’s actually good for
dairy producers.”
She
said it means “providing consumers with the nutrient-rich
dairy products they want, in a way that makes the industry,
people, and the earth economically, environmentally, and
socially better, now and for future generations.” She adds
that dairy farmers can do that economically, socially, and
environmentally on their dairy operations and are in fact
already doing that.
This
needs to be communicated to consumers, according to Clauss, to
educate them about dairy farming practices that are socially,
environmentally, and economically responsible but dairy farmers
might not realize that.
Getting that message out is challenging, she admitted, and underscores the importance of having a “common voice” the industry can use to communicate to consumers about dairy farming and the nutrient-rich dairy products that are produced, and that “will help us all in the long run.”
(May
1, 2009) Cheese trading at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange ended
April on a down note. The blocks closed Friday at $1.1525 per
pound, down 2 3/4-cents on the week, 78 3/4-cents below a year
ago, and just 2 1/4-cents above the support price.
The
barrels closed Friday at $1.0875, down 2 cents on the week, 84
1/4-cents below a year ago, and 1 1/4-cents below support.
Fourteen cars of block traded hands on the week and 15 of
barrel. The lagging NASS-surveyed U.S. block price average
slipped to $1.2482, down 2.9 cents from the previous week while
barrel averaged $1.1781, down 7.1 cents.
Cash
butter closed Friday at $1.23, up three quarters on the week,
but 21 cents below a year ago. Only three cars were sold on the
week. NASS butter averaged $1.1645, down 0.9 cent. NASS nonfat
dry milk averaged 82.21 cents, up 0.3 cent. Dry whey averaged
20.68 cents, up a half-cent.
Cash
Grade A nonfat dry milk closed Friday at 87 cents per pound, up
a half cent on the week, and Extra Grade closed at 85.5 cents,
also up a half cent.
Price support purchases for the week totaled 5.1 million pounds of nonfat dry milk, raising the cumulative total to 230.9 million so far for the year.
The
benchmark farm gate milk price inched a little higher
(May
1, 2009) The Agriculture Department announced the April Federal
order Class III milk price this morning at $10.78 per
hundredweight (cwt.), up 34 cents from March but a whopping
$5.98 below March 2008, and puts the 2009 average at $10.33,
down from $14.78 at this time in 2008 and $14.73 in 2007.
Class
III futures, as of Thursday’s settlements portend a setback in
May to $10.08, rebounding to $10.77 in June, $12.30 in July,
$13.22 in August, and a 2009 peak of $14.95 in December,
eventually reaching $15.85 in July 2010.
The
April Class IV price is $9.82, up 18 cents from March, but $4.74
below a year ago.
The four week NASS-surveyed cheese price averaged $1.2771 per pound, up 1.6 cents from March. Butter averaged $1.1665, up 3.76 cents. Nonfat dry milk averaged 81.95 cents, up fractionally from 81.66 cents, and dry whey averaged 19.49 cents, up 2.87 cents from March.
California's
4a and 4b prices are also scheduled to be announced today.
|
CLASS & COMPONENT PRICES: |
|
COMMODITY |
April 2009 | March 2009 | February 2009 |
|
Class II Milk Price |
$10.49 cwt. | $10.36 cwt. | $10.25 cwt. |
|
Class II Butterfat Price |
$1.2119 lb. | $1.1664 lb. | $1.1011 lb. |
|
Class III Milk Price |
$10.78 cwt. | $10.44 cwt. | $9.31 cwt. |
|
Class III Skim Price |
$6.80 cwt. | $6.61 cwt. | $5.68 cwt. |
|
Class IV Milk Price |
$9.82 cwt. | $9.64 cwt. | $9.45 cwt. |
|
Class IV Skim Milk Price |
$5.81 cwt. | $5.78 cwt. | $5.82 cwt. |
|
Butterfat Price |
$1.2049 lb. | $1.1594 lb. | $1.0941 lb. |
|
Nonfat Solids Price |
$0.6452 lb. | $0.6423 lb. | $0.6472 lb. |
|
Protein Price |
$2.2009 lb. | $2.1973 lb. | $1.9139 lb. |
|
Other Solids Price |
$-0.0043 lb. | $-0.0339 lb. | $-0.0437 lb. |
|
Somatic Cell Adjustment Rate |
$0.00064 per 1,000 cells | $0.00063 per 1,000 cells | $0.00058 per 1,000 cells |
| PRODUCT PRICE AVERAGES | April 2009 | March 2009 | February 2009 |
| Butter | $1.1665 lb. | $1.1289 lb. | $1.0750 lb. |
| Nonfat Dry Milk | $0.8195 lb. | $0.8166 lb. | $0.8215 lb. |
| Cheese | $1.2771 lb | $1.2611 lb. | $1.1518 lb. |
| Dry Whey | $0.1949 lb. | $0.1662 lb. | $0.1567 lb. |
(May
1, 2009) Dairy
Profit Weekly editor, Dave Natzke, reported in Friday’s
broadcast that Dairy Farmers of America “took a step in
helping its 12,000 members through these tough economic
times.”
The
co-op said it will pay early patronage earnings totaling about
$11.4 million, or about 3 cents per hundredweight on all milk
purchased by the nation’s largest dairy co-op last year. The
payment would equal about $300 for each 1 million pounds of milk
marketed by DFA members in 2008.
Natzke
also reported that U.S. Sen. Arlen Specter made news this week
when he switched political parties, and along with fellow
Pennsylvania Senator Bob Casey (D)
also wants to switch the way U.S. dairy farmers are paid for
milk.
The
two senators introduced the Federal Milk Marketing Improvement
Act of 2009 (S.889), which amends a 1937 law and requires USDA
to include dairy farmers’ production costs to establish a
minimum price for Class II milk (or all milk used for all
manufactured products). A regional differential would then be
added to create the Class I price for milk used for fluid
purposes, Natzke said.
The
bill includes supply management provisions, setting annual
milk supply and demand bases, and allowing USDA to reduce prices
paid to farmers if supply outpaces demand, specifically
targeting farmers who produce more than 3 million pounds of milk
per year, or those who increase milk production compared to
the previous year. The bill also prohibits deduction of
“make” allowances from the farmer’s milk price, and
addresses imports, according to Natzke.
Arden
Tewksbury, manager, the Progressive Agriculture Organization,
said the bill “restores fairness and stability to a current
failed pricing system and dairy policies.”
National
Milk’s Chris Galen said the complex bill would “essentially
establish a whole new way of pricing and regulating milk,” and
that NMPF is “focused on more immediate ways to help dairy
producers.”
The Influenza Type A outbreak, which many are calling “swine flu”, is having a negative impact on U.S. hog producers, but dairy producers may see some economic benefits, according to Natzke. Chicago Board of Trade corn and soybean futures prices were trending mostly lower early this week, based on reduced expectations of demand for hog feed as consumers reduce pork consumption, even though there's no link between eating pork and the disease.