July 2010 Archived Dairy News
July 29, 2010
Crack Down on the Misbranding of Dairy Products
NWROC dairy herd dispersal marks end of 115-year program
Fourth-generation dairy farm family expands on success
Letter: Food for thought
NDS Announces Scholarship Winners
Dairy industry display entertains and informs
Petersons were hard-working hosts
Ulster to crown new Dairy Princess
Pregnant Cow Shot at California State Fair
July 28, 2010
California Beef Council Makes Social Media New Priority
Milk
payments to Franklin County dairy farmers to be adjusted
Pennsylvania
Dairy Farm Agrees to Stop Improper Medication
Vintage
home on dairy property in Fallon
Dairy Research Institute Formed to
Align Resources, Grow Dairy Research Program
Help
Your Child Succeed With Family Meals
Aldens
Top Dairy Show
July 27, 2010
CWT
Expands Eligible Product List, Accepts Bids
Butter Market Remains Strong
Ag
bill will help NM farmers and ranchers
Indiana
agency revokes permit for 3,500-cow dairy
WA:
Cause of manure-filled dairy lagoon breach found
SC:
New dairy coming to Wateree prison farm
Register
now for Aug. 18 Farm Bureau, PDPW Dairy Price Forum
Lightning
Claims Life of Eight Dairy Cows in Green County
July 26, 2010
Construction
delayed for new dairy farm in N.D.
Low
milk prices continue to haunt dairymen
WSBT-TV: Dairy
misses deadline
Dairy Farmers Impact The Value of Cheeseburgers
Alliance
of Western Milk Producers update
Western
United Dairymen update
Milk Producers Council Weekly Update
Archive
Lightning
kills 8 dairy cows in southern Wis.
Dairy
Farm Destroyed By Flames Now Under Investigation
Cow
gives birth to triplets of different breeds
Due
to statewide cuts, UMC sells off dairy herd
July 23, 2010
Dairy Market Weekly Recap
August Federal Order Class I Price Up 11 Cents
Average Cow Brings In $1,640
Dairy
farmers in Wis., Minn. have strong month Related
Wis.
ag secretary's death leaves 'glaring void'
Producers
mull dairy proposals
Congressional
Hearing on Livestock Marketing Continues Debate
EPA's
plan could cost dairy farmers
July 22, 2010
June Cold Storage Report
Rod Nilsestuen, state DATCP head, drowns in Lake Superior
National Milk Weighs In On Dietary Guidelines
Schumer:
EPA reg treats dairy farmers like BP
Dairy Checkoff Update -
July 2010
Dairy
Farmers Can Fight Johne's Disease Threat With Chlorine And Stainless
Steel
Johnson
reflects on dairy research at Morris
Midwest
Dairy Association Brings a Popular State Fair Tradition to You
Online
Great
Dairy Adventure kicks off at MSU Pavilion
July 21, 2010
Dairy Outlook
Monday's Milk Production Report Was A Surprise
Dairy
support sought
CBS
News Report on Raw Milk
Farmer's
fight over raw milk lands in courtroom
Auction
Seen as a Positive During Difficult Times for Dairy Farmers
Approved
Dairy Confinement Near Crooks
WPC34
and WPC80 obtain preliminary USAID approval
NZ
- Dairy industry expandingJuly 20, 2010
Market Analysis with Bob Cropp
1
killed, 1 injured in crash with Producers Dairy truck
Boccieri, Vilsack: OARDC research will be instrumental in re-creating
rural
America
Adding Value
to the Dairy with Ice Cream
July 19, 2010
June Milk Production Up 2.7 Percent
Oneida
County Farms are 'Dairy of Distinction'
Fuel Up To Play 60 Gets Kids More Active
Building
on 102 years
China’s
Bright Dairy Buys Stake in N.Z. Milk Plant
KS:
Fort Scott woman put on dairy marketing board
Lisbon
field day to take a look at organic grass-fed dairy operation
With
milk prices low, dairy farmers turn to beef cattle
Wayne
County woman to build dairy barn in Thailand
Dairy
herd sale by Michigan State to save moo-lah
July 16, 2010
CWT
Export Assistance Accepts Sales Totaling 176 Tons
Dairy Market Weekly Recap
This Week in Dairy Profit Weekly
Dairy Exports Reaching Two Year Highs
Dairy
Cow Feeding Economics
Pfizer
Animal Health and Partners Donate $830,181 to FFA, AABP
Calif. :
Scream-Worthy Desserts For Natl. Ice Cream Month
Clear
Spring student crowned 2010 Maryland Dairy Princess
MSU
selling cows to reduce costs
Buchanan
County fair trains future famers
July 15, 2010
New DEIP Allocations Announced
CWT Can't Continue Much Longer
Dairy
farmers stress importance of co-ops at USDA workshop
Holstein Foundation
Successfully Launches Capital Campaign
Aid
For Dairy Farmers
Selling
NRWOC's dairy a "Hugely Difficult Decision"
Canada:
It’s business as usual as workers picket Farmers Dairy
China
lowers dairy protein requirement to curb melamine
Europe:
Farmers direct dairy sales grow
IDF
Freshens Dairy Nutrition Website
July 14, 2010
New
bill aims to boost dairy prices
Dairy
Prices Hit Oregon Hard
EPA's
Oil Spill Prevention Plans for Dairy is 'Ridiculous'
Communicating The Benefits Of Lean Beef
Dairy
Farmers Share strong Image
Stearns
County agency marks 60 years of soil, water conservation work
Study
on mastitis in dairy herds available online
Wireless
helps dairy with milk, ice cream deliveries
July 13, 2010
Cheese Prices Keep Climbing
Legislation
aims to stabilize milk prices Leahy,
Sanders tout proposal
Get Burning Dairy Questions
Answered Aug. 11, 12
EU
dairy farmers protest reforms Video
Milk
Price Rally Has More Upside As Heat Wave Grips U.S.
2
teen dairy farm workers die after falling into silo in western
Michigan
CWT
Export Assistance Accepts Sales Totaling 100 Tons
Receives $25,000 to Educate about Spill Prevention...
Udder-ly
Impressive: Dairy princess wins Rock-Fest milking contest
July 12, 2010
Cheese
plant expansion in Jefferson County is good news for CNY dairy
farmers
FDA
seeks comments on menu, vending labeling
July Penn State Dairy
Outlook
Analysis:
Inside the Ohio agreement
Agriculture
colleges sell cow herds to cut costs
The
complexities of keeping dairy farms alivePDPW
& WFBF to Hold Dairy Price Forum on August 18
Fuel Up To Play 60
July 9, 2010
California Class I Milk Prices Inch Higher
Latest World Ag Supply and Demand Estimates
Early Retirement For Thousands of Cows
FAPRI Analysis of NMPF Policy Proposal
Second
Bill Aimed at Steadying Milk Prices Introduced in Congress
ME:
State Fund for Dairy Farmers running out of money
Cornell
Expert to Head Wisconsin Center for Dairy Profitability
International
Participation at Dairy Solutions Symposium
Bovine
Tuberculosis Discovered in Paulding County Dairy Herd
Community
pitches in to help tornado victims
Johnson
cherishes her time as dairy princess
Cows
Compete For Baileys Title
Dairy Farmers of
Canada busts Guinness(TM) World Record
July 8, 2010
CWT
Accepts 194 Bids Representing 34,000 Cows
Correction To Fluid Milk Product Definition
Pfizer
Animal Health Launches New Online Resource for Milk Quality
NDRC
and General Mills Foodservice to Award K-12 Schools $100,000
Changes
at Conklin Dairy after Firing and Arrest
Dairy
Farmers Ask Feds to Fix a Broken System
Why
soaring temperatures put Vt. farms at risk
Youth
showcase animals at Chino Fair
Sweetwater
Valley Farm cows keep cool
July 7, 2010
Processor's Perspective on Supply Management
CWT
Export Assistance Accepts Sales Totaling 50 Tons
No
Additional Charges To Be Filed In Animal Abuse Case
Dairy
farmers threatened by collapsed Parmalat deal
National DHIA Increases
Scholarship Amount
July 6, 2010
Markets: June Dairy Month Ended On A Good Week
Milk
prices up some; dairy farmers still struggling
Milk
Dump Story WKTV
Tennessee
working on $12 million dairy project
CA:
Valley dairies keep cows cool in the heat
PA: Milk from Rutter's
Dairy leaks into creek
ork,
love converge at organic dairy farm
Farmers
defend way of life with Facebook, Twitter
Natural
Dairy of China Seeks Approval to Buy New Zealand Farms
July 5, 2010
Editorial: Milk Dump Afterthoughts
My Dairy Program Sponsoring Video Contest
Western
United Dairymen update
Milk
Producers Council update
Alliance
of Western Milk Producers update
Livestock Gross
Margin- Dairy Insurance August Workshops
faq
Milk
prices up some; dairy farmers still struggling
Dairy
farm survives tough times
Moo-ve
on Up!: Sustainable Innovations in Dairy
Dairy
farmers use social media to take on abuse claims
Rumen
Fermentation Key To Feed Efficiency
DFA
Engineer Selected for National Leadership Program
Shakespeare
Helps Cows Make More Milk
Holstein
Honors Three
July 2, 2010
Dairy Market Weekly Recap
Dairy
News For Co-Ops
MILC Update
Federal Order Class III Price $13.62
The supply management drumbeat continues
Dairy
Farmers' Revolt: No Tears Over This Spilled Milk
Milk
prices and the future of dairy farms are enduring questions
Effect
Of Dry Period Length On Reproduction...
MSU
dairy camp helps 4-H’ers learn new skills
Dairy
gives visitors a peek into life on the farm
Longmont
May be the Dairy Empire of Colorado
July 1, 2010
May Dairy Products Report
What Does FDA's Action Mean For Medicated Milk Replacers?
June California Class 4 Prices Announced
Dairy
farmers discuss price stabilization
Rumen
Health Subject of Dairy Solutions Symposium
NAIDC elects board members
Holsum
Dairy melds two facilities together for perfect fit
Pancakes
and education served at Dairy Center
Crack
Down on the Misbranding of Dairy Products
(July 29, 2010) A rose by any other name is still a rose, so it has been said,
but that doesn’t apply to dairy products, according to the National Milk
Producers Federation (NMPF). The Federation’s Chris Galen updated DairyLine
listeners in Thursday’s broadcast on imitation dairy product labeling.
You
recall that, in April, NMPF wrote the Food and Drug Administration asking it to
crack down on what NMPF calls the “misbranding of non dairy products that use
terms like milk, cheese, or yogurt.”
This
week, NMPF responded to requests by the FDA for public input on what types of
information should be allowed on the front of packages, including labels and
shelf tags when consumers encounter these products in stores. Comments
posted on NMPF website
“We’ve
used this as another opportunity to remind the Food and Drug Administration that
they really should disallow the use of terms like soy milk, rice yogurt, and so
on,” Galen said, “Because those are often times things that consumers look
at first and the only things they look at when they make a purchasing
decision.”
He
adds that when consumers see plant-based products with milk or yogurt in their
name, they assume those products contain similar levels of protein, vitamins,
and minerals that dairy products do but “research shows that imitation
products made from plants, vegetables, weeds, and seeds don’t have the same
level of nutrition,” Galen said.
What
asked if NMPF has received any reaction from the FDA, Galen answered that this
comment period will take a while to work through but they did receive a letter
from the FDA, in response to the April petition, thanking NMPF for their
response and said their input would be “take under advisement.”
Galen
said the FDA hasn’t quite brushed NMPF off but were fairly non committal in
terms of what they’re going to do, “so we’re just going to keep up the
drum beat on this and keep pressure on the federal government, particularly the
FDA, because they seem very concerned about how foods are presented, marketed,
and packaged so the whole issue of whether or not foods have the right names to
begin with should be a front and center issue for them,” he concluded.
(July
28, 2010) The California Beef Council (CBC) has made social
media a new priority, according to Shannon Kelley, PR
Coordinator. Speaking in Wednesday’s “Beef Board
Update,” Kelley said that many groups and organizations,
including our adversaries, are using social media to get their
information to consumers as well as to producers and the CBC
thought it was time to join that conversation.
The
goal is to “get their story heard,” she said, respond to
misinformation, and highlight checkoff funded tools available
to members. She added that the priority started with consumers
but they soon learned that the majority of the Beef
Checkoff’s Facebook fans were beef producers, so now the
Beef Board can reach and educate both consumers and producers.
The
latest addition was a producer profile video that features a
San Francisco Bay area ranch family, highlighting their
environmental efforts and has been an effective tool in
reaching consumers as well as beef producers.
The
video is also presented at producer meetings, according to
Kelley, and producers have volunteered to shoot their own
videos to tell their story to consumers so the website was
revamped and the CBC joined Facebook and has a Twitter handle,
and a YouTube channel, and even has a ranch family that blogs
for the CBC.
“Again
this is supposed to be more consumer outreach and it has
been,” Kelley concluded, “But this has kind of excited
producers to get involved and kind of ignited a little flame.
Some are Facebooking beef information, she said, and she
suspects that some have even joined Twitter.
“That’s quite significant,” according to University of Wisconsin’s Dr. Brian Gould, who said in Tuesday’s DairyLine Radio broadcast that butter has gained 15 percent since June 1st. “There hasn’t been a down day at the CME spot price, it’s been going up continuously.”
The high butter price has broader implications with respect to the federal pricing system. For example, last Friday the advanced Class I was released and the Class IV was the mover at $15.77 compared to the advanced Class III of $13.66.
“So again, almost more than a two dollar difference between Class IV and Class III and it’s been that way for six out of the last eight months,” Gould reported. “So it’s truly a change in the market conditions and it’s due to purely what’s going on in the butter side.”
He said that it could stay that way for a while with the heat and humidity affecting a large portion of the U.S. “The components are going down a little bit and being allocated to butter because it’s so valuable.”
The high butter price may bode well for cheese. “Again, the price of cheese may go up a little bit because less components going into the cheese vat.”
Gould said he has a model on the Understanding Dairy Markets website, where current futures market data and state specific statistical analysis to look at the relationship between the announced Class III and the futures Class III and the mailbox. Using last week’s end of week Class III futures prices, we see that over the July to December period, the U.S. average Federal Order mailbox is projected to be about $15.76. Wisconsin is $15.93 and California, not surprisingly, at $14.32.
“These are substantially higher then obviously what happened at this time last year," he concluded.
Dairy
Farmers Impact The Value of Cheeseburgers
(July
26, 2010) America loves cheeseburgers and dairy farmers have
impacted that value chain, according to Jim Montel, executive
vice president of strategic initiatives for Dairy Management
Incorporated. He talked about the dairy check off partnership
with McDonalds in Monday’s “DMI Update.”
He
pointed out that cheeseburgers use a large quantity of cheese
and reported on McDonald’s introduction last year of the Angus
burger which became very popular. That spurred the competition
that looked at the result so Burger King and Wendy’s
introduced their own comparable sandwiches.
Cheeseburger
servings the last 12 months jumped 9 percent and 2 percent in
the total category, according to Montel. That translates into
about 122 million more pounds of milk in cheese being consumed,
he said, and “a great return on investment for our dairy
farmers.”
(July 23, 2010) Cheese prices continued to move higher this week with the blocks closing Friday at $1.6025 per pound, up 2 3/4-cents on the week, and 40 1/4-cents above a year ago.
Barrel closed at $1.56, up 3 1/2-cents on the week, and 39 cents above a year ago.
Cheese
prices have strengthened for six consecutive weeks. Six cars of
block traded hands on the week and eight of barrel. The NASS-surveyed
U.S. average block price hit $1.4369, up 2.6 cents from the
previous week, and barrel averaged $1.4766, up 5.6 cents.
Cash
butter closed Friday at $1.80, up 2 1/2-cents on the week, and
54 cents above a year ago. Butter has also increased for six
weeks in a row. Only one car was sold all week. NASS butter
averaged $1.7438, up 2.4 cents.
Cash Grade A nonfat dry milk closed Friday at $1.21, down three quarters on the week, while Extra Grade held all week at $1.2250. NASS powder averaged $1.2335, up 0.1 cent, and dry whey averaged 36.15 cents, down 0.1 cent.
August
Federal Order Class I Price Up 11 Cents
(July 23, 2010) The August
Federal order Class I base milk price was announced this morning
by the Agriculture Department at $15.77 per hundredweight,
up 11 cents from July and $5.73 above August 2009. That put the
2010 average at $14.74, up from $10.95 a year ago, but down from
$18.75 in 2008. The Class IV advanced pricing factor was the
"higher of" in driving the Class I value and there
will be no MILC payment to producers.
The
NASS-surveyed butter price averaged $1.7321 per pound, up 17
cents from July. Nonfat dry milk averaged $1.2333, down 7 cents.
Cheese averaged $1.4497, down 2.3 cents, and dry whey averaged
36.18 cents, down a penny.
|
|
Aug 2010 | July 2010 | June 2010 |
| Class I Base | $15.77/cwt. | $15.66/cwt. | $15.28/cwt. |
|
*The Base Skim Milk Class I: |
$9.49/cwt. | $10.12/cwt. | $9.61/cwt. |
|
Class III skim: |
$7.30/cwt. | $8.25/cwt. | $7.50/cwt. |
|
Class IV skim: |
$9.49/cwt. | $10.12/cwt. | $9.61/cwt. |
|
**Butterfat |
$1.8899//lb. | $1.6839/lb. | $1.7155/lb. |
|
Class II Skim price: |
$10.19/cwt. | $10.82/cwt. | $10.31/cwt. |
|
Class II NFS price: |
$1.1322/lb. | $1.2022/lb. | $1.1456/lb. |
2-week Product Price Averages:
|
|
Aug 2010 | July 2010 | June 2010 |
|
Butter |
$1.7321/lb. | $1.5620/lb. | $1.5881/lb. |
|
NFDM |
$1.2333/lb. | $1.3037/lb. | $1.2459/lb. |
|
Cheese |
$1.4497/lb. | $1.4726/lb. | $1.4115/lb. |
|
Dry Whey |
$0.3618/lb. | $0.3698/lb | $0.3631/lb. |
The
average cow produced about 10,675 pounds of milk in the first
half of 2010, up almost 300 pounds from a year earlier, and the
2010 all milk price has averaged about $15.38 per hundredweight,
an increase of about $3.50.
“Multiply
$283 by 9 million cows, and that results in a $2.5 billion
increase in gross income compared to the first half of 2009,”
Natzke said. “But despite the improvement, 2010 still is well
behind income for both 2008 and 2007.”
One
of the bright 2010 dairy spots is exports however a snag may be
in the works, Natzke reported. Earlier this year, the European
Union informed the U.S. that it is changing requirements for
dairy product export certificates.
Since
1997, the EU has required imports of dairy products come from
milk with a somatic cell count of less than 400,000 cells per
milliliter. While that standard isn't changing, the EU said it
will now require milk quality records for the milk from all
individual farms used in the imported products, instead of just
a single test from commingled milk.
National Milk and the U.S. Dairy Export Council asked the U.S. Food & Drug Administration to intervene, contending the issue is not related to food safety, but rather a potential artificial trade barrier. After meeting with U.S. government officials, the EU said it will extend the December 1 deadline to allow additional time to work out details.
Check
here for complete details from this morning’s
announcement of the August Federal order Class I base milk
price. We expect it to come in around $15.71 per cwt., which
would be an increase of about a nickel from July.
(July
22, 2010) June butter stocks totaled 197.9 million pounds, down
14.6 million pounds or 7 percent from May and 65 million
pounds or 25 percent below June 2009, according to preliminary
data in the Agriculture Department’s latest Cold
Storage report issued this afternoon.
The June American cheese inventory, at 628.4 million pounds, was up 13.5 million pounds or 2 percent from May and 26.4 million pounds or 4 percent above a year ago. May revised estimates were lowered nearly 2.3 million pounds.
Total cheese stocks amounted to over 1.027 billion pounds, up 10.4 million pounds or 1 percent from May and 39.2 million pounds or 4 percent above a year ago. May revised estimates were lowers nearly 2.5 million pounds.
National
Milk Weighs In On Dietary Guidelines
(July
22, 2010) National Milk has weighed in on the June 15 release of
the Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee’s report for 2010 (DGAC).
Chris Galen likened it to the World Cup of food and nutrition
policy in his weekly Thursday program.
The
guidelines are updated every five years and the dairy industry
has a great deal riding on the outcome of this, according to
Galen, because of the strong and prominent role that milk and
dairy products historically have enjoyed.
Dairy
critics have become bolder in the last decade or two, he said,
and claim that alternative and imitation dairy products should
be included or that a plant-based diet is preferable to
consuming animal products.
This
is why National Milk has been so involved in this process, Galen
said, and issued comments on the advisory committee’s report
affirming their recommendation of three servings of dairy
products per day for children two and younger and that a range
of dairy products, milk, cheese, and yogurt be included.
“They
are nutrient dense and offer a big nutritional bang for the
buck,” Galen argued, “And real milk and dairy products
should be preferred over imitations because some of these
plant-based foods like soy drink and rice yogurts etc. are
trying to elbow their way into the guidelines and
recommendations and we want to keep elbowing them out.”
The
danger is that it comes down to politics versus science and
Galen warned that food has become a lot more political over the
last 10 years. “The stakes become higher and that’s why
it’s very important to have sound science guiding the process
that we’re undertaking,” Galen said.
Congress
is also trying to renew the Child Nutrition Reauthorization Act
which outlines what types of products are served in schools.
Galen pointed out that these dietary guidelines have to be
followed in school lunch programs and “that’s why these
guidelines are so very important in making certain that dairy
still has a prominent role in government feeding programs.”
Related Link: http://www.nmpf.org/washington_watch/standardsandsafety/nutrition
Given the outlook for feed and milk prices, the ratio will
remain nearly the same in 2011. Although producer returns have
improved over 2009, the improvement is not enough to result in
higher average cow numbers this year or next.
Cow numbers are expected to average 9.1 million head this year
and be about the same next year. According to the June Milk
Production report, monthly cow numbers have increased
fractionally since the first of the year but still trail
yearearlier levels.
Meanwhile, milk per cow continues to trend upward on a year-overyear basis. The increased output per cow will more than offset reduced herd size this year, resulting in more milk. Production in 2010 is forecast at 191.2 billion pounds. Next year, the forecast decline in cow numbers is expected to slow even further and production per cow is expected to be closer to trend, rising 1.6 percent year-over-year. The result is an estimated 193.5 billion pounds of milk in 2011.
Economic recovery is continuing apace in Asia and South
America and coupled with weaker production in Oceania has
tightened global diary product supplies. However, prices were
lower at the most recent world Dairy Trading auction. According
to Dairy Market News, seasonally strong production in Northern
Hemisphere countries and optimism for the upcoming season in
Australia and New Zealand pushed down prices.
The lower auction prices may have anticipated greater global
supplies in the coming year. U.S. Milk equivalent exports are
projected to reach 5.3 billion pounds in 2010 and 5.1 billion
pounds next year on a fats basis.
Exports on a skims-solids basis are expected to climb to 26.3
billion pounds this year and rise to 27.3 billion pounds in
2011. The skims-solids export forecasts are in the range of 2008
export totals after last year's falloff.
Correspondingly, U.S. imports will be lower this year. Milk
equivalent imports are projected at 4.5 billion pounds on a fats
basis and 4.6 billion pounds on a skim solids basis this year.
Imports are forecast to rise slightly to 4.7 billion pounds on a
fats basis and 4.8 billion
pounds on a skims-solids basis in 2011.
The most recent Cold Storage report shows butter stocks at the
end of May at 16 percent below year-earlier levels and total
cheese stocks are 5 percent ahead of a year ago. The relatively
higher cheese stocks and relatively low butter stocks compared
with last year are contributing to butter prices being higher
than cheese prices.
The July Dairy Products report shows May end-of-month nonfat dry
milk (NDM) stocks at 26 percent below year-earlier levels.
Fats-basis domestic commercial use is projected to rise by 1.3
percent in 2010 and by another 1.5 percent in 2011. A rise in
domestic commercial use is likely on a skims-solids basis as
well, but the increase is expected to be a moderate
0.1 percent in 2010 and 0.9 percent in 2011. basis, ending
commercial stocks are expected to tighten both this year and
next, and on both a fats- and skims-solids basis. The drawdown
in stocks on a skims-solids basis is expected to be more
pronounced next year than in 2010.
The current situation has Class IV prices above Class III
prices, a reflection of the tightness in fat availability. Lower
fat tests have boosted butter prices and may have helped firm up
cheese prices as well.
This situation should correct itself early in 2011. Prices for
the major dairy products, except butter, are expected to rise
slightly next year.
Cheese prices are expected to average $1.465-$1.495 per pound in
2010 and $1.520-$1.620 per pound in 2011. Butter prices are
forecast to average $1.530-$1.590 this year and $1.400-$1.530
per pound next year. NDM prices are expected to average
$1.195-$1.225 per pound this year and $1.235-$1.305 in 2011.
Whey prices are forecast to average 36.5-38.5
cents per pound in 2010 and 37.5-40.5 cents in 2011.
Class IV milk prices are forecast to average $14.65-$15.05 per
cwt this year and increase slightly to $14.40-$15.50 per cwt, in
2011. The Class III price is projected to average $13.80-$14.10
per cwt in 2010 and climb to $14.40-$15.40 per cwt in 2011. The
all-milk price is expected to average $15.80-$16.10 per cwt in
2010, with a rise to $15.90-$16.90 in
2011.
Monday's
Milk Production Report Was A Surprise
(July
21, 2010) Downes-O’Neill dairy broker Dave Kurzawski said
Monday’s Milk
Production report was “a surprise.” Most analysts
expected a 1-1 1/2 percent gain and he warned that this kind of
bearish news should bring weaker prices but, if it doesn’t
then the market likely believes July output will be hurt by the
hot weather.
Kurzawski
expects cheese prices to top $1.60 for the short term though he
cautioned that “we’re in uncharted waters as far as
forecasting how high this price will go.” “Will this be the
case 60 or 90 days from now is too early to tell,” he said,
“But that is the case right now.”
The
butter price is the highest it has been in several years and
showing no signs of weakness, according to Kurzawski. “Cream
multiples in the country are still trading at $1.50 plus,
meaning, if you buy a load of cream, you’re paying a butterfat
plus this cream multiple.”
Typically
at this time of year trading runs around $1.20, according to
Kurzawski, so there’s real good strength in the cream market
and on the butterfat side of things and he doesn’t see that
going away either, any time soon. “Both the strength in the
CME spot cheese market and the butter market right now may
override this bearish milk production number,” he concluded.
(July
20, 2010) The cash block cheese price was bid another
quarter-cent higher in the first day of trading of the third
week of July as it anticipated that afternoon’s release of
preliminary June milk production data. The barrels were quiet at
$1.5250.
The
University of Wisconsin Emeritus Professor Dr. Robert Cropp said
in Tuesday’s DairyLine
that hot weather is the likely cause. “Buyers evidently think
that things will be tighter down the road even though we still
have a good supply of cheese in storage,” Cropp said, in fact
the highest level since 1984 and “sales are mixed.”
Mozzarella
sales are good, according to Cropp, thanks to frozen pizza
demand, but fluid sales are off, so the demand side is not
really strong but the export market is good. He cited a new
report showing May cheese exports were up 105 percent from a
year ago and butter exports were up 266 percent.
He
cautioned however that there’s plenty of milk and plenty of
product out there but “the thinking is that things will get
tighter and this is good news.” A cheese price that’s almost
$1.58 is “reasonable,” he said, but he figured that would
happen at the end of August or September.
Some believe that, even if June milk production was up a fair amount from a year ago, the market would pretty much ignore that, knowing that July output is going to be down due to hot weather. Cropp concurred and said that weather and the drop in milk composition, particularly butterfat but also protein, from a year ago will likely fall even more with the hot weather so product yield is down.
June Milk Production Up 2.7 Percent
Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,816 pounds for June, 67 pounds above June 2009. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.35 million head, 87,000 head less than June 2009, but 10,000 head more than May 2010.
California production was up 3.5 percent from a year ago, with
53,000 fewer cows. However, output per cow gained 125 pounds. Wisconsin was up
5.1 percent, thanks to 5,000 more cows
and 80 pounds more per cow. New York was down 0.2 percent, on
13,000 fewer cows but output per cow was up 40 pounds. Idaho was
up 3.5 percent, on 10,000 fewer cows but a 30 pound increase per
cow. Pennsylvania was up 1.1 percent. Cow numbers were down
4,000 head but output per cow was up 30 pounds. Minnesota was
up 2.1 percent, due to 1,000 more cows and a 30 pound gain per
cow.
The biggest decline was in Missouri, down 5.4 percent, due to 9,000 fewer cows, however output per cow was up 35 pounds from a year ago. Colorado was next, down 2.9 percent with 9,000 fewer cows, however output per cow was up 85 pounds. Texas had the third biggest drop at 0.5 percent with 18,000 fewer cows, but output per cow was up 65 pounds.
Milk Production in the April - June quarter totaled 49.7 billion pounds, up 1.7 percent from the April - June quarter last year. The average number of milk cows in the U.S. during the quarter was 9.11 million head, 151,000 head less than the same period last year.
|
State by State |
Milk Cows
|
Output Per Cow
|
Milk Production
|
|
Arizona |
-2,000 |
+105 lbs. |
+4.4 |
|
California |
-53,000 |
+120 lbs. |
+3.5% |
|
Colorado |
-9,000 |
+85 lbs. |
-2.9% |
|
Florida |
-1,000 |
+30 lbs. |
+1.1% |
|
Idaho |
-10,000 |
+30 lbs. |
+3.5% |
|
Illinois |
-1,000 |
+45 lbs. |
+1.9% |
|
Indiana |
+2,000 |
+50 lbs. |
+4.2% |
|
Iowa |
-3,000 |
+50 lbs. |
+1.4% |
|
Kansas |
Unchanged |
+20 lbs. |
+1.0% |
|
Michigan |
+2,000 |
+80 lbs. |
+4.7% |
|
Minnesota |
+1,000 |
+30 lbs. |
+2.1% |
|
Missouri |
-9,000 |
+35 lbs. |
-5.4% |
|
New Mexico |
-2,000 |
+30 lbs. |
+0.9% |
|
New York |
-13,000 |
+40 lbs. |
+0.2% |
|
Ohio |
-8,000 |
+100 lbs. |
+3.2% |
|
Oregon |
+2,000 |
+40 lbs. |
+4.2% |
|
Pennsylvania |
-4,000 |
+30 lbs. |
+1.1% |
|
Texas |
-18,000 |
+65 lbs. |
-0.5% |
|
Utah |
+2,000 |
+25 lbs. |
+4.1% |
|
Vermont |
+2,000 |
+5 lbs. |
+1.9% |
|
Virginia |
-1,000 |
+15 lbs. |
Unchanged |
|
Washington |
+11,000 |
Unchanged |
+4.7% |
|
Wisconsin |
+5,000 |
+80 lbs. |
+5.1% |
|
23 State Total |
-87,000 |
+67 lbs. |
+2.7% |
(July
19, 2010) National Dairy Council’s (NDC) Vice President, Jean
Ragalie was back in Monday’s “DMI Update” to continue last
week’s update on the “Fuel Up to Play 60” program, of
which the dairy check off is involved. She said it’s popular
because it enables schools to get kids to eat better and be more
active.
“When
we talk about eating better,” Ragalie said, “That means
eating foods that they (kids) should be eating more of.” She
said it takes a positive approach to nutrition and a critical
part of that is eating more low-fat and fat-free dairy products
and making more of them available in schools.
That
means getting kids to drink milk more often, according to
Ragalie, and have it in more places in the school. The “New
Look of School Milk” program does that, she said, and the
popular plastic re-sealable bottles are now in 11,000 schools
nationwide.
Healthier
school pizza is another area, she said, meaning tasty low-fat
cheese on the pizza and “we know kids love pizza.”
It
also means looking at the nutritional value of flavored milks,
Ragalie said, and “the opportunity that presents to get more
kids to drink more milk, more often.”
Breakfast
is another important area. Kids get more than 50 percent of
their calories at school, according to Ragalie, and making sure
they have access to a nutritious breakfast as well as lunch and
snack time so “there’s a lot of opportunities for
encouraging consumption of more low-fat and fat-free dairy
products as well as fresh fruits and vegetables and whole
grains.”
Dairy
Market Weekly Recap
(July 16, 2010) Cheese
prices keep climbing, up the fifth week in a row, driven
primarily by climbing temperatures around the nation. The blocks
closed July 16 at $1.5750 per pound, up 4 3/4-cents on the week,
43 cents above that week a year ago, and the highest they’ve
been since December. Barrel closed Friday at $1.5250, up 2
1/2-cents on the week, 38 1/2-cents above a year ago, and a
nickel below the blocks. Only one car of block traded hands on
the week and none of barrel. The NASS-surveyed U.S. average
price of block hit $1.4112, up 0.9 cents, while the barrels
averaged $1.4201, up 1.9 cents.
Butter
inched higher in an effort to bring sellers to the market
closing Friday at $1.7750, up 1 1/4-cents on the week, 52
1/2-cents above a year ago, and the highest since December 2004.
Only two cars were sold all week. NASS butter averaged $1.7201,
up 1.7 cents. The Daily
Dairy Report says cream is very tight due to strong Class II
production and decreasing component levels in milk.
Cash Grade A nonfat dry milk closed the week at $1.2175, up three quarters of a cent. Extra Grade closed at $1.2250, down a half-cent. NASS powder averaged $1.2336, down 4.8 cents. Dry whey averaged 36.21 cents, down a penny.
Dairy
Exports Reaching Two Year Highs
(July
16, 2010) While much of the dairy economy has been gloomy for
quite some time, one area that's beginning to brighten is in
dairy trade. Dairy Profit
Weekly editor Dave Natzke reported in his Friday program
that USDA’s
monthly estimates shows the value of May 2010 U.S. dairy exports
reached levels the industry hasn’t seen in almost two years,
when milk prices were at their peak.
May
exports, estimated at $364 million, were up $67 million or 22
percent from April and nearly double the $182 million exported
in May 2009. With May’s estimates, export values have exceeded
imports in nine of the past 10 months.
The
last time monthly U.S. dairy exports topped $300 million was in
October 2007 through August 2008, according to Natzke, and the
$350 million mark has only been topped five times in history.
In
contrast to the big jump in exports, U.S. dairy imports were up
just 2 percent in May from April, to $206 million, and were down
14 percent from May 2009. Year-to-date, cheese imports were down
8 percent compared to last year and means the fiscal year dairy
trade surplus stands at about $387 million, Natzke said.
In
another trade area that we don't talk much about, U.S. dairy
cattle exports are also growing, Natzke reported. U.S.
female dairy cattle exports in 2010 are on a record pace,
bolstered by a strong U.S. supply of heifers, and demand from
oil-rich countries.
After
a lull earlier in the decade, annual dairy cattle exports have
doubled since 2007, to more than 16,000 head last year, Natzke
reported. And, through the first four months of 2010, cattle
exports had already topped 11,000 head.
Mexico remains a leading market for U.S. dairy cattle, but oil-producing countries, such as Saudi Arabia, have sharply increased dairy cattle buying, and superior cow and heifer quality and health make the U.S. an attractive market, he concluded.
Monday the National Dairy Council’s Jean Ragalie continues our discussion of the “Fuel Up to Play 60” program and we have our weekly Pfizer "Vet Visit" in our second half.
New
DEIP Allocations Announced
(July
15, 2010) The Agriculture Department today announced new
one-year allocations under the Dairy Export Incentive Program
for the July-June 2010/11 year. They include 150.4 million
pounds of nonfat dry milk, 46.5 million pounds of butterfat, and
6.7 million pounds of various cheese.
The allocations, which correspond to World Trade Organization limits, are the same as the previous DEIP year however, because of current international and domestic market conditions, invitations for offers will not be made available until further notice, according to USDA.
CWT
Can't Continue Much Longer
(July
15, 2010) National Milk’s Chris Galen gave highlights of their
latest Cooperatives
Working Together (CWT) herd
removal in his weekly Thursday broadcast and stated that “CWT
in its current form, at its current funding and participation
level cannot really continue much longer.” He said “That’s
a decision that we’ll have to ask our members to make at the
end of this year,” when asked if CWT would continue.
He
reported that a little over 34,000
dairy cows will go to slaughter in the latest program and, when
asked if that was what they expected, Galen replied “That
it’s a little hard to say given the price level that we had
offered, how many
farms would actually submit bids,” but he called the
participation “good.”
Field
auditors will begin visiting the accepted farms in the three
dozen states this week to check production records, count cows,
and tag them for processing. Just
over 650 million pounds of milk will be removed, he said, making
it an average size retirement. Of the three removals conducted
in 2009, two were larger than this one, he said, and the last
one in 2009 was smaller but “This still indicates there’s
certainly a lot of financial stress on farms.”
He
also pointed out that the average herd size which was accepted
is 177 cows and very close to the national average herd size in
the U.S. today.
CWT
has been discussed in the larger context of farm policy reform,
according to Galen, and is why NMPF’s “Foundation for the
Future” proposal included a role for a voluntary CWT program
in the future but “it will be a different role than what
it’s been doing the past seven years so it’s a little bit
soon to predict other than I do think that CWT will be different
in the future than what it’s been since 2003.”
Communicating
The Benefits Of Lean Beef
(July
14, 2010) The Texas Beef Council works in partnership with the
Texas Dietetic Association and DairyMax to engage dietitians and
local media to communicate the benefits of lean beef and dairy
in a healthy diet, according to the Texas Beef Council’s Stacy
Bates.
Bates reported in Wednesday’s DairyLine
that they provide accurate, science-based nutrition information
to consumers across the state and work with registered
dietitians, via the Dietetic Association, to reach the media to
teach consumers how beef and dairy fit into the diet as a
“nutrient-dense food.”
Programs
such as the “Creating the Perfect Plate,” and “Making Your
Calories Count
With Nutrient Rich Foods” programs give dietitians ways to get
those messages to consumers in a way that’s realistic and
approachable.
Dietitians
are accepting of the information, according to Bates, especially
when you consider how nutrient rich both foods are and they’re
willing to
communicate that information to people who are “more
overweight than they have ever been but also more under
nourished, so they can get the most nutrient bang for their
calorie buck.”
When we think about nutrition, we’re really thinking about it differently, we’re thinking about including more nutrient rich foods like lean beef and low-fat dairy so they get the needed vitamins and minerals for the calories that we’re getting in return.
Cheese Prices Keep Climbing
(July
13, 2010) Cheese prices keep climbing. The blocks were bid up
another penny and a quarter in the first day of trading in the
second week of July and hit $1.54 per pound. Barrels gained
penny, hitting $1.51, also on one unfilled bid.
“That’s
been our pattern essentially for the past seven or eight
sessions,” said Downes-O’Neill dairy economist Bill Brooks
in Tuesday’s DairyLine.
“Sellers have moved away from the market and, instead of
stepping back in around the $1.50 area where they have been the
three or four other times that we’ve seen the price rallies,
they’re stepping back even a little bit farther.
He
said that’s probably not surprising, given the fact that
we’re close to the middle of July and heat and humidity have
been prevalent. It’s not been out of the ordinary, he said,
but it has been prevalent in the eastern two thirds of the
country and impacting milk production a little bit and
components so “I guess we’re seeing a seasonal rise in our
cheese prices.”
He
looks for a peak in the $1.60s but, given some of the outside
factors from an economic standpoint, that might not happen. He
quickly added that, even last year’s terrible financial time,
we ended up over $1.70 on cheese in December so “the $1.60s is
not going to be out of the question and whether it goes any
further than may depend on where our economic activity ends up
at.”
The
other point of attention is butter which gained three quarters
of a cent and hit $1.77 on Monday. The last time butter was that
high was October 2008, according to Brooks, and is “probably a
more true reflection of demand but it’s also a situation where
folks have been holding back and not selling as the market was
going higher in anticipation of higher prices.”
Up
until Monday, there had been an offer of $1.80 on butter for
seven straight sessions, Brooks reported, but two trades
occurred Monday at $1.77 so “we might be coming into a point
where we’re going to see a little more activity as folks may
start to think this market is starting to top out.” He adds
that we’re only a couple months away from the Southern
Hemisphere’s production session getting ramped up so that will
take away some of the international inquiry that our domestic
butter market has been getting.
He
doesn’t expect that to attract butter imports because the
international market is tight enough to take up everything that
the Southern Hemisphere will produce but he warned that the
higher prices will take away some of the domestic demand because
prices are not to a level to attract imports.
Fuel Up To Play 60
(July
12, 2010) Dairy farmers, through the National Dairy Council (NDC),
have provided child nutrition, research, education, and
communications to schools for over 95 years and the newest
program is called “Fuel Up to Play 60.” NDC Executive Vice
President, Jean Ragalie, reported in Monday’s “DMI Update”
that it’s a partnership between the NDC, the National Football
League, and USDA.
In
its first year it’s already in 60,000 schools across the U.S.,
according to Ragalie, and is expected to continue to grow. When
asked why it’s so popular, Ragalie said it came about at the
right time and the right place.
“Kids
are fatter, weaker, and wider than ever before,” Ragalie said,
“And schools are a critical place for us to get our students
and youth eating better and moving more and this program is a
one-stop shop for schools to look at nutrition and physical
activity.”
One of the “magic formulas,” she said, is that it encourages kids to eat more of the foods that they aren’t eating enough of, which includes low fat and fat free dairy products. The program will get even more dairy products into the schools, she concluded, “so kids are eating more nutrient rich foods than ever before.”
Dairy Market Weekly Recap
(July
9, 2010) Cash cheese strengthened in the shortened 4th
of July holiday week. The blocks closed that Friday at the year
high $1.5275 per pound, up 7 1/4-cents on the week, and 43
3/4-cents above that week a year ago. Barrel closed at $1.50, up
10 cents, and 41 cents above a year ago. Only one car of block
traded hands on the week and one of barrel. The lagging NASS-surveyed
U.S. average block price slipped 0.4 cent, hitting $1.4025.
Barrel averaged $1.4007, up 1.2 cents.
Butter
closed at $1.7625, up 1 1/4-cents on the week, and 54 cents
above a year ago. Nothing was traded all week. NASS butter
averaged $1.7014, up 5.4 cents.
Cash Grade A nonfat dry milk closed the week at $1.21, down 2 cents, and Extra Grade closed at $1.23, down 1 1/2-cents. NASS powder averaged $1.2816, up 6.6 cents, and dry whey averaged 37.27 cents, up 0.9 cent.
California Class I Milk Prices Inch Higher
(July 9, 2010) California’s August Class I milk price was announced this morning by the
California Department of Food and Agriculture at $17.33 per
hundredweight for the north and $17.60 for the south, up 19 and
18 cents respectively from July. Both prices are $5.62 above
August 2009. The August Federal order Class I base price will be
announced by USDA on July 23rd.
Latest
World Ag Supply and Demand Estimates
(July 9, 2010)
The Agriculture Department continues to increase its estimate on
U.S. milk production. Forecasts for 2010 and 2011 were raised
slightly from last month in the latest World
Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report issued this
morning. Look for 2010 output to hit 191.2 billion pounds, up
from the 190.4 billion estimated a month ago, and compares to
189.3 billion in 2009. 2011 production is now estimated at 193.5
billion pounds, up 500 million pounds from last month’s
projection as milk cow numbers have remained higher than
expected, according to USDA, and milk per cow is expected to
increase more rapidly than previously forecast.
Exports for 2010 were raised reflecting strong sales of dairy products but fat-basis exports for 2011 were unchanged from last month as production of fat-based products by competing exporters is expected to increase in 2011. However, the forecast of skim basis exports is raised for 2011 as nonfat dry milk (NDM) exports will likely reflect improving economic conditions. Fat-basis imports for 2010 and 2011 were forecast lower reflecting tight world supplies and growing international demand.
The
2010 Class III milk price forecast was reduced on a lower cheese
price forecast, but the Class IV price forecast is raised as the
price forecast for butter is raised, more than offsetting a
reduction in the NDM price. The 2011 forecast for butter is
raised slightly but forecasts for other products are unchanged.
Look for the 2010 Class III price to average $13.80-$14.10 per hundredweight, down from the $13.95-$14.35 predicted last month, and compares to the 2009 average of $11.36. The 2011 average is projected at $14.40-$15.40, up a nickel from last month’s estimate. The 2010 Class IV price is projected to average $14.65-$15.05, up from $14.45-$14.95 predicted a month ago, and compares to just $10.89 in 2009. The Class IV will average $14.40-$15.50 in 2011, according to USDA, up a nickel from last month’s estimate. The all milk price is forecast to average $15.80-$16.10 for 2010 and $15.90-$16.90 for 2011.
Early
Retirement For Thousands of Cows
(July
9, 2010) Early retirement will come to 34,442 dairy cows,
according to a press release this week from the Cooperatives
Working Together program (CWT.) 194 bids were tentatively
accepted in its latest herd retirement and represent about
653,893,409 pounds of milk.
Dairy Profit Weekly editor, Dave Natzke reported in his weekly Friday DairyLine broadcast that CWT farm auditors will begin visiting the farms next week, checking milk production records, counting cows and then tag them for processing. All farmers will be notified whether their bid has been accepted no later than July 30, and farmers will have 15 days after notification to sell their herds.
FAPRI
Analysis of NMPF Policy Proposal
On another note; Natzke reported details from the University
of Missouri’s Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute
(or FAPRI) analysis of National Milk’s “Foundation for
the Future” policy proposal and compared its likely impact
to previous dairy market projections using current federal dairy
policies.
“The bottom line is, anyone
expecting a big financial windfall
under the proposal can likely forget about it," Natzke
said. "However, the plan should help smooth out the
economic roller coaster dairy producers have been riding.”
FAPRI’s
analysis projected results of eliminating current federal dairy
policies, the Dairy Product Price Support Program (DPPSP) and
Milk Income Loss Contract (MILC) program and replacing them with
National Milk’s Dairy Producer Margin Protection Program (DPMPP)
and Dairy Market Stabilization Program (DMSP).
“According
to FAPRI, National Milk’s plan should do what it is designed
to do,” Natzke reported, “And that is to provide more
financial protection in times of low income margins, like we've
seen in 2009 and 2010, while keeping a lid on federal dairy
payments.”
FAPRI
said the current MILC program would begin to make payments
sooner than the base insurance program, according to Natzke, but
the margin insurance would provide larger payments, since 90
percent of a farmer's milk production would be covered.
Currently, once the MILC is triggered, payments cover only 45
percent of the price shortfall, and that falls to just 34
percent after September 2012. MILC also contains annual
production caps, which aren't included in FFTF. And, producers
could pay for supplemental coverage to protect even higher
income margins, Natzke said.
Addressing milk supply, FAPRI said National Milk’s supply management mechanisms would not be triggered often, but would likely hold annual milk production increases to less than 180 million lbs. (or less than 0.1 percent per year) during the coming decade. “FAPRI said the National Milk plan would moderate, but not eliminate the volatility we've seen in dairy markets in the past few years,” Natzke concluded.
Correction
To Fluid Milk Product Definition
(July
8, 2010) On
June 24, the Federal Register published a correction to USDA’s
June 14 final decision on the “fluid milk product”
definition. This definition determines what products are priced
at Class I, and which are required to pay the Class I price to
the pool.
National
Milk’s Roger Cryan reported Thursday that, five years ago,
USDA had an accounting problem. Beverages existed that were
formulated to compete with milk but the manufacturers of those
beverages were paying the Class II price for the milk they used.
Whey ingredients were not counted and fluid milk drinks that had
less than 6 1/2 percent nonfat milk solids were exempted so a
hearing to fix the problem was conducted, Cryan said, and
cooperatives proposed that the solids test be dropped.
National
Milk proposed a protein test for defining fluid milk products
instead, Cryan reported, and USDA held a hearing in June 2005
where other proposals were made, including one to exempt yogurt
drinks and kefir from Class I pricing.
Five
years later a final decision was made and the good news for
dairy farmers, according to Cryan, is that the standard was
tightened in some respects. He said, it used to be that if a
drink was under 6 1/2 percent nonfat milk solids, it would be
exempt from Class I pricing even if it contained as much milk
protein as regular milk; and whey solids were not counted as
dairy solids in defining these products.
Now
it also has to be under 2 1/4 percent protein so National
Milk’s proposal was accepted, Cryan said, “And more of the
products formulated to compete with milk that, generally are not
as good as milk, would at least have to pay the Class I price
for the milk they use.”
The
bad news, he said, is that the proposal to exempt yogurt drinks
and kefir was accepted so drinks containing at least 20 percent
yogurt and kefir do not have to pay the Class I price. Those
yogurt drinks are essentially the same as flavored milks,
according to Cryan, and kefir has no legal definition so it’s
uncertain how that will be measured.
Yogurt makers claim that their yogurt beverages are not drinks however NMPF argued that that “yogurt drinks” are clearly “drinks,” have nearly the identical composition and form as many flavored milks, and are clearly sold to be consumed in the same manner as milk.
Processor's Perspective on Supply Management(July
7, 2010) The International Dairy Foods Association’s (IDFA)
Jerry Slominski gave DairyLine
listeners the “Processor’s Perspective” on supply
management in Wednesday’s broadcast. He said that supply
management is being touted by some as the remedy for price
volatility in dairy but IDFA and its membership are concerned
that the industry is looking backwards.
“Instead,”
Slominski said, “I hope we focus on adopting changes that will
allow the industry to innovate and grow by reforming our
existing programs and adopting margin insurance and similar risk
management proposals that are supported by many dairy
organizations.”
Supply
management programs have been tried and have failed around the
world, according to Slominski, and “while supporters argue
that we only need to rework some of the details of supply
management, a new trigger here, a different way of imposing
quotas there, and it will be different this time. But, truth is,
supply management is a failed idea from the past that should
remain in the past.”
He pointed to what has happened in Canada since a quota system was adopted nearly 40 years ago. Since then, Canadian milk production has actually declined while US production has increased by over 62 percent, Slominski said, and Canadians consume less dairy than before yet Americans are eating more dairy products overall.
The argument that the Canadian quota system has saved their small farms is false, according to Slominski. Canada has seen the same steady decline in small farms in recent decades as we have here in the United States, he said.
“But, the most telling fact about the Canadian system is that Canadian companies are now investing in dairy facilities here in the US and elsewhere because they can no longer grow in Canada,” Slominski said. “And, I just read how Canadian dairy farmers are buying operations in the US because they can no longer tolerate having someone tell him how much milk they can produce.”
“2009 was a historically tough year for dairy farmers,” Slominski admitted, “But instead of adding an old idea of supply management to a patchwork of outdated and ineffective dairy policies, I hope we can support the good ideas that are out there like risk management, that will help farmers get through difficult times.”
“The US
dairy industry faces a tremendous opportunity to grow, to
innovate and produce new exciting dairy products, and to keep
and create jobs and help our nation's economy out of its current
rut,” Slominski concluded.
“We can do
this if we allow everyone to compete and manage their farm
businesses successfully but not if the pessimists continue to
spin the myth that the grass is greener north of our border.”
June
Dairy Month ended on a pretty good week, with most prices
inching higher. Alan Levitt, editor of the CME’s Daily
Dairy Report, said in Tuesday’s broadcast that it’s no
surprise that cheese is moving up but he warned that there may
be some resistance at $1.50 if production is still somewhat
heavy.
He
cited last week’s Dairy
Products report which showed May cheese output up 2
1/2-percent from a year ago and he reported that the CME futures
contract is pricing cheese in the mid to upper $1.50s for the
rest of the year.
Butter
is at the highest it has been since the fall of 2008, according
to Levitt, and cream supplies are still tight. Butter production
was down 5 1/2-percent in May, he said, but said he had to
“rain on the parade a little bit.”
Butter
prices are climbing, he said, but the June Class IV price came
in lower than expected because of a sharp decline in powder
prices. He blamed a surge of discounted sales of nonfat dry milk
out of California which sent the NASS surveyed prices and the
California weighted average down. Survey prices were down 9-10
cents last week, according to Levitt, and volume was three or
four times as much as had been selling in recent weeks.
A
penny on nonfat is almost 9 cents on the Class IV price and the
Class II, Levitt explained, and the Class I in Federal orders
and California is currently driven by the Class IV, as is the 4a
and the Class II so that took some off the end result.
“The
powder price seems to be under some pressure,” Levitt
reported, orders have slowed, inventories are building, and
nonfat futures for the second half of 2010 are averaging just
$1.16 “So there’s not a lot of expectation that prices are
really going to take off any time soon.”
Dear Editor;
Well ladies and gentlemen we talked the talk and now we
have walked the walk. We did something today that no farmer
should have to do to stay alive in this business Yes We Dumped
our Milk!!!!! As I watched it go down the drain there were a few
thoughts that crossed my mind. The time and energy not just by
us but by our girl in the barn that had gone into making this
milk never mind the money. The fact that this is so ridiculous
in this day and age for us to be groveling to receive cost of
production for our product. That our nation has so many people who can’t afford food
and we are reduced to this measure to make our government take
notice, and that so many consumers have no clue to what will
happen to them by their farms going out of business in there
area. Not only will they be receiving products from other
countries that don’t have the save quality food we have in the
USA, but the amount of money that the local farmers put into our
economy. We help so many different business in our local area how
will this effect them and there lives. The thought of the other
farmers who decided to stand proud along with us today all
across our great nation. To the friend and neighbors and local
government officials that thought enough about the situation and
decided to take the stand with us that this is such an important
issue for our nation. All of the consumers and farmers who cared enough to send
there prayers, thoughts and well wishes to us to say they are
behind us. To all of these people I thank you from the bottom of
my heart for making such a tough day also be a proud day for our
family. We can hold our head up and know we tried to make this a
better place for all Americans today. I have spoke to someone in
the first ladies office and I do hope that with this action
today across our country and her stating she wants to help the
American people become a healthier nation that she will respond
to my letter I am writing and she will call and really take the
time to see what is happening to our countries food supply. If anyone who participated would like to contact me and
continue to work on this issue please feel free to call and
thank you again it was a true blessing to work with the farmers
and media across our Country on this issue. I still say together
we can win. e-mail Dave and
Robin Fitch fitchrnd@yahoo.com
My Dairy Program Sponsoring Video Contest
Dairy
Management Incorporated’s Joe Bavido talked about so-called
social media in Monday’s “DMI Update,” and said interest
and participation in social media has sky rocketed in the past
year. In an effort to encourage producers to use videos to
highlight their positive messages about dairy, DMI’s MyDairy
program is sponsoring the Why I Love Dairy Video Contest.
If you participate in the myDairy Online Advocacy Program and have access to www.mydairytoolkit.com, you’re eligible to enter, according to Bavido. Write a script, recruit your “actors,” grab your video camera, Bavido said, and tell the world why you love milk and dairy products, being a dairy producer, caring for cows or just being part of the dairy business.
Your video should be fun, consumer-friendly and less than two minutes long. Possible themes include dairy product quality, safety and nutrition; animal care and well-being; sustainability and environmental stewardship; or dairy’s contributions to the economy and local communities. The most entertaining and creative videos will be posted to www.DairyFarmingToday.com and other Dairy Farming Today channels.
Dairy producers, dairy farm families, and dairy businesses, clubs and associations are all welcome to enter. A panel of expert judges will select four finalists, one from each entry category; the individual or organization submitting that video receives a $200 Target Gift Card. The Grand Prize winner will be selected at the 2010 World Dairy Expo in Madison, Wisconsin, based on onsite voting by Expo participants at the DMI booth, Sept. 28-Oct. 2. The Grand Prize is a Flip Cam UltraHD – High Definition Digital Camcorder.
For more details and an entry form, visit www.mydairytoolkit.com and enter your password. To join the myDairy program and obtain a password, email your name, contact information and a few sentences about yourself and your dairy affiliation to mydairy@rosedmi.com. Entries are due by 5 p.m. CST on Tuesday, August. 31, 2010.
Dairy Market Weekly Recap
(July
2, 2010) The cash block cheese price closed June Dairy month at
$1.4550 per pound, up 4 1/2-cents on the week and 34 cents above
a year ago. Barrel closed at $1.40, up a half-cent on the week,
and 30 cents above a year ago. Ten cars of block traded hands on
the week and three of barrel. The NASS U.S. average block price
lost 3.6 cents, dipping to $1.4063. Barrel averaged $1.3885,
down 0.2 cent.
Cash
butter closed Friday at $1.75 up 3 cents on the week, 55
3/4-cents above a year ago, and the fifth consecutive weekly
increase. Only one car was sold on the week. NASS butter
averaged $1.6478, up 4.7 cents.
Cash Grade A nonfat dry milk lost 2 cents on the week, closing Friday at $1.23. Extra Grade held all week at $1.2450. NASS powder averaged $1.2159, down 9 1/2-cents, and dry whey averaged 36.34 cents, down 0.8 cent.
Federal
Order Class III Price $13.62
(July
2, 2010) The June Federal order Class III milk price was
announced this morning by USDA at $13.62 per
hundredweight (cwt.), up 24 cents from May, $3.65 above June
2009, and $1.39 above California’s comparable 4b price. The
2010 Class III average now stands at $13.58, up from $10.19 at
this time a year ago, but compares to $18.26 in 2008.
Class
III futures portend more gain to come. The July contract settled
Thursday at $13.51, August at $14.34, and September at $14.87,
with a peak of $14.85 in October before the seasonal downturn.
The Class IV price is $15.45, up 16 cents from May and $5.23
above a year ago.
The NASS-surveyed cheese price averaged $1.4475 per pound, up 2.2 cents from May. Butter averaged $1.5946, up 1 1/2 cents. Nonfat dry milk averaged $1.2631, up 1.1 cent, and dry whey averaged 36.88 cents, up fractionally from May.
|
CLASS & COMPONENT PRICES: |
|
COMMODITY |
June 2010 | May 2010 | April 2010 |
|
Class II Milk Price |
$16.01 cwt. | $14.90 cwt. | $13.78 cwt. |
|
Class II Butterfat Price |
$1.7304 lb. | $1.7128 lb. | $1.5883 lb. |
|
Class III Milk Price |
$13.62 cwt. | $13.38 cwt. | $12.92 cwt. |
|
Class III Skim Price |
$7.86 cwt. | $7.68 cwt. | $7.65 cwt. |
|
Class IV Milk Price |
$15.45 cwt. | $15.29 cwt. | $13.73 cwt. |
|
Class IV Skim Milk Price |
$9.76 cwt. | $9.66 cwt. | $8.49 cwt. |
|
Butterfat Price |
$1.7234 lb. | $1.7058 lb. | $1.5813 lb. |
|
Nonfat Solids Price |
$1.0843 lb. | $1.0734 lb. | $0.9435 lb. |
|
Protein Price |
$2.2040 lb. | $2.1523 lb. | $2.1449 lb. |
|
Other Solids Price |
$0.1748 lb. | $0.1704 lb. | $0.1702 lb. |
|
Somatic Cell Adjustment Rate |
$0.00072 per 1,000 cells | $0.00071 per 1,000 cells | $0.00069 per 1,000 cells |
| PRODUCT PRICE AVERAGES | March 2010 | Feb 2010 | Jan 2010 |
| Butter | $1.5946 lb. | $1.5801 lb. | $1.4733 lb. |
| Nonfat Dry Milk | $1.2631 lb. | $1.2520 lb. | $1.1208 lb. |
| Cheese | $1.4475 lb. | $1.4257 lb. | $1.3827 lb |
| Dry Whey | $0.3688 lb. | $0.3645 lb. | $0.3643 lb. |
(July
2, 2010) The supply management drumbeat continues. Rob
Vandenheuval, general manager of California’s Milk Producers
Council’s (MPC), said in Friday’s broadcast that he is
traveling around the country, explaining legislation that has
already been introduced on Capitol Hill to deal with dairy’s
financial crisis.
Referred
to as the Dairy Price Stabilization Act, the MPC has actively
supported the concept that would, as Vandenheuval put it, “try
to align future growth in milk production with future growth in
demand for milk.” He said it fits nicely with some of the
other proposals being talked about, like National Milk’s
which, he said, is much broader and includes a “basket of
concepts.” The House bill MPC supports is HR5288, and the
Senate version is S3531.
Some
believe the Midwest is balking at supply management while the
West is in favor of it, but it was not that long ago that the
West was opposed and the Midwest had support for it.
Vandenheuval
responded, saying that in the past, supply management conjured
up the idea of a Canadian style quota system and, while there
may have been some interest in that in the past, there’s never
been enough broad support for it to make it happen.
The
last couple of years we have seen the development of ideas such
as the Dairy Price Stabilization Act or the Marginal Milk
Pricing idea, which he said, has been popular in other parts of
the country, where we get the same benefits of a supply
management program, without having the downside of a quota
system.
“We
found a way to allow continued growth, which we need in this
industry,” Vandenheuval said, “But do a better job of
aligning that growth with demand.”
He admitted the Midwest is a high growth area right now and will be for the next decade so, “We have structured a plan that all parts of the country can be comfortable with. They can do the growing that they need to do, while at the same time insure that not all 65,000 dairymen are growing at the same time and create the chronic surpluses that we’ve seen over the last 10 to 20 years.”
May Dairy Products Report
Mozzarella cheese output totaled 293.9 million pounds, up 5.6 million pounds or 1.9 percent from April, and 22 million or 8.3 percent above a year ago.
Total
Italian type cheese, at 369.5 million pounds, was up 2.9 million pounds or
0.8 percent from April, and 23.6 million
or 6.8 percent above a year ago.
American type
cheese amounted to 369.3 million pounds, up 10.8 million pounds
or 3 percent from April, and 1.3 million pounds or 0.3 percent
above a year ago.
Total cheese output came to 877.9 million pounds, up 15.9 million pounds or
1.8 percent from April, and 21.8 million
pounds or 2.5 percent above a year ago.
Nonfat dry milk output, at 154.4 million pounds, was up 2 million pounds or 1.3 percent from April, and 3.9 million pounds or 2.6 percent above a year ago.
What
Does FDA's Action Mean For Medicated Milk Replacers?
(July 1, 2010) The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)
has issued a draft guidance intended to “help reduce the
development of resistance to medically important antimicrobial
drugs used in food-producing animals.” The draft outlines the
FDA’s current thinking on strategies to assure that
antimicrobial drugs that are important for therapeutic use in
humans are “used judiciously in animal agriculture,”
according to an FDA press release.
National Milk’s vice president of Scientific and
Regulatory Affairs, Jamie Jonker, pointed out in Thursday’s DairyLine
that the “medically important antimicrobial drugs” are drugs
used in both human and animal medicine and, “when thinking of
the drugs used in dairy animals we have to consider how they are
used.”
The FDA is looking at antibiotics used in human medicine
that are also used in feeds to improve feed efficiency or rate
of gain in animals, according to Jonker, who said there are
restrictions on the use of those drugs in dairy animals because
they may show up as residues in the milk.
“We do have products that we use in dairy animals that
are not used in human medicine such as ionophores,” Jonker
said. They are used routinely in growing dairy animals and
lactating dairy animals to improve feed efficiency and, as of
now, are not considered in the FDA draft guidance.
One concern for dairy producers, according to Jonker, is
medicated milk replacer which uses important antimicrobial drugs
that are also used in humans but it’s unclear whether or not
FDA views the way that they are used in milk replacers as growth
enhancement, in other words, a non-therapeutic use verses a therapeutic
use and that’s something that has to be explored further.
National Milk will consider that, he said, as it prepares
comments on the draft guidance in the next 60 days.
There is a legitimate concern regarding the overuse of
antibiotics. Case in point; one can hardly buy a hand soap today
that doesn’t have antibiotics in it. Jonker said it’s not
just the use of antimicrobials in animal livestock but asks;
“Is there a general overuse of antimicrobials across the
general human population?”
“If you look at areas where you are most likely to find bacteria that are resistant to a lot of different types of antimicrobials, you find them in hospitals,” Jonker concluded, “So I think that there needs to be a balanced approach at looking an antimicrobial use, not just within animals but across all uses in animals and humans.”
Rob Vandenheuvel, of California’s Milk Producers Council, talks about the legislative proposals made on Capitol Hill to deal with dairy’s financial crisis and Dr. Paul Chandler, has his weekly “Nutrition Update” in our second half.
June
California Class 4 Prices Announced
(July
1, 2010) California’s June 4b cheese milk price is $12.23 per
hundredweight, down 17 cents from May but $2.71 above June 2009.
The 4a butter-powder price is $15.26, up $1.31 from May and
$5.20 above a year ago. June Federal order prices are
announced by USDA Friday morning