July 2010 Archived Dairy News

July 29, 2010
Crack Down on the Misbranding of Dairy Products

NWROC dairy herd dispersal marks end of 115-year program

Fourth-generation dairy farm family expands on success

Letter: Food for thought

NDS Announces Scholarship Winners

Dairy industry display entertains and informs

Petersons were hard-working hosts

Ulster to crown new Dairy Princess

Pregnant Cow Shot at California State Fair

July 28, 2010

California Beef Council Makes Social Media New Priority

Milk payments to Franklin County dairy farmers to be adjusted

Pennsylvania Dairy Farm Agrees to Stop Improper Medication

Vintage home on dairy property in Fallon

Dairy Research Institute Formed to Align Resources, Grow Dairy Research Program

Help Your Child Succeed With Family Meals

Aldens Top Dairy Show
July 27, 2010

CWT Expands Eligible Product List, Accepts Bids

Butter Market Remains Strong

Ag bill will help NM farmers and ranchers

Indiana agency revokes permit for 3,500-cow dairy

WA: Cause of manure-filled dairy lagoon breach found

SC: New dairy coming to Wateree prison farm

Register now for Aug. 18 Farm Bureau, PDPW Dairy Price Forum

Lightning Claims Life of Eight Dairy Cows in Green County
July 26, 2010
Construction delayed for new dairy farm in N.D.

Low milk prices continue to haunt dairymen

WSBT-TV: Dairy misses deadline

Dairy Farmers Impact The Value of Cheeseburgers

Alliance of Western Milk Producers update

Western United Dairymen update

Milk Producers Council Weekly Update
  Archive
Lightning kills 8 dairy cows in southern Wis.

Dairy Farm Destroyed By Flames Now Under Investigation

Cow gives birth to triplets of different breed
s
Due to statewide cuts, UMC sells off dairy herd
July 23, 2010

Dairy Market Weekly Recap

August Federal Order Class I Price Up 11 Cents

Average Cow Brings In $1,640

Dairy farmers in Wis., Minn. have strong month
  Related
Wis. ag secretary's death leaves 'glaring void'

Producers mull dairy proposals

Congressional Hearing on Livestock Marketing Continues Debate

EPA's plan could cost dairy farmers
July 22, 2010

June Cold Storage Report

Rod Nilsestuen, state DATCP head, drowns in Lake Superior

National Milk Weighs In On Dietary Guidelines

Schumer: EPA reg treats dairy farmers like BP

Dairy Checkoff Update - July 2010

Dairy Farmers Can Fight Johne's Disease Threat With Chlorine And Stainless Steel

Johnson reflects on dairy research at Morris

Midwest Dairy Association Brings a Popular State Fair Tradition to You Online

Great Dairy Adventure kicks off at MSU Pavilion
July 21, 2010

Dairy Outlook

Monday's Milk Production Report Was A Surprise

Dairy support sought

CBS News Report on Raw Milk

Farmer's fight over raw milk lands in courtroom

Auction Seen as a Positive During Difficult Times for Dairy Farmers

Approved Dairy Confinement Near Crooks

WPC34 and WPC80 obtain preliminary USAID approval
 
NZ - Dairy industry expanding
July 20, 2010

Market Analysis with Bob Cropp

1 killed, 1 injured in crash with Producers Dairy truck

Boccieri, Vilsack: OARDC research will be instrumental in re-creating
rural America

Adding Value to the Dairy with Ice Cream
July 19, 2010

June Milk Production Up 2.7 Percent

Oneida County Farms are 'Dairy of Distinction'

Fuel Up To Play 60 Gets Kids More Active

Building on 102 years

China’s Bright Dairy Buys Stake in N.Z. Milk Plant

KS: Fort Scott woman put on dairy marketing board

Lisbon field day to take a look at organic grass-fed dairy operation

With milk prices low, dairy farmers turn to beef cattle

Wayne County woman to build dairy barn in Thailand

Dairy herd sale by Michigan State to save moo-lah
July 16, 2010

CWT Export Assistance Accepts Sales Totaling 176 Tons

Dairy Market Weekly Recap

This Week in Dairy Profit Weekly

Dairy Exports Reaching Two Year Highs

Dairy Cow Feeding Economics

Pfizer Animal Health and Partners Donate $830,181 to FFA, AABP

Calif. : Scream-Worthy Desserts For Natl. Ice Cream Month

Clear Spring student crowned 2010 Maryland Dairy Princess

MSU selling cows to reduce costs

Buchanan County fair trains future famers
July 15, 2010

New DEIP Allocations Announced

CWT Can't Continue Much Longer

Dairy farmers stress importance of co-ops at USDA workshop

Holstein Foundation Successfully Launches Capital Campaign

Aid For Dairy Farmers

Selling NRWOC's dairy a "Hugely Difficult Decision" 

Canada: It’s business as usual as workers picket Farmers Dairy

China lowers dairy protein requirement to curb melamine

Europe: Farmers direct dairy sales grow

IDF Freshens Dairy Nutrition Website
July 14, 2010
New bill aims to boost dairy prices

Dairy Prices Hit Oregon Hard

EPA's Oil Spill Prevention Plans for Dairy is 'Ridiculous'

Communicating The Benefits Of Lean Beef

Dairy Farmers Share strong Image

Stearns County agency marks 60 years of soil, water conservation work

Study on mastitis in dairy herds available online

Wireless helps dairy with milk, ice cream deliveries
July 13, 2010

Cheese Prices Keep Climbing

Legislation aims to stabilize milk prices
  Leahy, Sanders tout proposal
Get Burning Dairy Questions Answered Aug. 11, 12

EU dairy farmers protest reforms
 
Video
Milk Price Rally Has More Upside As Heat Wave Grips U.S. 

2 teen dairy farm workers die after falling into silo in western Michigan

CWT Export Assistance Accepts Sales Totaling 100 Tons
NMPF
Receives $25,000 to Educate about Spill Prevention...
 

Udder-ly Impressive: Dairy princess wins Rock-Fest milking contest
July 12, 2010
Cheese plant expansion in Jefferson County is good news for CNY dairy
farmers

FDA seeks comments on menu, vending labeling

July Penn State Dairy Outlook

Analysis: Inside the Ohio agreement

Agriculture colleges sell cow herds to cut costs

The complexities of keeping dairy farms alive
PDPW & WFBF to Hold Dairy Price Forum on August 18

Fuel Up To Play 60

July 9, 2010

California Class I Milk Prices Inch Higher

Latest World Ag Supply and Demand Estimates

Early Retirement For Thousands of Cows

FAPRI Analysis of NMPF Policy Proposal

Second Bill Aimed at Steadying Milk Prices Introduced in Congress

ME: State Fund for Dairy Farmers running out of money

Cornell Expert to Head Wisconsin Center for Dairy Profitability

International Participation at Dairy Solutions Symposium

Bovine Tuberculosis Discovered in Paulding County Dairy Herd

Community pitches in to help tornado victims

Johnson cherishes her time as dairy princess

Cows Compete For Baileys Title

Dairy Farmers of Canada busts Guinness(TM) World Record
July 8, 2010
CWT Accepts 194 Bids Representing 34,000 Cows

Correction To Fluid Milk Product Definition

Pfizer Animal Health Launches New Online Resource for Milk Quality
 

NDRC and General Mills Foodservice to Award K-12 Schools $100,000 

Changes at Conklin Dairy after Firing and Arrest

Dairy Farmers Ask Feds to Fix a Broken System

Why soaring temperatures put Vt. farms at risk

Youth showcase animals at Chino Fair

Sweetwater Valley Farm cows keep cool
July 7, 2010

Processor's Perspective on Supply Management

CWT Export Assistance Accepts Sales Totaling 50 Tons

No Additional Charges To Be Filed In Animal Abuse Case

Dairy farmers threatened by collapsed Parmalat deal

National DHIA Increases Scholarship Amount
July 6, 2010

Markets: June Dairy Month Ended On A Good Week

Milk prices up some; dairy farmers still struggling

Milk Dump Story
  WKTV  
Tennessee working on $12 million dairy project

CA: Valley dairies keep cows cool in the heat

PA: Milk from Rutter's Dairy leaks into creek

ork, love converge at organic dairy farm

Farmers defend way of life with Facebook, Twitter

Natural Dairy of China Seeks Approval to Buy New Zealand Farms
July 5, 2010

Editorial: Milk Dump Afterthoughts

My Dairy Program Sponsoring Video Contest

Western United Dairymen update

Milk Producers Council update

Alliance of Western Milk Producers update

Livestock Gross Margin- Dairy Insurance August Workshops
  faq  

Milk prices up some; dairy farmers still struggling

Dairy farm survives tough times

Moo-ve on Up!: Sustainable Innovations in Dairy

Dairy farmers use social media to take on abuse claims

Rumen Fermentation Key To Feed Efficiency

DFA Engineer Selected for National Leadership Program

Shakespeare Helps Cows Make More Milk

Holstein Honors Three

July 2, 2010

Dairy Market Weekly Recap

Dairy News For Co-Ops

MILC Update

Federal Order Class III Price $13.62

The supply management drumbeat continues

Dairy Farmers' Revolt: No Tears Over This Spilled Milk

Milk prices and the future of dairy farms are enduring questions

Effect Of Dry Period Length On Reproduction...

MSU dairy camp helps 4-H’ers learn new skills

Dairy gives visitors a peek into life on the farm

Longmont May be the Dairy Empire of Colorado

July 1, 2010

May Dairy Products Report

What Does FDA's Action Mean For Medicated Milk Replacers?

June California Class 4 Prices Announced

Dairy farmers discuss price stabilization

Rumen Health Subject of Dairy Solutions Symposium

NAIDC elects board members

Holsum Dairy melds two facilities together for perfect fit

Pancakes and education served at Dairy Center

Crack Down on the Misbranding of Dairy Products
(July 29, 2010) A rose by any other name is still a rose, so it has been said, but that doesn’t apply to dairy products, according to the National Milk Producers Federation (NMPF). The Federation’s Chris Galen updated DairyLine listeners in Thursday’s broadcast on imitation dairy product labeling.  

You recall that, in April, NMPF wrote the Food and Drug Administration asking it to crack down on what NMPF calls the “misbranding of non dairy products that use terms like milk, cheese, or yogurt.”

 

This week, NMPF responded to requests by the FDA for public input on what types of information should be allowed on the front of packages, including labels and shelf tags when consumers encounter these products in stores. Comments posted on NMPF website

 

“We’ve used this as another opportunity to remind the Food and Drug Administration that they really should disallow the use of terms like soy milk, rice yogurt, and so on,” Galen said, “Because those are often times things that consumers look at first and the only things they look at when they make a purchasing decision.”

 

He adds that when consumers see plant-based products with milk or yogurt in their name, they assume those products contain similar levels of protein, vitamins, and minerals that dairy products do but “research shows that imitation products made from plants, vegetables, weeds, and seeds don’t have the same level of nutrition,” Galen said.

 

What asked if NMPF has received any reaction from the FDA, Galen answered that this comment period will take a while to work through but they did receive a letter from the FDA, in response to the April petition, thanking NMPF for their response and said their input would be “take under advisement.”

 

Galen said the FDA hasn’t quite brushed NMPF off but were fairly non committal in terms of what they’re going to do, “so we’re just going to keep up the drum beat on this and keep pressure on the federal government, particularly the FDA, because they seem very concerned about how foods are presented, marketed, and packaged so the whole issue of whether or not foods have the right names to begin with should be a front and center issue for them,” he concluded.

California Beef Council Makes Social Media New Priority

(July 28, 2010) The California Beef Council (CBC) has made social media a new priority, according to Shannon Kelley, PR Coordinator. Speaking in Wednesday’s “Beef Board Update,” Kelley said that many groups and organizations, including our adversaries, are using social media to get their information to consumers as well as to producers and the CBC thought it was time to join that conversation.

 

The goal is to “get their story heard,” she said, respond to misinformation, and highlight checkoff funded tools available to members. She added that the priority started with consumers but they soon learned that the majority of the Beef Checkoff’s Facebook fans were beef producers, so now the Beef Board can reach and educate both consumers and producers.

 

The latest addition was a producer profile video that features a San Francisco Bay area ranch family, highlighting their environmental efforts and has been an effective tool in reaching consumers as well as beef producers.

 

The video is also presented at producer meetings, according to Kelley, and producers have volunteered to shoot their own videos to tell their story to consumers so the website was revamped and the CBC joined Facebook and has a Twitter handle, and a YouTube channel, and even has a ranch family that blogs for the CBC.

 

“Again this is supposed to be more consumer outreach and it has been,” Kelley concluded, “But this has kind of excited producers to get involved and kind of ignited a little flame. Some are Facebooking beef information, she said, and she suspects that some have even joined Twitter.

Butter Market Remains Strong
(July 27, 2010) The butter market continues to show strength, trading at $1.80 to start the week. That’s the highest level since 2004.

“That’s quite significant,” according to University of Wisconsin’s Dr. Brian Gould, who said in Tuesday’s DairyLine Radio broadcast that butter has gained 15 percent since June 1st. “There hasn’t been a down day at the CME spot price, it’s been going up continuously.”

The high butter price has broader implications with respect to the federal pricing system. For example, last Friday the advanced Class I was released and the Class IV was the mover at $15.77 compared to the advanced Class III of $13.66. 

“So again, almost more than a two dollar difference between Class IV and Class III and it’s been that way for six out of the last eight months,” Gould reported. “So it’s truly a change in the market conditions and it’s due to purely what’s going on in the butter side.”

He said that it could stay that way for a while with the heat and humidity affecting a large portion of the U.S.  “The components are going down a little bit and being allocated to butter because it’s so valuable.”

The high butter price may bode well for cheese. “Again, the price of cheese may go up a little bit because less components going into the cheese vat.”

Gould said he has a model on the Understanding Dairy Markets website, where current futures market data and state specific statistical analysis to look at the relationship between the announced Class III and the futures Class III and the mailbox. Using last week’s end of week Class III futures prices, we see that over the July to December period, the U.S. average Federal Order mailbox is projected to be about $15.76. Wisconsin is $15.93 and California, not surprisingly, at $14.32.

“These are substantially higher  then obviously what happened at this time last year," he concluded.

Dairy Farmers Impact The Value of Cheeseburgers
(July 26, 2010) America loves cheeseburgers and dairy farmers have impacted that value chain, according to Jim Montel, executive vice president of strategic initiatives for Dairy Management Incorporated. He talked about the dairy check off partnership with McDonalds in Monday’s “DMI Update.”  

He pointed out that cheeseburgers use a large quantity of cheese and reported on McDonald’s introduction last year of the Angus burger which became very popular. That spurred the competition that looked at the result so Burger King and Wendy’s introduced their own comparable sandwiches.

 

Cheeseburger servings the last 12 months jumped 9 percent and 2 percent in the total category, according to Montel. That translates into about 122 million more pounds of milk in cheese being consumed, he said, and “a great return on investment for our dairy farmers.”  

Dairy Market Weekly Recap

(July 23, 2010) Cheese prices continued to move higher this week with the blocks closing Friday at $1.6025 per pound, up 2 3/4-cents on the week, and 40 1/4-cents above a year ago.

Barrel closed at $1.56, up 3 1/2-cents on the week, and 39 cents above a year ago. 

 

Cheese prices have strengthened for six consecutive weeks. Six cars of block traded hands on the week and eight of barrel. The NASS-surveyed U.S. average block price hit $1.4369, up 2.6 cents from the previous week, and barrel averaged $1.4766, up 5.6 cents.

 

Cash butter closed Friday at $1.80, up 2 1/2-cents on the week, and 54 cents above a year ago. Butter has also increased for six weeks in a row. Only one car was sold all week. NASS butter averaged $1.7438, up 2.4 cents.

 

Cash Grade A nonfat dry milk closed Friday at $1.21, down three quarters on the week, while Extra Grade held all week at $1.2250. NASS powder averaged $1.2335, up 0.1 cent, and dry whey averaged 36.15 cents, down 0.1 cent.

August Federal Order Class I Price Up 11 Cents
(July 23, 2010) The August Federal order Class I base milk price was announced this morning by the Agriculture Department at $15.77 per hundredweight, up 11 cents from July and $5.73 above August 2009. That put the 2010 average at $14.74, up from $10.95 a year ago, but down from $18.75 in 2008. The Class IV advanced pricing factor was the "higher of" in driving the Class I value and there will be no MILC payment to producers.
 

The NASS-surveyed butter price averaged $1.7321 per pound, up 17 cents from July. Nonfat dry milk averaged $1.2333, down 7 cents. Cheese averaged $1.4497, down 2.3 cents, and dry whey averaged 36.18 cents, down a penny.


Advanced Pricing Factors

Aug 2010 July 2010 June 2010
Class I Base  $15.77/cwt. $15.66/cwt. $15.28/cwt.

*The Base Skim Milk Class I: 

$9.49/cwt. $10.12/cwt. $9.61/cwt.

Class III skim:

$7.30/cwt. $8.25/cwt. $7.50/cwt.

Class IV skim:

$9.49/cwt. $10.12/cwt. $9.61/cwt.

**Butterfat

$1.8899//lb. $1.6839/lb. $1.7155/lb.

Class II Skim price:

$10.19/cwt. $10.82/cwt. $10.31/cwt.

Class II NFS price:

$1.1322/lb. $1.2022/lb. $1.1456/lb.

2-week Product Price Averages:

 

Aug 2010 July 2010 June 2010

Butter

$1.7321/lb. $1.5620/lb. $1.5881/lb.

NFDM

$1.2333/lb. $1.3037/lb. $1.2459/lb.

Cheese

$1.4497/lb. $1.4726/lb. $1.4115/lb.

Dry Whey

$0.3618/lb. $0.3698/lb $0.3631/lb.

Average Cow Brings In $1,640

(July 23, 2010) Looking back on the first six months of 2010, the average cow generated about $1,640 in milk sales, up about $283 per cow from 2009, according to USDA data reported by Dairy Profit Weekly editor Dave Natzke.  

The average cow produced about 10,675 pounds of milk in the first half of 2010, up almost 300 pounds from a year earlier, and the 2010 all milk price has averaged about $15.38 per hundredweight, an increase of about $3.50.

 

“Multiply $283 by 9 million cows, and that results in a $2.5 billion increase in gross income compared to the first half of 2009,” Natzke said. “But despite the improvement, 2010 still is well behind income for both 2008 and 2007.”

 

One of the bright 2010 dairy spots is exports however a snag may be in the works, Natzke reported. Earlier this year, the European Union informed the U.S. that it is changing requirements for dairy product export certificates.

 

Since 1997, the EU has required imports of dairy products come from milk with a somatic cell count of less than 400,000 cells per milliliter. While that standard isn't changing, the EU said it will now require milk quality records for the milk from all individual farms used in the imported products, instead of just a single test from commingled milk.

 

National Milk and the U.S. Dairy Export Council asked the U.S. Food & Drug Administration to intervene, contending the issue is not related to food safety, but rather a potential artificial trade barrier. After meeting with U.S. government officials, the EU said it will extend the December 1 deadline to allow additional time to work out details.

 

Check here for complete details from this morning’s announcement of the August Federal order Class I base milk price. We expect it to come in around $15.71 per cwt., which would be an increase of about a nickel from July.  

June Cold Storage Report

(July 22, 2010) June butter stocks totaled 197.9 million pounds, down 14.6 million pounds or 7 percent from May and 65 million pounds or 25 percent below June 2009, according to preliminary data in the Agriculture Department’s latest Cold Storage report issued this afternoon. May butter stocks were revised up nearly one million pounds from last month's estimate. 

 

The June American cheese inventory, at 628.4 million pounds, was up 13.5 million pounds or 2 percent from May and 26.4 million pounds or 4 percent above a year ago. May revised estimates were lowered nearly 2.3 million pounds.

 

Total cheese stocks amounted to over 1.027 billion pounds, up 10.4 million pounds or 1 percent from May and 39.2 million pounds or 4 percent above a year ago. May revised estimates were lowers nearly 2.5 million pounds. 

National Milk Weighs In On Dietary Guidelines
(
July 22, 2010) National Milk has weighed in on the June 15 release of the Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee’s report for 2010 (DGAC). Chris Galen likened it to the World Cup of food and nutrition policy in his weekly Thursday program. 

The guidelines are updated every five years and the dairy industry has a great deal riding on the outcome of this, according to Galen, because of the strong and prominent role that milk and dairy products historically have enjoyed.

 

Dairy critics have become bolder in the last decade or two, he said, and claim that alternative and imitation dairy products should be included or that a plant-based diet is preferable to consuming animal products.

 

This is why National Milk has been so involved in this process, Galen said, and issued comments on the advisory committee’s report affirming their recommendation of three servings of dairy products per day for children two and younger and that a range of dairy products, milk, cheese, and yogurt be included.

 

“They are nutrient dense and offer a big nutritional bang for the buck,” Galen argued, “And real milk and dairy products should be preferred over imitations because some of these plant-based foods like soy drink and rice yogurts etc. are trying to elbow their way into the guidelines and recommendations and we want to keep elbowing them out.”

 

The danger is that it comes down to politics versus science and Galen warned that food has become a lot more political over the last 10 years. “The stakes become higher and that’s why it’s very important to have sound science guiding the process that we’re undertaking,” Galen said.

 

Congress is also trying to renew the Child Nutrition Reauthorization Act which outlines what types of products are served in schools. Galen pointed out that these dietary guidelines have to be followed in school lunch programs and “that’s why these guidelines are so very important in making certain that dairy still has a prominent role in government feeding programs.”

Related Link: http://www.nmpf.org/washington_watch/standardsandsafety/nutrition


Dairy Outlook

(July 21, 2010) Feed prices have been favorable for producers this year compared with last, according to the Agriculture Department's latest Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook issued this morning. Although corn and soybean meal prices are expected to average higher for the 2010/11 crop year, the increases are expected to be moderate. Corn prices are forecast to be $3.45 to $4.05 a bushel in the 2010/11 crop year. Likewise, soybean meal prices are likely to rise slightly in 2010/11 to $240-$280 a ton. The milk-feed price ratio has risen since 2009 and will likely average about
2.3 for the current year.

Given the outlook for feed and milk prices, the ratio will remain nearly the same in 2011. Although producer returns have improved over 2009, the improvement is not enough to result in higher average cow numbers this year or next.

Cow numbers are expected to average 9.1 million head this year and be about the same next year. According to the June Milk Production report, monthly cow numbers have increased fractionally since the first of the year but still trail yearearlier levels.

Meanwhile, milk per cow continues to trend upward on a year-overyear basis. The increased output per cow will more than offset reduced herd size this year, resulting in more milk. Production in 2010 is forecast at 191.2 billion pounds. Next year, the forecast decline in cow numbers is expected to slow even further and production per cow is expected to be closer to trend, rising 1.6 percent year-over-year. The result is an estimated 193.5 billion pounds of milk in 2011.

Economic recovery is continuing apace in Asia and South America and coupled with weaker production in Oceania has tightened global diary product supplies. However, prices were lower at the most recent world Dairy Trading auction. According to Dairy Market News, seasonally strong production in Northern Hemisphere countries and optimism for the upcoming season in Australia and New Zealand pushed down prices.

The lower auction prices may have anticipated greater global supplies in the coming year. U.S. Milk equivalent exports are projected to reach 5.3 billion pounds in 2010 and 5.1 billion pounds next year on a fats basis.

Exports on a skims-solids basis are expected to climb to 26.3 billion pounds this year and rise to 27.3 billion pounds in 2011. The skims-solids export forecasts are in the range of 2008 export totals after last year's falloff.

Correspondingly, U.S. imports will be lower this year. Milk equivalent imports are projected at 4.5 billion pounds on a fats basis and 4.6 billion pounds on a skim solids basis this year. Imports are forecast to rise slightly to 4.7 billion pounds on a fats basis and 4.8 billion
pounds on a skims-solids basis in 2011.

The most recent Cold Storage report shows butter stocks at the end of May at 16 percent below year-earlier levels and total cheese stocks are 5 percent ahead of a year ago. The relatively higher cheese stocks and relatively low butter stocks compared with last year are contributing to butter prices being higher than cheese prices.

The July Dairy Products report shows May end-of-month nonfat dry milk (NDM) stocks at 26 percent below year-earlier levels. Fats-basis domestic commercial use is projected to rise by 1.3 percent in 2010 and by another 1.5 percent in 2011. A rise in domestic commercial use is likely on a skims-solids basis as well, but the increase is expected to be a moderate
0.1 percent in 2010 and 0.9 percent in 2011. basis, ending commercial stocks are expected to tighten both this year and next, and on both a fats- and skims-solids basis. The drawdown in stocks on a skims-solids basis is expected to be more pronounced next year than in 2010.
The current situation has Class IV prices above Class III prices, a reflection of the tightness in fat availability. Lower fat tests have boosted butter prices and may have helped firm up cheese prices as well.

This situation should correct itself early in 2011. Prices for the major dairy products, except butter, are expected to rise slightly next year.

Cheese prices are expected to average $1.465-$1.495 per pound in 2010 and $1.520-$1.620 per pound in 2011. Butter prices are forecast to average $1.530-$1.590 this year and $1.400-$1.530 per pound next year. NDM prices are expected to average $1.195-$1.225 per pound this year and $1.235-$1.305 in 2011. Whey prices are forecast to average 36.5-38.5
cents per pound in 2010 and 37.5-40.5 cents in 2011.

Class IV milk prices are forecast to average $14.65-$15.05 per cwt this year and increase slightly to $14.40-$15.50 per cwt, in 2011. The Class III price is projected to average $13.80-$14.10 per cwt in 2010 and climb to $14.40-$15.40 per cwt in 2011. The all-milk price is expected to average $15.80-$16.10 per cwt in 2010, with a rise to $15.90-$16.90 in
2011.

Monday's Milk Production Report Was A Surprise
(July 21, 2010) Downes-O’Neill dairy broker Dave Kurzawski said Monday’s Milk Production report was “a surprise.” Most analysts expected a 1-1 1/2 percent gain and he warned that this kind of bearish news should bring weaker prices but, if it doesn’t then the market likely believes July output will be hurt by the hot weather.  

Kurzawski expects cheese prices to top $1.60 for the short term though he cautioned that “we’re in uncharted waters as far as forecasting how high this price will go.” “Will this be the case 60 or 90 days from now is too early to tell,” he said, “But that is the case right now.”

 

The butter price is the highest it has been in several years and showing no signs of weakness, according to Kurzawski. “Cream multiples in the country are still trading at $1.50 plus, meaning, if you buy a load of cream, you’re paying a butterfat plus this cream multiple.”

 

Typically at this time of year trading runs around $1.20, according to Kurzawski, so there’s real good strength in the cream market and on the butterfat side of things and he doesn’t see that going away either, any time soon. “Both the strength in the CME spot cheese market and the butter market right now may override this bearish milk production number,” he concluded.

Market Analysis with Bob Cropp

(July 20, 2010) The cash block cheese price was bid another quarter-cent higher in the first day of trading of the third week of July as it anticipated that afternoon’s release of preliminary June milk production data. The barrels were quiet at $1.5250.

 

The University of Wisconsin Emeritus Professor Dr. Robert Cropp said in Tuesday’s DairyLine that hot weather is the likely cause. “Buyers evidently think that things will be tighter down the road even though we still have a good supply of cheese in storage,” Cropp said, in fact the highest level since 1984 and “sales are mixed.”

 

Mozzarella sales are good, according to Cropp, thanks to frozen pizza demand, but fluid sales are off, so the demand side is not really strong but the export market is good. He cited a new report showing May cheese exports were up 105 percent from a year ago and butter exports were up 266 percent.

 

He cautioned however that there’s plenty of milk and plenty of product out there but “the thinking is that things will get tighter and this is good news.” A cheese price that’s almost $1.58 is “reasonable,” he said, but he figured that would happen at the end of August or September.

 

Some believe that, even if June milk production was up a fair amount from a year ago, the market would pretty much ignore that, knowing that July output is going to be down due to hot weather. Cropp concurred and said that weather and the drop in milk composition, particularly butterfat but also protein, from a year ago will likely fall even more with the hot weather so product yield is down.

 

June Milk Production Up 2.7 Percent
(July 19, 2010) Milk production in the 23 major States during June totaled 15.2 billion pounds, up 2.7 percent from June 2009. May revised production at 15.8 billion pounds, was up 1.5 percent from May 2009. The May revision represented an increase of 40 million pounds or 0.3 percent from last month's preliminary production estimate. 

Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,816 pounds for June, 67 pounds above June 2009. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.35 million head, 87,000 head less than June 2009, but 10,000 head more than May 2010. 

California production was up 3.5 percent from a year ago,  with 53,000 fewer cows. However, output per cow gained 125 pounds. Wisconsin was up 5.1 percent, thanks to 5,000 more cows and 80 pounds more per cow. New York was down 0.2 percent, on 13,000 fewer cows but output per cow was up 40 pounds. Idaho was up 3.5 percent, on 10,000 fewer cows but a 30 pound increase per cow. Pennsylvania was up 1.1 percent. Cow numbers were down 4,000 head but output per cow was up 30 pounds. Minnesota was up 2.1 percent, due to 1,000 more cows and a 30 pound gain per cow.

The biggest increase was in Wisconsin, up 5.1 percent. Washington state and Michigan were next, both up 4.7 percent. 

The biggest decline was in Missouri, down 5.4 percent, due to 9,000 fewer cows, however output per cow was up 35 pounds from a year ago. Colorado was next, down 2.9 percent with 9,000 fewer cows, however output per cow was up 85 pounds. Texas had the third biggest drop at 0.5 percent with 18,000 fewer cows, but output per cow was up 65 pounds.

Milk Production in the April - June quarter totaled 49.7 billion pounds, up 1.7 percent from the April - June quarter last year. The average number of milk cows in the U.S. during the quarter was 9.11 million head, 151,000 head less than the same period last year.

State by State

Milk Cows 
Change from June 2009

Output Per Cow 
Change from
June 2009

Milk Production
Change from
June 2009

Arizona

-2,000

+105 lbs.

+4.4

California

-53,000

+120 lbs.

+3.5%

Colorado

-9,000

+85 lbs. 

-2.9%

Florida

-1,000

+30 lbs.

+1.1%

Idaho

-10,000

+30 lbs. 

+3.5%

Illinois

-1,000  

+45 lbs. 

+1.9%

Indiana

+2,000 

+50 lbs.

+4.2%

Iowa

-3,000 

+50 lbs. 

+1.4% 

Kansas

Unchanged

+20 lbs.

+1.0%    

Michigan

+2,000 

+80 lbs.

+4.7%

Minnesota

+1,000

+30 lbs.

+2.1%

Missouri

-9,000

+35 lbs.

-5.4% 

New Mexico

-2,000

+30 lbs.

+0.9% 

New York

-13,000

+40 lbs.

+0.2%

Ohio

-8,000

+100 lbs. 

+3.2%

Oregon

+2,000  

+40 lbs.

+4.2%

Pennsylvania

-4,000 

+30 lbs.

+1.1%  

Texas

-18,000 

+65 lbs.

-0.5%

Utah

+2,000  

+25 lbs. 

+4.1%

Vermont

+2,000  

+5 lbs.     

+1.9%

Virginia

-1,000

+15 lbs. 

Unchanged

Washington

+11,000 

Unchanged

+4.7%

Wisconsin

+5,000

+80 lbs.

+5.1%

23 State Total

-87,000

+67 lbs.

+2.7%


Fuel Up To Play 60 Gets Kids More Active

(July 19, 2010) National Dairy Council’s (NDC) Vice President, Jean Ragalie was back in Monday’s “DMI Update” to continue last week’s update on the “Fuel Up to Play 60” program, of which the dairy check off is involved. She said it’s popular because it enables schools to get kids to eat better and be more active.

 

“When we talk about eating better,” Ragalie said, “That means eating foods that they (kids) should be eating more of.” She said it takes a positive approach to nutrition and a critical part of that is eating more low-fat and fat-free dairy products and making more of them available in schools.

 

That means getting kids to drink milk more often, according to Ragalie, and have it in more places in the school. The “New Look of School Milk” program does that, she said, and the popular plastic re-sealable bottles are now in 11,000 schools nationwide.

 

Healthier school pizza is another area, she said, meaning tasty low-fat cheese on the pizza and “we know kids love pizza.”

 

It also means looking at the nutritional value of flavored milks, Ragalie said, and “the opportunity that presents to get more kids to drink more milk, more often.”

 

Breakfast is another important area. Kids get more than 50 percent of their calories at school, according to Ragalie, and making sure they have access to a nutritious breakfast as well as lunch and snack time so “there’s a lot of opportunities for encouraging consumption of more low-fat and fat-free dairy products as well as fresh fruits and vegetables and whole grains.”  

 

Dairy Market Weekly Recap
(July 16, 2010)
Cheese prices keep climbing, up the fifth week in a row, driven primarily by climbing temperatures around the nation. The blocks closed July 16 at $1.5750 per pound, up 4 3/4-cents on the week, 43 cents above that week a year ago, and the highest they’ve been since December. Barrel closed Friday at $1.5250, up 2 1/2-cents on the week, 38 1/2-cents above a year ago, and a nickel below the blocks. Only one car of block traded hands on the week and none of barrel. The NASS-surveyed U.S. average price of block hit $1.4112, up 0.9 cents, while the barrels averaged $1.4201, up 1.9 cents.  

Butter inched higher in an effort to bring sellers to the market closing Friday at $1.7750, up 1 1/4-cents on the week, 52 1/2-cents above a year ago, and the highest since December 2004. Only two cars were sold all week. NASS butter averaged $1.7201, up 1.7 cents. The Daily Dairy Report says cream is very tight due to strong Class II production and decreasing component levels in milk.

 

Cash Grade A nonfat dry milk closed the week at $1.2175, up three quarters of a cent. Extra Grade closed at $1.2250, down a half-cent. NASS powder averaged $1.2336, down 4.8 cents. Dry whey averaged 36.21 cents, down a penny.

Dairy Exports Reaching Two Year Highs
(July 16, 2010) While much of the dairy economy has been gloomy for quite some time, one area that's beginning to brighten is in dairy trade. Dairy Profit Weekly editor Dave Natzke reported in his Friday program that
USDA’s monthly estimates shows the value of May 2010 U.S. dairy exports reached levels the industry hasn’t seen in almost two years, when milk prices were at their peak.  

May exports, estimated at $364 million, were up $67 million or 22 percent from April and nearly double the $182 million exported in May 2009. With May’s estimates, export values have exceeded imports in nine of the past 10 months.

 

The last time monthly U.S. dairy exports topped $300 million was in October 2007 through August 2008, according to Natzke, and the $350 million mark has only been topped five times in history.

 

In contrast to the big jump in exports, U.S. dairy imports were up just 2 percent in May from April, to $206 million, and were down 14 percent from May 2009. Year-to-date, cheese imports were down 8 percent compared to last year and means the fiscal year dairy trade surplus stands at about $387 million, Natzke said.

 

In another trade area that we don't talk much about, U.S. dairy cattle exports are also growing, Natzke reported. U.S. female dairy cattle exports in 2010 are on a record pace, bolstered by a strong U.S. supply of heifers, and demand from oil-rich countries. 

 

After a lull earlier in the decade, annual dairy cattle exports have doubled since 2007, to more than 16,000 head last year, Natzke reported. And, through the first four months of 2010, cattle exports had already topped 11,000 head.   

Mexico remains a leading market for U.S. dairy cattle, but oil-producing countries, such as Saudi Arabia, have sharply increased dairy cattle buying, and superior cow and heifer quality and health make the U.S. an attractive market, he concluded.

 

Monday the National Dairy Council’s Jean Ragalie continues our discussion of the “Fuel Up to Play 60” program and we have our weekly Pfizer "Vet Visit" in our second half.

New DEIP Allocations Announced
(July 15, 2010) The Agriculture Department today announced new one-year allocations under the Dairy Export Incentive Program for the July-June 2010/11 year. They include 150.4 million pounds of nonfat dry milk, 46.5 million pounds of butterfat, and 6.7 million pounds of various cheese.  

The allocations, which correspond to World Trade Organization limits, are the same as the previous DEIP year however, because of current international and domestic market conditions, invitations for offers will not be made available until further notice, according to USDA.

CWT Can't Continue Much Longer
(July 15, 2010) National Milk’s Chris Galen gave highlights of their latest
Cooperatives Working Together (CWT) herd removal in his weekly Thursday broadcast and stated that “CWT in its current form, at its current funding and participation level cannot really continue much longer.” He said “That’s a decision that we’ll have to ask our members to make at the end of this year,” when asked if CWT would continue.  

He reported that a little over 34,000 dairy cows will go to slaughter in the latest program and, when asked if that was what they expected, Galen replied “That it’s a little hard to say given the price level that we had offered,  how many farms would actually submit bids,” but he called the participation “good.”

 

Field auditors will begin visiting the accepted farms in the three dozen states this week to check production records, count cows, and tag them for processing. Just over 650 million pounds of milk will be removed, he said, making it an average size retirement. Of the three removals conducted in 2009, two were larger than this one, he said, and the last one in 2009 was smaller but “This still indicates there’s certainly a lot of financial stress on farms.”

 

He also pointed out that the average herd size which was accepted is 177 cows and very close to the national average herd size in the U.S. today.

 

CWT has been discussed in the larger context of farm policy reform, according to Galen, and is why NMPF’s “Foundation for the Future” proposal included a role for a voluntary CWT program in the future but “it will be a different role than what it’s been doing the past seven years so it’s a little bit soon to predict other than I do think that CWT will be different in the future than what it’s been since 2003.”  

Communicating The Benefits Of Lean Beef
(July 14, 2010) The Texas Beef Council works in partnership with the Texas Dietetic Association and DairyMax to engage dietitians and local media to communicate the benefits of lean beef and dairy in a healthy diet, according to the Texas Beef Council’s Stacy Bates. 

Bates reported in Wednesday’s DairyLine that they provide accurate, science-based nutrition information to consumers across the state and work with registered dietitians, via the Dietetic Association, to reach the media to teach consumers how beef and dairy fit into the diet as a “nutrient-dense food.”

 

Programs such as the “Creating the Perfect Plate,” and “Making Your Calories   Count With Nutrient Rich Foods” programs give dietitians ways to get those messages to consumers in a way that’s realistic and approachable.

 

Dietitians are accepting of the information, according to Bates, especially when you consider how nutrient rich both foods are and they’re willing  to communicate that information to people who are “more overweight than they have ever been but also more under nourished, so they can get the most nutrient bang for their calorie buck.”

 

When we think about nutrition, we’re really thinking about it differently, we’re thinking about including more nutrient rich foods like lean beef and low-fat dairy so they get the needed vitamins and minerals for the calories that we’re getting in return.

 

Cheese Prices Keep Climbing

(July 13, 2010) Cheese prices keep climbing. The blocks were bid up another penny and a quarter in the first day of trading in the second week of July and hit $1.54 per pound. Barrels gained penny, hitting $1.51, also on one unfilled bid.

 

“That’s been our pattern essentially for the past seven or eight sessions,” said Downes-O’Neill dairy economist Bill Brooks in Tuesday’s DairyLine. “Sellers have moved away from the market and, instead of stepping back in around the $1.50 area where they have been the three or four other times that we’ve seen the price rallies, they’re stepping back even a little bit farther.

 

He said that’s probably not surprising, given the fact that we’re close to the middle of July and heat and humidity have been prevalent. It’s not been out of the ordinary, he said, but it has been prevalent in the eastern two thirds of the country and impacting milk production a little bit and components so “I guess we’re seeing a seasonal rise in our cheese prices.”

 

He looks for a peak in the $1.60s but, given some of the outside factors from an economic standpoint, that might not happen. He quickly added that, even last year’s terrible financial time, we ended up over $1.70 on cheese in December so “the $1.60s is not going to be out of the question and whether it goes any further than may depend on where our economic activity ends up at.”

 

The other point of attention is butter which gained three quarters of a cent and hit $1.77 on Monday. The last time butter was that high was October 2008, according to Brooks, and is “probably a more true reflection of demand but it’s also a situation where folks have been holding back and not selling as the market was going higher in anticipation of higher prices.”

 

Up until Monday, there had been an offer of $1.80 on butter for seven straight sessions, Brooks reported, but two trades occurred Monday at $1.77 so “we might be coming into a point where we’re going to see a little more activity as folks may start to think this market is starting to top out.” He adds that we’re only a couple months away from the Southern Hemisphere’s production session getting ramped up so that will take away some of the international inquiry that our domestic butter market has been getting.

 

He doesn’t expect that to attract butter imports because the international market is tight enough to take up everything that the Southern Hemisphere will produce but he warned that the higher prices will take away some of the domestic demand because prices are not to a level to attract imports.  

 

Fuel Up To Play 60

(July 12, 2010) Dairy farmers, through the National Dairy Council (NDC), have provided child nutrition, research, education, and communications to schools for over 95 years and the newest program is called “Fuel Up to Play 60.” NDC Executive Vice President, Jean Ragalie, reported in Monday’s “DMI Update” that it’s a partnership between the NDC, the National Football League, and USDA.

 

In its first year it’s already in 60,000 schools across the U.S., according to Ragalie, and is expected to continue to grow. When asked why it’s so popular, Ragalie said it came about at the right time and the right place.

 

“Kids are fatter, weaker, and wider than ever before,” Ragalie said, “And schools are a critical place for us to get our students and youth eating better and moving more and this program is a one-stop shop for schools to look at nutrition and physical activity.”

 

One of the “magic formulas,” she said, is that it encourages kids to eat more of the foods that they aren’t eating enough of, which includes low fat and fat free dairy products. The program will get even more dairy products into the schools, she concluded, “so kids are eating more nutrient rich foods than ever before.”

 

Dairy  Market Weekly Recap

(July 9, 2010) Cash cheese strengthened in the shortened 4th of July holiday week. The blocks closed that Friday at the year high $1.5275 per pound, up 7 1/4-cents on the week, and 43 3/4-cents above that week a year ago. Barrel closed at $1.50, up 10 cents, and 41 cents above a year ago. Only one car of block traded hands on the week and one of barrel. The lagging NASS-surveyed U.S. average block price slipped 0.4 cent, hitting $1.4025. Barrel averaged $1.4007, up 1.2 cents.

 

Butter closed at $1.7625, up 1 1/4-cents on the week, and 54 cents above a year ago. Nothing was traded all week. NASS butter averaged $1.7014, up 5.4 cents.

 

Cash Grade A nonfat dry milk closed the week at $1.21, down 2 cents, and Extra Grade closed at $1.23, down 1 1/2-cents. NASS powder averaged $1.2816, up 6.6 cents, and dry whey averaged 37.27 cents, up 0.9 cent.

California Class I Milk Prices Inch Higher
(July 9, 2010) California’s August Class I milk price was announced this morning by the California Department of Food and Agriculture at $17.33 per hundredweight for the north and $17.60 for the south, up 19 and 18 cents respectively from July. Both prices are $5.62 above August 2009. The August Federal order Class I base price will be announced by USDA on July 23rd.  

Latest World Ag Supply and Demand Estimates
(July 9, 2010) The Agriculture Department continues to increase its estimate on U.S. milk production. Forecasts for 2010 and 2011 were raised slightly from last month in the latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report issued this morning. Look for 2010 output to hit 191.2 billion pounds, up from the 190.4 billion estimated a month ago, and compares to 189.3 billion in 2009. 2011 production is now estimated at 193.5 billion pounds, up 500 million pounds from last month’s projection as milk cow numbers have remained higher than expected, according to USDA, and milk per cow is expected to increase more rapidly than previously forecast.  

Exports for 2010 were raised reflecting strong sales of dairy products but fat-basis exports for 2011 were unchanged from last month as production of fat-based products by competing exporters is expected to increase in 2011. However, the forecast of skim basis exports is raised for 2011 as nonfat dry milk (NDM) exports will likely reflect improving economic conditions. Fat-basis imports for 2010 and 2011 were forecast lower reflecting tight world supplies and growing international demand.

 

The 2010 Class III milk price forecast was reduced on a lower cheese price forecast, but the Class IV price forecast is raised as the price forecast for butter is raised, more than offsetting a reduction in the NDM price. The 2011 forecast for butter is raised slightly but forecasts for other products are unchanged.

 

Look for the 2010 Class III price to average $13.80-$14.10 per hundredweight, down from the $13.95-$14.35 predicted last month, and compares to the 2009 average of $11.36. The 2011 average is projected at $14.40-$15.40, up a nickel from last month’s estimate. The 2010 Class IV price is projected to average $14.65-$15.05, up from $14.45-$14.95 predicted a month ago, and compares to just $10.89 in 2009. The Class IV will average $14.40-$15.50 in 2011, according to USDA, up a nickel from last month’s estimate. The all milk price is forecast to average $15.80-$16.10 for 2010 and $15.90-$16.90 for 2011.

Early Retirement For Thousands of Cows
(July 9, 2010) Early retirement will come to 34,442 dairy cows, according to a press release this week from the Cooperatives Working Together program (CWT.) 194 bids were tentatively accepted in its latest herd retirement and represent about 653,893,409 pounds of milk.  

Dairy Profit Weekly editor, Dave Natzke reported in his weekly Friday DairyLine broadcast that CWT farm auditors will begin visiting the farms next week, checking milk production records, counting cows and then tag them for processing. All farmers will be notified whether their bid has been accepted no later than July 30, and farmers will have 15 days after notification to sell their herds.

 

FAPRI Analysis of NMPF Policy Proposal
On another note; Natzke reported details from the University of Missouri’s Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (or FAPRI) analysis of National Milk’s “Foundation for the Future” policy proposal and compared its likely impact to previous dairy market projections using current federal dairy policies. 

 

“The bottom line is, anyone expecting a big financial windfall under the proposal can likely forget about it," Natzke said. "However, the plan should help smooth out the economic roller coaster dairy producers have been riding.”

 

FAPRI’s analysis projected results of eliminating current federal dairy policies, the Dairy Product Price Support Program (DPPSP) and Milk Income Loss Contract (MILC) program and replacing them with National Milk’s Dairy Producer Margin Protection Program (DPMPP) and Dairy Market Stabilization Program (DMSP).  

 

“According to FAPRI, National Milk’s plan should do what it is designed to do,” Natzke reported, “And that is to provide more financial protection in times of low income margins, like we've seen in 2009 and 2010, while keeping a lid on federal dairy payments.”

 

FAPRI said the current MILC program would begin to make payments sooner than the base insurance program, according to Natzke, but the margin insurance would provide larger payments, since 90 percent of a farmer's milk production would be covered. Currently, once the MILC is triggered, payments cover only 45 percent of the price shortfall, and that falls to just 34 percent after September 2012. MILC also contains annual production caps, which aren't included in FFTF. And, producers could pay for supplemental coverage to protect even higher income margins, Natzke said.

 

Addressing milk supply, FAPRI said National Milk’s supply management mechanisms would not be triggered often, but would likely hold annual milk production increases to less than 180 million lbs. (or less than 0.1 percent per year) during the coming decade. “FAPRI said the National Milk plan would moderate, but not eliminate the volatility we've seen in dairy markets in the past few years,” Natzke concluded. 

Correction To Fluid Milk Product Definition
(July 8, 2010) On June 24, the Federal Register published a correction to USDA’s June 14 final decision on the “fluid milk product” definition. This definition determines what products are priced at Class I, and which are required to pay the Class I price to the pool.

National Milk’s Roger Cryan reported Thursday that, five years ago, USDA had an accounting problem. Beverages existed that were formulated to compete with milk but the manufacturers of those beverages were paying the Class II price for the milk they used. Whey ingredients were not counted and fluid milk drinks that had less than 6 1/2 percent nonfat milk solids were exempted so a hearing to fix the problem was conducted, Cryan said, and cooperatives proposed that the solids test be dropped.

National Milk proposed a protein test for defining fluid milk products instead, Cryan reported, and USDA held a hearing in June 2005 where other proposals were made, including one to exempt yogurt drinks and kefir from Class I pricing.

Five years later a final decision was made and the good news for dairy farmers, according to Cryan, is that the standard was tightened in some respects. He said, it used to be that if a drink was under 6 1/2 percent nonfat milk solids, it would be exempt from Class I pricing even if it contained as much milk protein as regular milk; and whey solids were not counted as dairy solids in defining these products.

Now it also has to be under 2 1/4 percent protein so National Milk’s proposal was accepted, Cryan said, “And more of the products formulated to compete with milk that, generally are not as good as milk, would at least have to pay the Class I price for the milk they use.”

The bad news, he said, is that the proposal to exempt yogurt drinks and kefir was accepted so drinks containing at least 20 percent yogurt and kefir do not have to pay the Class I price. Those yogurt drinks are essentially the same as flavored milks, according to Cryan, and kefir has no legal definition so it’s uncertain how that will be measured.

Yogurt makers claim that their yogurt beverages are not drinks however NMPF argued that that “yogurt drinks” are clearly “drinks,” have nearly the identical composition and form as many flavored milks, and are clearly sold to be consumed in the same manner as milk.

Processor's Perspective on Supply Management

(July 7, 2010) The International Dairy Foods Association’s (IDFA) Jerry Slominski gave DairyLine listeners the “Processor’s Perspective” on supply management in Wednesday’s broadcast. He said that supply management is being touted by some as the remedy for price volatility in dairy but IDFA and its membership are concerned that the industry is looking backwards. 

 

“Instead,” Slominski said, “I hope we focus on adopting changes that will allow the industry to innovate and grow by reforming our existing programs and adopting margin insurance and similar risk management proposals that are supported by many dairy organizations.”   

 

Supply management programs have been tried and have failed around the world, according to Slominski, and “while supporters argue that we only need to rework some of the details of supply management, a new trigger here, a different way of imposing quotas there, and it will be different this time. But, truth is, supply management is a failed idea from the past that should remain in the past.” 

 

He pointed to what has happened in Canada since a quota system was adopted nearly 40 years ago. Since then, Canadian milk production has actually declined while US production has increased by over 62 percent, Slominski said, and Canadians consume less dairy than before yet Americans are eating more dairy products overall. 

 

The argument that the Canadian quota system has saved their small farms is false, according to Slominski. Canada has seen the same steady decline in small farms in recent decades as we have here in the United States, he said.

 

“But, the most telling fact about the Canadian system is that Canadian companies are now investing in dairy facilities here in the US and elsewhere because they can no longer grow in Canada,” Slominski said.  “And, I just read how Canadian dairy farmers are buying operations in the US because they can no longer tolerate having someone tell him how much milk they can produce.”   

 

“2009 was a historically tough year for dairy farmers,” Slominski admitted, “But instead of adding an old idea of supply management to a patchwork of outdated and ineffective dairy policies, I hope we can support the good ideas that are out there  like risk management, that will help farmers get through difficult times.”

 

“The US dairy industry faces a tremendous opportunity to grow, to innovate and produce new exciting dairy products, and to keep and create jobs and help our nation's economy out of its current rut,” Slominski concluded. 

“We can do this if we allow everyone to compete and manage their farm businesses successfully but not if the pessimists continue to spin the myth that the grass is greener north of our border.”  

Markets: June Dairy Month Ended On A Good Week

June Dairy Month ended on a pretty good week, with most prices inching higher. Alan Levitt, editor of the CME’s Daily Dairy Report, said in Tuesday’s broadcast that it’s no surprise that cheese is moving up but he warned that there may be some resistance at $1.50 if production is still somewhat heavy.

 

He cited last week’s Dairy Products report which showed May cheese output up 2 1/2-percent from a year ago and he reported that the CME futures contract is pricing cheese in the mid to upper $1.50s for the rest of the year.

 

Butter is at the highest it has been since the fall of 2008, according to Levitt, and cream supplies are still tight. Butter production was down 5 1/2-percent in May, he said, but said he had to “rain on the parade a little bit.”

 

Butter prices are climbing, he said, but the June Class IV price came in lower than expected because of a sharp decline in powder prices. He blamed a surge of discounted sales of nonfat dry milk out of California which sent the NASS surveyed prices and the California weighted average down. Survey prices were down 9-10 cents last week, according to Levitt, and volume was three or four times as much as had been selling in recent weeks.

 

A penny on nonfat is almost 9 cents on the Class IV price and the Class II, Levitt explained, and the Class I in Federal orders and California is currently driven by the Class IV, as is the 4a and the Class II so that took some off the end result.

 

“The powder price seems to be under some pressure,” Levitt reported, orders have slowed, inventories are building, and nonfat futures for the second half of 2010 are averaging just $1.16 “So there’s not a lot of expectation that prices are really going to take off any time soon.”  

Editorial: Milk Dump Afterthoughts

Dear Editor; 

Well ladies and gentlemen we talked the talk and now we have walked the walk. We did something today that no farmer should have to do to stay alive in this business Yes We Dumped our Milk!!!!! 

As I watched it go down the drain there were a few thoughts that crossed my mind. The time and energy not just by us but by our girl in the barn that had gone into making this milk never mind the money. The fact that this is so ridiculous in this day and age for us to be groveling to receive cost of production for our product. 

That our nation has so many people who can’t afford food and we are reduced to this measure to make our government take notice, and that so many consumers have no clue to what will happen to them by their farms going out of business in there area. Not only will they be receiving products from other countries that don’t have the save quality food we have in the USA, but the amount of money that the local farmers put into our economy. 

We help so many different business in our local area how will this effect them and there lives. The thought of the other farmers who decided to stand proud along with us today all across our great nation. To the friend and neighbors and local government officials that thought enough about the situation and decided to take the stand with us that this is such an important issue for our nation. 

All of the consumers and farmers who cared enough to send there prayers, thoughts and well wishes to us to say they are behind us. To all of these people I thank you from the bottom of my heart for making such a tough day also be a proud day for our family. We can hold our head up and know we tried to make this a better place for all Americans today. I have spoke to someone in the first ladies office and I do hope that with this action today across our country and her stating she wants to help the American people become a healthier nation that she will respond to my letter I am writing and she will call and really take the time to see what is happening to our countries food supply.

If anyone who participated would like to contact me and continue to work on this issue please feel free to call and thank you again it was a true blessing to work with the farmers and media across our Country on this issue. I still say together we can win. e-mail Dave and Robin Fitch  fitchrnd@yahoo.com

My Dairy Program Sponsoring Video Contest
Dairy Management Incorporated’s Joe Bavido talked about so-called social media in Monday’s “DMI Update,” and said i
nterest and participation in social media has sky rocketed in the past year. In an effort to encourage producers to use videos to highlight their positive messages about dairy, DMI’s MyDairy program is sponsoring the Why I Love Dairy Video Contest.  

If you participate in the myDairy Online Advocacy Program and have access to www.mydairytoolkit.com, you’re eligible to enter, according to Bavido. Write a script, recruit your “actors,” grab your video camera, Bavido said, and tell the world why you love milk and dairy products, being a dairy producer, caring for cows or just being part of the dairy business.

 

Your video should be fun, consumer-friendly and less than two minutes long. Possible themes include dairy product quality, safety and nutrition; animal care and well-being; sustainability and environmental stewardship; or dairy’s contributions to the economy and local communities. The most entertaining and creative videos will be posted to www.DairyFarmingToday.com and other Dairy Farming Today channels.

 

Dairy producers, dairy farm families, and dairy businesses, clubs and associations are all welcome to enter. A panel of expert judges will select four finalists, one from each entry category; the individual or organization submitting that video receives a $200 Target Gift Card. The Grand Prize winner will be selected at the 2010 World Dairy Expo in Madison, Wisconsin, based on onsite voting by Expo participants at the DMI booth, Sept. 28-Oct. 2. The Grand Prize is a Flip Cam UltraHD – High Definition Digital Camcorder.

 

For more details and an entry form, visit www.mydairytoolkit.com and enter your password. To join the myDairy program and obtain a password, email your name, contact information and a few sentences about yourself and your dairy affiliation to mydairy@rosedmi.com. Entries are due by 5 p.m. CST on Tuesday, August. 31, 2010.

 

Dairy Market Weekly Recap

(July 2, 2010) The cash block cheese price closed June Dairy month at $1.4550 per pound, up 4 1/2-cents on the week and 34 cents above a year ago. Barrel closed at $1.40, up a half-cent on the week, and 30 cents above a year ago. Ten cars of block traded hands on the week and three of barrel. The NASS U.S. average block price lost 3.6 cents, dipping to $1.4063. Barrel averaged $1.3885, down 0.2 cent.

 

Cash butter closed Friday at $1.75 up 3 cents on the week, 55 3/4-cents above a year ago, and the fifth consecutive weekly increase. Only one car was sold on the week. NASS butter averaged $1.6478, up 4.7 cents.

 

Cash Grade A nonfat dry milk lost 2 cents on the week, closing Friday at $1.23. Extra Grade held all week at $1.2450. NASS powder averaged $1.2159, down 9 1/2-cents, and dry whey averaged 36.34 cents, down 0.8 cent.

Federal Order Class III Price $13.62
(July 2, 2010) The June Federal order Class III milk price was announced this morning by USDA at $13.62 per hundredweight (cwt.), up 24 cents from May, $3.65 above June 2009, and $1.39 above California’s comparable 4b price. The 2010 Class III average now stands at $13.58, up from $10.19 at this time a year ago, but compares to $18.26 in 2008.
 

Class III futures portend more gain to come. The July contract settled Thursday at $13.51, August at $14.34, and September at $14.87, with a peak of $14.85 in October before the seasonal downturn. The Class IV price is $15.45, up 16 cents from May and $5.23 above a year ago.

 

The NASS-surveyed cheese price averaged $1.4475 per pound, up 2.2 cents from May. Butter averaged $1.5946, up 1 1/2 cents. Nonfat dry milk averaged $1.2631, up 1.1 cent, and dry whey averaged 36.88 cents, up fractionally from May.


CLASS & COMPONENT PRICES:

COMMODITY            

June 2010 May 2010 April 2010

Class II Milk Price

$16.01 cwt. $14.90 cwt. $13.78 cwt.

Class II Butterfat Price

$1.7304 lb. $1.7128 lb. $1.5883 lb.

Class III Milk Price

$13.62 cwt. $13.38 cwt. $12.92 cwt.

Class III Skim Price

$7.86 cwt. $7.68 cwt. $7.65 cwt.

Class IV Milk Price

$15.45 cwt. $15.29 cwt. $13.73 cwt.

Class IV Skim Milk Price

$9.76 cwt. $9.66 cwt. $8.49 cwt.

Butterfat Price

$1.7234 lb. $1.7058 lb. $1.5813 lb.

Nonfat Solids Price

$1.0843 lb. $1.0734 lb. $0.9435 lb.

Protein Price

$2.2040 lb. $2.1523 lb. $2.1449 lb.

Other Solids Price

$0.1748 lb. $0.1704 lb. $0.1702 lb.

Somatic Cell Adjustment Rate

$0.00072 per 1,000 cells $0.00071 per 1,000 cells $0.00069 per 1,000 cells
PRODUCT PRICE AVERAGES March 2010 Feb 2010 Jan 2010
Butter $1.5946 lb. $1.5801 lb.  $1.4733 lb.
Nonfat Dry Milk $1.2631 lb. $1.2520 lb. $1.1208 lb. 
Cheese $1.4475 lb. $1.4257 lb.  $1.3827 lb
Dry Whey $0.3688 lb. $0.3645 lb.  $0.3643 lb.

The supply management drumbeat continues

(July 2, 2010) The supply management drumbeat continues. Rob Vandenheuval, general manager of California’s Milk Producers Council’s (MPC), said in Friday’s broadcast that he is traveling around the country, explaining legislation that has already been introduced on Capitol Hill to deal with dairy’s financial crisis.

 

Referred to as the Dairy Price Stabilization Act, the MPC has actively supported the concept that would, as Vandenheuval put it, “try to align future growth in milk production with future growth in demand for milk.” He said it fits nicely with some of the other proposals being talked about, like National Milk’s which, he said, is much broader and includes a “basket of concepts.” The House bill MPC supports is HR5288, and the Senate version is S3531.

 

Some believe the Midwest is balking at supply management while the West is in favor of it, but it was not that long ago that the West was opposed and the Midwest had support for it.

 

Vandenheuval responded, saying that in the past, supply management conjured up the idea of a Canadian style quota system and, while there may have been some interest in that in the past, there’s never been enough broad support for it to make it happen.

 

The last couple of years we have seen the development of ideas such as the Dairy Price Stabilization Act or the Marginal Milk Pricing idea, which he said, has been popular in other parts of the country, where we get the same benefits of a supply management program, without having the downside of a quota system.

 

“We found a way to allow continued growth, which we need in this industry,” Vandenheuval said, “But do a better job of aligning that growth with demand.”

 

He admitted the Midwest is a high growth area right now and will be for the next decade so, “We have structured a plan that all parts of the country can be comfortable with. They can do the growing that they need to do, while at the same time insure that not all 65,000 dairymen are growing at the same time and create the chronic surpluses that we’ve seen over the last 10 to 20 years.” 

 

May Dairy Products Report
(July 1, 2010) The Agriculture Department’s May Dairy Products report puts butter production at 131.4 million pounds, down 1.7 million pounds or 1.3 percent from April and 7.8 million pounds or 5.6 percent below May 2009.  

Mozzarella cheese output totaled 293.9 million pounds, up 5.6 million pounds or 1.9 percent from April, and 22 million or 8.3 percent above a year ago.

 

Total Italian type cheese, at 369.5 million pounds, was up 2.9 million pounds or 0.8 percent from April, and 23.6 million or 6.8 percent above a year ago.

Cheddar production totaled 286.3 million pounds, up 15.3 million pounds or 5.7 percent from April, but 1.1 million pounds or 0.4 percent below a year ago.

American type cheese amounted to 369.3 million pounds, up 10.8 million pounds or 3 percent from April, and 1.3 million pounds or 0.3 percent above a year ago.

Total cheese output came to 877.9 million pounds, up 15.9 million pounds or 1.8 percent from April, and 21.8 million pounds or 2.5 percent above a year ago. 

Nonfat dry milk output, at 154.4 million pounds, was up 2 million  pounds or 1.3 percent from April, and 3.9 million pounds or 2.6 percent above a year ago. 

What Does FDA's Action Mean For Medicated Milk Replacers?
(July 1, 2010) The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has issued a draft guidance intended to “help reduce the development of resistance to medically important antimicrobial drugs used in food-producing animals.” The draft outlines the FDA’s current thinking on strategies to assure that antimicrobial drugs that are important for therapeutic use in humans are “used judiciously in animal agriculture,” according to an FDA press release.

National Milk’s vice president of Scientific and Regulatory Affairs, Jamie Jonker, pointed out in Thursday’s DairyLine that the “medically important antimicrobial drugs” are drugs used in both human and animal medicine and, “when thinking of the drugs used in dairy animals we have to consider how they are used.”

The FDA is looking at antibiotics used in human medicine that are also used in feeds to improve feed efficiency or rate of gain in animals, according to Jonker, who said there are restrictions on the use of those drugs in dairy animals because they may show up as residues in the milk.

“We do have products that we use in dairy animals that are not used in human medicine such as ionophores,” Jonker said. They are used routinely in growing dairy animals and lactating dairy animals to improve feed efficiency and, as of now, are not considered in the FDA draft guidance.

One concern for dairy producers, according to Jonker, is medicated milk replacer which uses important antimicrobial drugs that are also used in humans but it’s unclear whether or not FDA views the way that they are used in milk replacers as growth enhancement, in other words, a non-therapeutic use verses a therapeutic use and that’s something that has to be explored further. National Milk will consider that, he said, as it prepares comments on the draft guidance in the next 60 days.

There is a legitimate concern regarding the overuse of antibiotics. Case in point; one can hardly buy a hand soap today that doesn’t have antibiotics in it. Jonker said it’s not just the use of antimicrobials in animal livestock but asks; “Is there a general overuse of antimicrobials across the general human population?”

“If you look at areas where you are most likely to find bacteria that are resistant to a lot of different types of antimicrobials, you find them in hospitals,” Jonker concluded, “So I think that there needs to be a balanced approach at looking an antimicrobial use, not just within animals but across all uses in animals and humans.”

Rob Vandenheuvel, of California’s Milk Producers Council, talks about the legislative proposals made on Capitol Hill to deal with dairy’s financial crisis and Dr. Paul Chandler, has his weekly “Nutrition Update” in our second half.

June California Class 4 Prices Announced
(
July 1, 2010) California’s June 4b cheese milk price is $12.23 per hundredweight, down 17 cents from May but $2.71 above June 2009. The 4a butter-powder price is $15.26, up $1.31 from May and $5.20 above a year ago. June Federal order prices are announced by USDA Friday morning